Tuesday , 8 September 2026

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 20,867 HT 45' · FT 45'
Julian Hall 12' 1–0
1–1 17' Pavel Bucha
Emil Forsberg 48' 2–1
Kyle Smith og 65' 3–1
3–2 72' Kyle Smith
Mohammed Sofo 90+3' 4–2

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC CincinnatiMLS at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Victor Rivas
  • Assistant 1 Corey Rockwell
  • Assistant 2
12 games this season 🟨 3.2/game 10.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr FC Cincinnati H 4–2 W
21 Mar Charlotte FC A 1–6 L
14 Mar Toronto FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 0–3 L
28 Feb New England Revolution H 1–0 W
22 Feb Orlando City SC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L
08 Mar Toronto FC H 0–1 L
28 Feb Minnesota United FC A 0–1 L
21 Feb Atlanta United FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls FC Cincinnati
#10 Position #6
27 Points 31
23 Played 22
7 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 7
32 Scored 49
46 Conceded 51
-14 GD -2
1.17 PPG 1.41
30% Win % 36%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (27 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
2/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/7
31-45
9/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
2/1
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 9 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G
FC Cincinnati
Evander 13 G 7 A
Kevin Denkey 11 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 6 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.48 New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls50% Draw21% FC Cincinnati29%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
New York Red Bulls37% Draw35% FC Cincinnati28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap New York Red Bulls covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 14% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 18% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 15% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
14%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.