New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

0 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 32' Kevin Denkey

Ronald Donkor 58' Y

Tim Parker 90' Y

Alexander Hack 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	0–1	L
27 Sep	New York City FC	H	2–3	L
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–0	W
14 Sep	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–0	D
24 Aug	Charlotte FC	A	0–1	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	1–0	W
28 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	1–1	D
21 Sep	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	3–2	W
13 Sep	Nashville SC	H	2–1	W
30 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	0–1	L
23 Aug	New York City FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#8	Position	#6
25	Points	26
18	Played	18
7 / 4 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
29	Scored	45
39	Conceded	44
-10	GD	+1
1.39	PPG	1.44
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FC Cincinnati gets underway.
5' Alvas Powell has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
12' Magnificent from Kevin Denkey! That is 79 goals in 190 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
17' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Teenage Hadebe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
22' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York Red Bulls must find a spark to ignite this game.
27' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
32' Kevin Denkey catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 32.
37' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
42' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
52' FC Cincinnati have won 361 goals from 248 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
57' Serge Ngoma gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Mohammed Sofo and will look to change the dynamic.
58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ronald Donkor.
63' Maxim Choupo-Moting, a Cameroon , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
67' Ayoub Jabbari is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brenner at the 67 minute mark.
72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
77' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
80' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kevin Denkey departs to be replaced by Kei Kamara.
81' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Ender Echenique is withdrawn and Luca Orellano gets his opportunity.
86' The crowd applauds Luca Orellano as he leaves the pitch. Nick Hagglund steps in for FC Cincinnati.
90' The referee shows New York Red Bulls player a card on 90.
The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
42
Alexander Hack
10
Emil Forsberg
26
Tim Parker
4
Gustav Berggren ↓ Wikelmann Carmona 67'
12
Dylan Nealis ↓ Kyle Duncan 67'
31
Carlos Coronel
48
Ronald Donkor
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↓ Julian Hall 57'
37
Mohammed Sofo ↓ Serge Ngoma 57'
14
Marcelo Morales ↓ Raheem Edwards 81'

Bench

6
Kyle Duncan ↑ 67'
23
John McCarthy
44
Raheem Edwards ↑ 81'
15
Sean Nealis
75
Daniel Edelman
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 57'
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↑ 67'
8
Peter Stroud
16
Julian Hall ↑ 57'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC L 2025-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 0–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-30 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus Crew SC D 2025-08-24 Charlotte FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC D 2025-09-21 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-09-13 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SC W 2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.94 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.35 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls34% Draw23% FC Cincinnati43%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.29

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	42%	58%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

57%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

66%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls27% Draw36% FC Cincinnati37%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.2%

1 – 1

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

1 – 3

5.5%

2 – 3

5.3%

3 – 2

4.4%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 3

3.5%

1 – 4

3.3%

2 – 4

3.2%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	18%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	14%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

15% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.