New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Victor Rivas
- Assistant 1 Corey Rockwell
- Assistant 2
10 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 11.5 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 1–6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Feb | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #6 |
| 25 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 29 | Scored | 45 |
| 39 | Conceded | 44 |
| -10 | GD | +1 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' USA international Cade Cowell has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 12' Julian Hall doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 17' Pavel Bucha has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
- 22' Robert Voloder is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
- 27' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 32' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bryan Ramirez on 37 minutes.
- 42' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 47' New York Red Bulls currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 48' Against the run of play, Emil Forsberg has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 53' It’s high time Michael Bradley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 57' New York Red Bulls receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
- 62' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 65' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kyle Smith makes no mistake. 2-2!
- 67' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Brian Anunga comes on to replace Samuel Gidi.
- 70' The crowd applauds Cade Cowell as he leaves the pitch. Tanner Rosborough steps in for New York Red Bulls.
- 72' What composure from Kyle Smith! The USA international strokes it home. 2-3.
- 75' Teenage Hadebe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nick Hagglund at the 75 minute mark.
- 80' Matt Miazga has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
- 80' Adri Mehmeti makes way for Nehuen Benedetti at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
- 83' A moment of madness from Omar Valencia on 83 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
- 84' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Matt Miazga exits the field as Ayoub Jabbari enters on 84.
- 86' Maxim Choupo-Moting has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emil Forsberg on 86 minute.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alvas Powell on 90.
- 4-2 the final result. FC Cincinnati will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 34
- 10
-
7
Cade Cowell ↓ Tanner Rosborough 70'
- 12
- 6
- 3
- 48
- 16
-
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba ↓ Mohammed Sofo 80'
-
15
Adri Mehmeti ↓ Nehuen Benedetti 80'
- 56
Bench
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 86'
- 26
- 77
- 20
-
5
Omar Valencia ↑ 70'
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↑ 80'
-
66
Tanner Rosborough ↑ 70'
-
39
Nehuen Benedetti ↑ 80'
- 79
Coach
Michael Bradley
FC Cincinnati Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 84'
- 13
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Teenage Hadebe 75'
- 20
- 9
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Alvas Powell 75'
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Kenji Mboma 75'
- 66
-
11
Samuel Gidi ↓ Brian Anunga 67'
- 29
Bench
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 75'
- 5
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 75'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 67'
- 93
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 84'
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↑ 75'
- 3
- 88
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Matt Miazga | 2 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2026-04-04
New York Red Bulls
4–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2026-03-21
Charlotte FC
6–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-03-14
Toronto FC
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2026-03-08
New York Red Bulls
0–3
Montreal Impact FC
L
2026-02-28
New York Red Bulls
1–0
New England Revolution
W
2026-02-22
Orlando City SC
1–2
New York Red Bulls
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.73
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
70%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
1 – 1
4.7%
3 – 3
4.3%
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.6%
4 – 1
3.3%
4 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 17% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 15% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 10% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

