New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | New York City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | Charlotte FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 22 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 36 |
| 32 | Conceded | 37 |
| -7 | GD | -1 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Red Bull Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gustav Berggren made 62 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 12' Kevin Denkey is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 17' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 22' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 27' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
- 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kevin Denkey on 32 minutes.
- 37' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 57' Mohammed Sofo makes way for Serge Ngoma at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
- 58' Ronald Donkor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 58.
- 63' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 67' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Ayoub Jabbari on, Brenner off on 67 minutes.
- 72' Maxim Choupo-Moting has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 77' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 80' The whistle greets Kevin Denkey as he departs to be replaced by Kei Kamara.
- 81' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Ender Echenique exits the field as Luca Orellano enters on 81.
- 86' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nick Hagglund is hanging Luca Orellano on the field on 86 minute.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tim Parker on 90.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 42
- 10
- 26
- 4
-
12
Dylan Nealis ↓ Kyle Duncan 67'
- 31
- 48
-
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↓ Julian Hall 57'
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↓ Serge Ngoma 57'
- 14
Bench
-
6
Kyle Duncan ↑ 67'
- 23
-
44
Raheem Edwards ↑ 81'
- 15
- 75
-
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 57'
-
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↑ 67'
- 8
-
16
Julian Hall ↑ 57'
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Brian Anunga 86'
-
8
Brenner ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 67'
- 13
- 2
- 12
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Kei Kamara 80'
- 16
- 29
-
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Luca Orellano 81'
- 11
Bench
- 7
- 4
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 80'
- 1
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 81'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 86'
-
26
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 67'
- 15
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2025-10-04
New York Red Bulls
0–1
FC Cincinnati
L
2025-09-27
New York Red Bulls
2–3
New York City FC
L
2025-09-20
Montreal Impact FC
0–2
New York Red Bulls
W
2025-09-14
Portland Timbers
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2025-08-30
New York Red Bulls
0–0
Columbus Crew SC
D
2025-08-24
Charlotte FC
1–0
New York Red Bulls
L
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.96
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
59%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
65%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

