Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

Orlando City SC

1 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 15 Aug 2026 · 23:30 UTC Exploria Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 23' Pavel Bucha

Tyrese Spicer 48' 1–1

Robin Jansson 29' Y

Y 55' Evander

Y 85' Matt Miazga

Overview

Match Preview

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Exploria Stadium.

Orlando City SC 22 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 22 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	22	52
2	Internacional CF Miami	22	42
3	Chicago Fire FC	21	37
4	New England Revolution	22	37
5	Charlotte FC	22	35
6	FC Cincinnati	22	31
7	New York City FC	22	28
8	New York Red Bulls	22	26
9	Toronto FC	22	25
10	D.C. United SC	22	25
11	Orlando City SC	22	25
12	Philadelphia Union	22	24
13	Atlanta United FC	22	21
14	Montreal Impact FC	22	21
15	Columbus Crew SC	22	20
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	21	43
17	Houston Dynamo	22	39
18	Los Angeles FC	23	36
19	San Jose Earthquakes	22	34
20	FC Dallas	22	34
21	St. Louis City	22	34
22	Colorado Rapids SC	22	31
23	San Diego FC	22	30
24	Minnesota United FC	22	29
25	Real Salt Lake	21	28
26	Portland Timbers	22	28
27	Seattle Sounders FC	21	26
28	Los Angeles Galaxy	23	26
29	Austin FC	22	24
30	Sporting Kansas City	22	15

Head-to-Head

Orlando City SC 15 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2026-08-15 Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC 2025-06-28 Orlando City SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC

Recent Form

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Aug	FC Cincinnati	H	1–1	D
01 Aug	New York Red Bulls	A	2–3	L
25 Jul	Nashville SC	H	1–0	W
23 Jul	San Jose Earthquakes	A	4–0	W
23 May	FC Cincinnati	A	2–6	L
16 May	Atlanta United FC	H	1–1	D

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Aug	Orlando City SC	A	1–1	D
01 Aug	San Jose Earthquakes	H	4–2	W
25 Jul	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
22 Jul	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	4–3	W
23 May	Orlando City SC	H	6–2	W
17 May	San Diego FC	A	3–3	D

Season Stats

Orlando City SC		FC Cincinnati
#11	Position	#6
25	Points	31
22	Played	22
7 / 4 / 11	W / D / L	8 / 7 / 7
37	Scored	49
54	Conceded	51
-17	GD	-2
1.14	PPG	1.41
32%	Win %	36%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Orlando City SC are 11th (25 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Orlando City SC

0-15

2/2

16-30

6/6

31-45

–/7

46-60

7/3

61-75

6/4

76+

3/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

5/7

31-45

9/6

46-60

4/8

61-75

2/1

76+

11/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda	11 G
Tyrese Spicer	6 G

FC Cincinnati

Evander	13 G	7 A
Kevin Denkey	11 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	6 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Orlando City SC host FC Cincinnati — let the battle begin!
5' Orlando City SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Barlow made 287 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
23' GOAL! Pavel Bucha scores on 23.
28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
29' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 29.
34' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
39' Orlando City SC make a change. Bernardo Rhein trudges off to be replaced by Adrian Gomez on 39 minutes.
44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martin Perelman might look to freshen things up shortly.
46' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Joran Gerbet is replaced by Marco Pasalic on 46 minute.
48' GOAL! Tyrese Spicer fires home to make it 1-1!
53' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
55' Poor challenge from Evander. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
60' A quiet spell here at Exploria Stadium. Orlando City SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
61' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Justin Ellis is withdrawn and Wilder Cartagena gets his opportunity.
66' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 66 minute. Samuel Gidi leaves to be changed by Kyle Smith.
71' Luis Otavio is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
76' With 0 assists to his name this season, David Brekalo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Orlando City SC.
80' The supporters are chanting for Ayoub Jabbari. He replaces Tom Barlow on 80 minute.
82' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Tyrese Spicer is replaced by Daryl Dike on 82 minute.
85' Matt Miazga was booked on 85.
90' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Miles Robinson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
It finishes all square. Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Orlando City SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

3
Adrian Gomez ↑ 39'
16
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 61'
9
Daryl Dike ↑ 82'
87
Marco Pasalic ↑ 46'
12
Javier Otero
11
Tiago
57
Iago
19
Zakaria Taifi

Coach Martin Perelman

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	4
Nani	4
Tesho Akindele	3
Junior Urso	3
Brandon Vazquez	2
Martin Ojeda	2
Kevin Denkey	2
Kenji Mboma	2

Head to Head

Orlando City SC Form

2026-08-15 Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2026-08-01 New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC L 2026-07-25 Orlando City SC 1–0 Nashville SC W 2026-07-23 San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC W 2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC L 2026-05-16 Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-08-15 Orlando City SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2026-08-01 FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes W 2026-07-25 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 FC Cincinnati L 2026-07-22 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC W 2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC W 2026-05-17 San Diego FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.17 Orlando City SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.41 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Orlando City SC37% Draw23% FC Cincinnati40%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes80% 0% No20%

Avg goals/match: 4.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	47%	53%

Double Chance

Orlando City SC or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

63%

Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Orlando City SC30% Draw35% FC Cincinnati35%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

6.4%

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

5.8%

2 – 3

5.4%

1 – 3

5.1%

3 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.1%

3 – 3

3.9%

2 – 4

3.3%

0 – 2

3.2%

1 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC

Handicap	Orlando City SC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	11%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	15%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	17%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	13%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.