Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Wed 5 Apr 2023 · 18:45 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund — DFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Gunter Perl
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 30.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
01 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
18 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
14 Mar Manchester City FC A 0–7 L
11 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–0 W
03 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
01 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–4 L
18 Mar 1. FC Köln H 6–1 W
11 Mar FC Schalke 04 A 2–2 D
07 Mar Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
03 Mar RB Leipzig H 2–1 W

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
100% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Willi Orban 1 G
Brajan Gruda 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Samuele Inacio 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.78 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig54% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund21%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
79%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
46%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig38% Draw45% Borussia Dortmund17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.