FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

FC Cincinnati

0 – 1

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sun 8 Mar 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS .

FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Alexis Da Silva (USA)

6 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 14.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Minnesota United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W
18 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	1–0	W
28 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	1–1	D

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
01 Mar	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–3	L
22 Feb	FC Dallas	A	2–3	L
18 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	4–2	W
09 Oct	Los Angeles FC	A	0–2	L
05 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Toronto FC
#7	Position	#11
20	Points	14
15	Played	14
5 / 5 / 5	W / D / L	3 / 5 / 6
36	Scored	22
37	Conceded	29
-1	GD	-7
1.33	PPG	1.00
33%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

5/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luciano Acosta	5
Emmanuel Ledesma	2
Kevin Denkey	2
Ian Murphy	2
Marky Delgado	2
Jonathan Osorio	2
Patrick Mullins	2
Allan Cruz	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC L 2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2026-02-21 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-10-18 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC D

Toronto FC Form

2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC W 2026-03-01 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2026-02-22 FC Dallas 3–2 Toronto FC L 2025-10-18 Toronto FC 4–2 Orlando City SC W 2025-10-09 Los Angeles FC 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-10-05 Chicago Fire FC 2–2 Toronto FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

2.53 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati54% Draw22% Toronto FC24%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 4.05

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

76%

Draw or Toronto FC

46%

FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati44% Draw36% Toronto FC20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 1

7.5%

3 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.2%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 2

5.2%

1 – 2

3 – 0

4.7%

4 – 1

4.4%

1 – 0

4.1%

4 – 2

3.3%

2 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	17%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	20%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	12%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

9% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.