Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Wed 5 Apr 2023 · 18:45 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia DortmundDFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Gunter Perl

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
01 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
18 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–1 L
14 Mar Manchester City FC A 0–7 L
11 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–0 W
03 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
01 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–4 L
18 Mar 1. FC Köln H 6–1 W
11 Mar FC Schalke 04 A 2–2 D
07 Mar Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
03 Mar RB Leipzig H 2–1 W

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Borussia Dortmund kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Julian Brandt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' Borussia Dortmund fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' Against the run of play, Timo Werner has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 27' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Emre Can has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' Borussia Dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Julian Ryerson made 435 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Julian Ryerson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 40.
  • 45' Jude Bellingham is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Borussia Dortmund so far.
  • 46' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Youssoufa Moukoko is hanging Marius Wolf on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 59' RB Leipzig player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 63' Jude Bellingham is replacing Julian Brandt for the Borussia Dortmund side.
  • 68' With 0 assists to his name this season, Raphael Guerreiro is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
  • 70' A tactical swap from RB LeipzigEmil Forsberg on, Dani Olmo off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 76' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marco Reus at the 76 minute mark.
  • 78' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Timo Werner is withdrawn and Andre Silva gets his opportunity.
  • 79' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Mohamed Simakan exits the field as Lukas Klostermann enters on 79.
  • 84' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 85' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a Yellow card on 85.
  • 85' A tactical swap from Borussia DortmundAnthony Modeste on, Mats Hummels off on 85 minutes.
  • 88' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marcel Halstenberg is hanging David Raum on the field on 88 minute.
  • 90' Donyell Malen is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.78 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig54% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund21%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
79%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
46%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig38% Draw45% Borussia Dortmund17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
37%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.