Thursday , 2 July 2026

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L
27 Sep New York City FC H 2–3 L
20 Sep Montreal Impact FC A 2–0 W
14 Sep Portland Timbers A 1–2 L
30 Aug Columbus Crew SC H 0–0 D
24 Aug Charlotte FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct New York Red Bulls A 1–0 W
28 Sep Orlando City SC H 1–1 D
21 Sep Los Angeles Galaxy A 3–2 W
13 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
30 Aug Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
23 Aug New York City FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls FC Cincinnati
#5 Position #7
22 Points 20
15 Played 15
6 / 4 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 5
25 Scored 36
32 Conceded 37
-7 GD -1
1.47 PPG 1.33
40% Win % 33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Red Bull Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gustav Berggren made 62 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 12' Kevin Denkey is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
  • 17' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 22' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 27' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kevin Denkey on 32 minutes.
  • 37' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' Mohammed Sofo makes way for Serge Ngoma at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
  • 58' Ronald Donkor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 58.
  • 63' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 67' A tactical swap from FC CincinnatiAyoub Jabbari on, Brenner off on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Maxim Choupo-Moting has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 77' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 80' The whistle greets Kevin Denkey as he departs to be replaced by Kei Kamara.
  • 81' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Ender Echenique exits the field as Luca Orellano enters on 81.
  • 86' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nick Hagglund is hanging Luca Orellano on the field on 86 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tim Parker on 90.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.96 New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls35% Draw24% FC Cincinnati41%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw
59%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
65%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
New York Red Bulls28% Draw37% FC Cincinnati35%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap New York Red Bulls covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 10% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 16% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 18% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
12%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.