New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 23 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 22 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Victor Rivas
- Assistant 1 Corey Rockwell
- Assistant 2
12 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 10.8 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 23 | 43 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 22 | 38 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 23 | 37 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 23 | 36 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | New York City FC | 23 | 29 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 23 | 28 |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union | 23 | 27 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 23 | 27 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 23 | 26 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 22 | 25 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 23 | 23 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 23 | 22 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 23 | 21 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 22 | 43 |
| 17 | Houston Dynamo | 23 | 40 |
| 18 | Los Angeles FC | 24 | 37 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 23 | 37 |
| 20 | St. Louis City | 23 | 37 |
| 21 | San Jose Earthquakes | 23 | 35 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 31 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids SC | 23 | 31 |
| 24 | San Diego FC | 23 | 30 |
| 25 | Real Salt Lake | 22 | 29 |
| 26 | Minnesota United FC | 23 | 29 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 29 |
| 28 | Seattle Sounders FC | 22 | 27 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 23 | 25 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 15 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 1–6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Feb | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #6 |
| 27 | Points | 31 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 7 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 7 / 7 |
| 32 | Scored | 49 |
| 46 | Conceded | 51 |
| -14 | GD | -2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.41 |
| 30% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York Red Bulls are 10th (27 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
2/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/7
31-45
9/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
2/1
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 11 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 6 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: New York Red Bulls gets underway.
- 5' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
- 10' Evander, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 12' Magnificent from Julian Hall! That is 6 goals in 288 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 17' Assisted by Kevin Denkey with the perfectly-timed delivery and Pavel Bucha makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 32' Kyle Smith needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 30 Yellow cards this season.
- 37' A moment of madness from Bryan Ramirez on 37 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 42' New York Red Bulls seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 47' New York Red Bulls are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 48' GOAL! Emil Forsberg scores on 48.
- 53' Teenage Hadebe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 57' Ronald Donkor is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
- 62' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 65' GOAL! Kyle Smith fires home to make it 2-2!
- 67' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Brian Anunga on, Samuel Gidi off on 67 minutes.
- 70' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Cade Cowell by Tanner Rosborough on 70 minute.
- 72' Kyle Smith with the second goal in the match!
- 75' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Teenage Hadebe comes on to replace Nick Hagglund.
- 80' Matt Miazga is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
- 80' The whistle greets Adri Mehmeti as he departs to be replaced by Nehuen Benedetti.
- 83' Omar Valencia is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
- 84' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Matt Miazga exits the field as Ayoub Jabbari enters on 84.
- 86' Maxim Choupo-Moting is replacing Emil Forsberg for the New York Red Bulls side.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Alvas Powell is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-2.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 34
- 10
-
7
Cade Cowell ↓ Tanner Rosborough 70'
- 12
- 6
- 3
- 48
- 16
-
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba ↓ Mohammed Sofo 80'
-
15
Adri Mehmeti ↓ Nehuen Benedetti 80'
- 56
Bench
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 86'
- 26
- 77
- 20
-
5
Omar Valencia ↑ 70'
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↑ 80'
-
66
Tanner Rosborough ↑ 70'
-
39
Nehuen Benedetti ↑ 80'
- 79
Coach
Michael Bradley
FC Cincinnati Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 84'
- 13
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Teenage Hadebe 75'
- 20
- 9
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Alvas Powell 75'
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Kenji Mboma 75'
- 66
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Brian Anunga 67'
- 29
Bench
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 75'
- 5
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 75'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 67'
- 93
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 84'
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↑ 75'
- 3
- 88
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2026-04-04
New York Red Bulls
4–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2026-03-21
Charlotte FC
6–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-03-14
Toronto FC
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2026-03-08
New York Red Bulls
0–3
Montreal Impact FC
L
2026-02-28
New York Red Bulls
1–0
New England Revolution
W
2026-02-22
Orlando City SC
1–2
New York Red Bulls
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.48
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.53
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 18% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

