FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

FC Cincinnati

0 – 1

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sun 8 Mar 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS .

FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Alexis Da Silva (USA)

6 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 14.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Minnesota United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W
18 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	1–0	W
28 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	1–1	D

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
01 Mar	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–3	L
22 Feb	FC Dallas	A	2–3	L
18 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	4–2	W
09 Oct	Los Angeles FC	A	0–2	L
05 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Toronto FC
#6	Position	#12
26	Points	17
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	3 / 8 / 7
45	Scored	24
44	Conceded	32
+1	GD	-8
1.44	PPG	0.94
39%	Win %	17%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC.
The points are shared — FC Cincinnati 0-1 Toronto FC. Honours even.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luciano Acosta	5
Allan Cruz	2
Brandon Vazquez	2
Luca Orellano	2
Nick DeLeon	2
Emmanuel Ledesma	2
Kevin Denkey	2
Ian Murphy	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC L 2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2026-02-21 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-10-18 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC D

Toronto FC Form

2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC W 2026-03-01 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2026-02-22 FC Dallas 3–2 Toronto FC L 2025-10-18 Toronto FC 4–2 Orlando City SC W 2025-10-09 Los Angeles FC 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-10-05 Chicago Fire FC 2–2 Toronto FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

2.39 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati55% Draw22% Toronto FC23%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.76

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

77%

Draw or Toronto FC

45%

FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati44% Draw38% Toronto FC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 1

8.5%

3 – 1

2 – 0

6.8%

2 – 2

3 – 0

5.2%

1 – 0

5.2%

1 – 2

5.1%

3 – 2

4.8%

4 – 1

4.2%

0 – 0

3.5%

4 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	21%	—	79%
-2	21%	17%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	20%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

10% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.