Wednesday , 30 September 2026

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
New York Red Bulls
0 – 1
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 32' Kevin Denkey
Ronald Donkor 58' Y
Tim Parker 90' Y
Alexander Hack 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 26 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 FC Dallas 27 47
18 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
19 St. Louis City 26 44
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
24 Seattle Sounders FC 26 35
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 26 21

Head-to-Head

8
3
7
New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L
27 Sep New York City FC H 2–3 L
20 Sep Montreal Impact FC A 2–0 W
14 Sep Portland Timbers A 1–2 L
30 Aug Columbus Crew SC H 0–0 D
24 Aug Charlotte FC A 0–1 L
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct New York Red Bulls A 1–0 W
28 Sep Orlando City SC H 1–1 D
21 Sep Los Angeles Galaxy A 3–2 W
13 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
30 Aug Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
23 Aug New York City FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls FC Cincinnati
#10 Position #9
33 Points 33
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 9
34 Scored 55
48 Conceded 64
-14 GD -9
1.27 PPG 1.27
35% Win % 31%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 10 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. New York Red Bulls host FC Cincinnati — let the battle begin!
  • 5' New York Red Bulls are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
  • 10' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 12' Kevin Denkey has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 12 minutes.
  • 17' Over 17 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 22' Gustav Berggren has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 27' New York Red Bulls are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 32' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Denkey.
  • 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
  • 42' Ender Echenique has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 252 appearances.
  • 47' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. New York Red Bulls seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 52' Marcelo Morales has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Serge Ngoma. He replaces Mohammed Sofo on 57 minute.
  • 58' It’s gonna be a card for Ronald Donkor.
  • 63' Dylan Nealis has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 67' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Brenner exits the field as Ayoub Jabbari enters on 67.
  • 72' New York Red Bulls are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
  • 77' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 80' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Kei Kamara on, Kevin Denkey off on 80 minutes.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Ender Echenique as he leaves the pitch. Luca Orellano steps in for FC Cincinnati.
  • 86' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Nick Hagglund on, Luca Orellano off on 86 minutes.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tim Parker.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for New York Red Bulls.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kevin Denkey 4
Lewis Morgan 3
Omir Fernandez 2
Luciano Acosta 2
Matt Miazga 2
Kyle Duncan 2
Florian Valot 2
Yuya Kubo 2

Head to Head

2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC L 2025-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 0–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-09-14 Portland Timbers 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-08-30 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Columbus Crew SC D 2025-08-24 Charlotte FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls L

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC D 2025-09-21 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-09-13 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SC W 2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.68 New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls35% Draw25% FC Cincinnati40%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw
60%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
65%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
New York Red Bulls27% Draw40% FC Cincinnati33%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 0
4%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap New York Red Bulls covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 16% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 19% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.