Saturday , 10 October 2026

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
FC Cincinnati
4 – 2
Full Time
San Jose Earthquakes
Sat 1 Aug 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Daniel Munie
Bryan Ramirez 34' 1–1
1–2 57' Timo Werner
Tom Barlow 80' 2–2
Evander 82' 3–2
Ayoub Jabbari 90+6' 4–2
Kyle Smith 20' Y
Pavel Bucha 87' Y
Miles Robinson 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Chicago Fire FC 27 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 27 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 27 50
17 St. Louis City 27 47
18 FC Dallas 27 47
19 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Seattle Sounders FC 27 38
23 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
24 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 27 21

Head-to-Head

3
1
FC Cincinnati 4 games · Avg 4.8 goals San Jose Earthquakes
Last 5 meetings
2026-08-01 FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes 2024-06-16 San Jose Earthquakes 2–4 FC Cincinnati 2022-09-10 FC Cincinnati 6–0 San Jose Earthquakes 2019-05-05 San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug San Jose Earthquakes H 4–2 W
25 Jul Columbus Crew SC A 1–2 L
22 Jul Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 4–3 W
23 May Orlando City SC H 6–2 W
17 May San Diego FC A 3–3 D
13 May Internacional CF Miami H 0–0 D
San Jose Earthquakes
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug FC Cincinnati A 2–4 L
26 Jul Los Angeles Galaxy H 1–1 D
23 Jul Orlando City SC H 0–4 L
24 May Portland Timbers A 3–1 W
17 May FC Dallas H 2–3 L
14 May Seattle Sounders FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati San Jose Earthquakes
#9 Position #19
33 Points 45
26 Played 27
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 8
55 Scored 49
64 Conceded 39
-9 GD +10
1.27 PPG 1.67
31% Win % 48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
26% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). San Jose Earthquakes are 19th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
12/7
16-30
5/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
6/7
61-75
5/2
76+
8/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
San Jose Earthquakes
Preston Judd 15 G 3 A
Timo Werner 6 G 4 A
Ousseni Bouda 6 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at TQL Stadium!
  • 5' The 27-year-old Preston Judd has been sensational this season — 13 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past San Jose Earthquakes's compact .
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kyle Smith gets a card.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 26' Daniel Munie puts San Jose Earthquakes on the lead.
  • 31' It looks surprising San Jose Earthquakes does not make any changes. Ousseni Bouda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' Bryan Ramirez adds to his 2 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' San Jose Earthquakes manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ian Harkes is hanging Nick Fernandez on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Jamar Ricketts has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 291 appearances.
  • 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 57' Timo Werner makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and San Jose Earthquakes are in front.
  • 60' Jamar Ricketts has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vitor Costa on 60 minute.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kevin Denkey made 190 appearances and scored 82 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Tom Barlow is replacing Kenji Mboma for the FC Cincinnati side.
  • 73' Jack Skahan gets the nod from San Jose Earthquakes. He replaces Ousseni Bouda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 80' What a strike from Tom Barlow! The score is 2-2.
  • 82' The deadlock is broken! Evander gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
  • 82' Dave Romney gets the nod from San Jose Earthquakes. He replaces Ronaldo Vieira and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Pavel Bucha on 87 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
  • 88' The whistle greets Ender Echenique as he departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
  • 89' Miles Robinson was booked on 89.
  • 90' Kevin Denkey makes way for Ayoub Jabbari at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • The points are shared — FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes. Honours even.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

San Jose Earthquakes Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bruce Arena

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yuya Kubo 4
Brenner da Silva 2
Hernan Lopez Munoz 1
Luciano Acosta 1
Pavel Bucha 1
Alvaro Barreal 1
Timo Werner 1
Daniel Munie 1

Head to Head

2026-08-01 FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes 2024-06-16 San Jose Earthquakes 2–4 FC Cincinnati 2022-09-10 FC Cincinnati 6–0 San Jose Earthquakes 2019-05-05 San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-08-01 FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes W 2026-07-25 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 FC Cincinnati L 2026-07-22 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC W 2026-05-23 FC Cincinnati 6–2 Orlando City SC W 2026-05-17 San Diego FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati D 2026-05-13 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Internacional CF Miami D

San Jose Earthquakes Form

2026-08-01 FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes L 2026-07-26 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy D 2026-07-23 San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC L 2026-05-24 Portland Timbers 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes W 2026-05-17 San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas L 2026-05-14 Seattle Sounders FC 3–2 San Jose Earthquakes L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.86 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.26 San Jose Earthquakes xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati54% Draw19% San Jose Earthquakes27%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes83% 0% No17%
Avg goals/match: 5.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
73%
Draw or San Jose Earthquakes
46%
FC Cincinnati or San Jose Earthquakes
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati40% Draw33% San Jose Earthquakes27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 1
4.5%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 3
4.3%
4 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.3%
4 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push San Jose Earthquakes covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 14% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 17% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 14% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 9% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.