New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

New York Red Bulls

4 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 20,867 HT 45' · FT 45'

Julian Hall 12' 1–0

1–1 17' Pavel Bucha

Emil Forsberg 48' 2–1

Kyle Smith og 65' 3–1

3–2 72' Kyle Smith

Mohammed Sofo 90+3' 4–2

Y 37' Bryan Ramirez

Ronald Donkor 57' Y

Y 80' Matt Miazga

Omar Valencia 83' Y

R 90' Alvas Powell

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Victor Rivas
Assistant 1 Corey Rockwell
Assistant 2

13 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 12.7 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2026-04-04 New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati 2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	FC Cincinnati	H	4–2	W
21 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	1–6	L
14 Mar	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
08 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	H	0–3	L
28 Feb	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
22 Feb	Orlando City SC	A	2–1	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	New York Red Bulls	A	2–4	L
22 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	H	4–3	W
15 Mar	New England Revolution	A	1–6	L
08 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Minnesota United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#10	Position	#9
33	Points	33
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
34	Scored	55
48	Conceded	64
-14	GD	-9
1.27	PPG	1.27
35%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. New York Red Bulls host FC Cincinnati — let the battle begin!
5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
10' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
12' Julian Hall has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 12 minutes.
17' Pavel Bucha adds to his 5 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
22' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York Red Bulls must find a spark to ignite this game.
27' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
32' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Bradley will be considering his options from the bench.
37' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Bryan Ramirez will be fuming at that decision.
42' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
47' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 294 games and scored 427 goals.
48' Emil Forsberg adds to his 3 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
53' FC Cincinnati have won 368 goals from 255 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
57' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Ronald Donkor gets a card.
62' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
65' A goal from the USA international Kyle Smith! He fires home on 65 to make it 2-2!
67' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Samuel Gidi is replaced by Brian Anunga.
70' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Cade Cowell is replaced by Tanner Rosborough on 70 minute.
72' Brilliant from the ! Kyle Smith makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 72.
75' Teenage Hadebe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nick Hagglund on 75 minute.
80' Poor challenge from Matt Miazga. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
80' New York Red Bulls make a change. Adri Mehmeti trudges off to be replaced by Nehuen Benedetti on 80 minutes.
83' Poor challenge from Omar Valencia. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
84' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Matt Miazga by Ayoub Jabbari on 84 minute.
86' The crowd applauds Emil Forsberg as he leaves the pitch. Maxim Choupo-Moting steps in for New York Red Bulls.
90' Alvas Powell is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

34
Ethan Horvath
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
7
Cade Cowell ↓ Tanner Rosborough 70'
12
Dylan Nealis
6
Robert Voloder
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
48
Ronald Donkor
16
Julian Hall
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba ↓ Mohammed Sofo 80'
15
Adri Mehmeti ↓ Nehuen Benedetti 80'
56
Matthew Dos Santos ↓ Omar Valencia 70'

Bench

Coach Michael Bradley

FC Cincinnati Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

2
Alvas Powell ↑ 75'
5
Obinna Nwobodo
15
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 75'
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 67'
93
Fabian Mrozek
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 84'
17
Kenji Mboma ↑ 75'
3
Gilberto Flores
88
Andrei Chirila

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2026-04-04 New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati W 2026-03-21 Charlotte FC 6–1 New York Red Bulls L 2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2026-03-08 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Montreal Impact FC L 2026-02-28 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New England Revolution W 2026-02-22 Orlando City SC 1–2 New York Red Bulls W

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-04-04 New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati L 2026-03-22 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Montreal Impact FC W 2026-03-15 New England Revolution 6–1 FC Cincinnati L 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC L 2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2026-02-21 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Atlanta United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.47 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.88 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls52% Draw21% FC Cincinnati27%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.35

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	80%	20%
± 3.5	62%	38%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

73%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

48%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls39% Draw36% FC Cincinnati25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.3%

1 – 1

6.7%

2 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

5.9%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 2

5.4%

2 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

4.1%

4 – 1

3.6%

1 – 3

3.5%

3 – 3

3.4%

4 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	15%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	18%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	14%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.