Saturday , 17 October 2026

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
FC Cincinnati
4 – 2
Full Time
San Jose Earthquakes
Sat 1 Aug 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Daniel Munie
Bryan Ramirez 34' 1–1
1–2 57' Timo Werner
Tom Barlow 80' 2–2
Evander 82' 3–2
Ayoub Jabbari 90+6' 4–2
Kyle Smith 20' Y
Pavel Bucha 87' Y
Miles Robinson 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 66
2 Internacional CF Miami 29 52
3 New England Revolution 29 49
4 Chicago Fire FC 29 48
5 Charlotte FC 29 46
6 Philadelphia Union 29 45
7 Orlando City SC 29 38
8 FC Cincinnati 28 36
9 New York Red Bulls 29 36
10 New York City FC 29 33
11 Toronto FC 29 33
12 D.C. United SC 28 33
13 Columbus Crew SC 29 32
14 Atlanta United FC 29 30
15 Montreal Impact FC 29 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 29 52
17 St. Louis City 29 51
18 FC Dallas 29 50
19 San Jose Earthquakes 29 47
20 Houston Dynamo 29 46
21 Los Angeles FC 30 45
22 Seattle Sounders FC 29 41
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 30 39
24 Colorado Rapids SC 29 38
25 San Diego FC 29 33
26 Portland Timbers 29 33
27 Real Salt Lake 29 33
28 Minnesota United FC 29 31
29 Austin FC 29 31
30 Sporting Kansas City 29 22

Head-to-Head

3
1
FC Cincinnati 4 games · Avg 4.8 goals San Jose Earthquakes
Last 5 meetings
2026-08-01 FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes 2024-06-16 San Jose Earthquakes 2–4 FC Cincinnati 2022-09-10 FC Cincinnati 6–0 San Jose Earthquakes 2019-05-05 San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug San Jose Earthquakes H 4–2 W
25 Jul Columbus Crew SC A 1–2 L
22 Jul Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 4–3 W
23 May Orlando City SC H 6–2 W
17 May San Diego FC A 3–3 D
13 May Internacional CF Miami H 0–0 D
San Jose Earthquakes
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug FC Cincinnati A 2–4 L
26 Jul Los Angeles Galaxy H 1–1 D
23 Jul Orlando City SC H 0–4 L
24 May Portland Timbers A 3–1 W
17 May FC Dallas H 2–3 L
14 May Seattle Sounders FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati San Jose Earthquakes
#8 Position #19
36 Points 47
28 Played 29
9 / 9 / 10 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 8
60 Scored 51
68 Conceded 41
-8 GD +10
1.29 PPG 1.62
32% Win % 45%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
24% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts). San Jose Earthquakes are 19th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/10
31-45
9/10
46-60
6/12
61-75
5/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
12/7
16-30
5/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
7/7
61-75
5/2
76+
9/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 9 G 3 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
San Jose Earthquakes
Preston Judd 15 G 3 A
Timo Werner 6 G 4 A
Ousseni Bouda 6 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at TQL Stadium!
  • 5' The 27-year-old Preston Judd has been sensational this season — 13 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past San Jose Earthquakes's compact .
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kyle Smith gets a card.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 26' Daniel Munie puts San Jose Earthquakes on the lead.
  • 31' It looks surprising San Jose Earthquakes does not make any changes. Ousseni Bouda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' Bryan Ramirez adds to his 2 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' San Jose Earthquakes manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ian Harkes is hanging Nick Fernandez on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Jamar Ricketts has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 291 appearances.
  • 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 57' Timo Werner makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and San Jose Earthquakes are in front.
  • 60' Jamar Ricketts has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vitor Costa on 60 minute.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kevin Denkey made 190 appearances and scored 82 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Tom Barlow is replacing Kenji Mboma for the FC Cincinnati side.
  • 73' Jack Skahan gets the nod from San Jose Earthquakes. He replaces Ousseni Bouda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 80' What a strike from Tom Barlow! The score is 2-2.
  • 82' The deadlock is broken! Evander gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
  • 82' Dave Romney gets the nod from San Jose Earthquakes. He replaces Ronaldo Vieira and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Pavel Bucha on 87 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
  • 88' The whistle greets Ender Echenique as he departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
  • 89' Miles Robinson was booked on 89.
  • 90' Kevin Denkey makes way for Ayoub Jabbari at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • The points are shared — FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes. Honours even.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

San Jose Earthquakes Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bruce Arena

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yuya Kubo 4
Brenner da Silva 2
Ayoub Jabbari 1
Bryan Ramirez 1
Nick Lima 1
Cristian Espinoza 1
Hernan Lopez Munoz 1
Luciano Acosta 1

Head to Head

2026-08-01 FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes 2024-06-16 San Jose Earthquakes 2–4 FC Cincinnati 2022-09-10 FC Cincinnati 6–0 San Jose Earthquakes 2019-05-05 San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-08-01 FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes W 2026-07-25 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 FC Cincinnati L 2026-07-22 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC W 2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC W 2026-05-17 San Diego FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D 2026-05-13 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Internacional CF Miami D

San Jose Earthquakes Form

2026-08-01 FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes L 2026-07-26 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy D 2026-07-23 San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC L 2026-05-24 Portland Timbers 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes W 2026-05-17 San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas L 2026-05-14 Seattle Sounders FC 3–2 San Jose Earthquakes L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.84 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 San Jose Earthquakes xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati55% Draw19% San Jose Earthquakes26%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes82% 0% No18%
Avg goals/match: 5.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 86%
14%
± 3.5 72%
28%
± 4.5 55%
45%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
74%
Draw or San Jose Earthquakes
45%
FC Cincinnati or San Jose Earthquakes
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati41% Draw33% San Jose Earthquakes26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.2%
4 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push San Jose Earthquakes covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 15% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 18% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 14% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 9% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.