New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

New York Red Bulls

4 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 20,867 HT 45' · FT 45'

Julian Hall 12' 1–0

1–1 17' Pavel Bucha

Emil Forsberg 48' 2–1

Kyle Smith og 65' 3–1

3–2 72' Kyle Smith

Mohammed Sofo 90+3' 4–2

Y 37' Bryan Ramirez

Ronald Donkor 57' Y

Y 80' Matt Miazga

Omar Valencia 83' Y

R 90' Alvas Powell

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Victor Rivas
Assistant 1 Corey Rockwell
Assistant 2

9 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2026-04-04 New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati 2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	FC Cincinnati	H	4–2	W
21 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	1–6	L
14 Mar	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
08 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	H	0–3	L
28 Feb	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
22 Feb	Orlando City SC	A	2–1	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	New York Red Bulls	A	2–4	L
22 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	H	4–3	W
15 Mar	New England Revolution	A	1–6	L
08 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Minnesota United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#5	Position	#7
22	Points	20
15	Played	15
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	5 / 5 / 5
25	Scored	36
32	Conceded	37
-7	GD	-1
1.47	PPG	1.33
40%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Red Bull Arena will turn into a battlefield for New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati.
5' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 245 games and scored 352 goals.
12' Goal! Julian Hall scores his 6 goal in 283 matches.
17' What an equalizer from Pavel Bucha!
22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
27' New York Red Bulls is showing some good football. However, New York Red Bulls are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
32' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
37' The referee calls foul for Bryan Ramirez. He receives a card.
42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
47' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
48' Sensational shot from Emil Forsberg. New York Red Bulls is back in the lead.
53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
57' New York Red Bulls receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
62' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
65' What an equalizer from Kyle Smith!
67' Brian Anunga is replacing Samuel Gidi for the FC Cincinnati side.
70' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Cade Cowell is replaced by Tanner Rosborough on 70 minute.
72' Kyle Smith with the second goal in the match!
75' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Nick Hagglund is replaced by Teenage Hadebe.
80' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 80.
80' The whistle greets Adri Mehmeti as he departs to be replaced by Nehuen Benedetti.
83' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Omar Valencia gets a card.
84' Ayoub Jabbari is replacing Matt Miazga for the FC Cincinnati side.
86' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 86 minute. Emil Forsberg leaves to be changed by Maxim Choupo-Moting.
90' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
Full Time. New York Red Bulls beats FC Cincinnati

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

34
Ethan Horvath
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
7
Cade Cowell ↓ Tanner Rosborough 70'
12
Dylan Nealis
6
Robert Voloder
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
48
Ronald Donkor
16
Julian Hall
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba ↓ Mohammed Sofo 80'
15
Adri Mehmeti ↓ Nehuen Benedetti 80'
56
Matthew Dos Santos ↓ Omar Valencia 70'

Bench

Coach Michael Bradley

FC Cincinnati Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

2
Alvas Powell ↑ 75'
5
Obinna Nwobodo
15
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 75'
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 67'
93
Fabian Mrozek
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 84'
17
Kenji Mboma ↑ 75'
3
Gilberto Flores
88
Andrei Chirila

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Luciano Acosta	2
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2026-04-04 New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati W 2026-03-21 Charlotte FC 6–1 New York Red Bulls L 2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2026-03-08 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Montreal Impact FC L 2026-02-28 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New England Revolution W 2026-02-22 Orlando City SC 1–2 New York Red Bulls W

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-04-04 New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati L 2026-03-22 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Montreal Impact FC W 2026-03-15 New England Revolution 6–1 FC Cincinnati L 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC L 2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2026-02-21 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Atlanta United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.76 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.21 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls52% Draw20% FC Cincinnati28%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes82% 0% No18%

Avg goals/match: 4.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	86%	14%
± 3.5	71%	29%
± 4.5	54%	46%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

72%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

48%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls40% Draw33% FC Cincinnati27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.3%

2 – 1

5.9%

3 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.3%

1 – 1

4.9%

1 – 2

4.7%

2 – 3

4.6%

3 – 3

4.2%

4 – 2

Actual

4 – 1

3.6%

1 – 3

3.4%

4 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	14%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	17%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	14%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	9%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.