New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | New York City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | Charlotte FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #8 |
| 42 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 48 | Scored | 67 |
| 62 | Conceded | 75 |
| -14 | GD | -8 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 35% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/7
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/7
46-60
7/10
61-75
4/6
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 13 G | 3 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 8 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati is underway.
- 5' Brazil international Evander has been a key figure this campaign — 11 goals and 9 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 12' The deadlock is broken! Kevin Denkey gets on the scoresheet on 12 minutes.
- 17' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 302 games and scored 443 goals.
- 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 32' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Denkey.
- 37' Alvas Powell has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 47' Ronald Donkor has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 52' Dylan Nealis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
- 57' Serge Ngoma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mohammed Sofo on 57 minute.
- 58' Poor challenge from Ronald Donkor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 63' Maxim Choupo-Moting, a Cameroon , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 67' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Brenner is replaced by Ayoub Jabbari on 67 minute.
- 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brenner, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 80' Kei Kamara gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Kevin Denkey and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luca Orellano is hanging Ender Echenique on the field on 81 minute.
- 86' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Luca Orellano is replaced by Nick Hagglund on 86 minute.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Tim Parker argues furiously but the card stands.
- The points are shared — New York Red Bulls 0-1 FC Cincinnati. Honours even.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 42
- 10
- 26
- 4
-
12
Dylan Nealis ↓ Kyle Duncan 67'
- 31
- 48
-
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↓ Julian Hall 57'
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↓ Serge Ngoma 57'
- 14
Bench
-
6
Kyle Duncan ↑ 67'
- 23
-
44
Raheem Edwards ↑ 81'
- 15
- 75
-
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 57'
-
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↑ 67'
- 8
-
16
Julian Hall ↑ 57'
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Brian Anunga 86'
-
8
Brenner ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 67'
- 13
- 2
- 12
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Kei Kamara 80'
- 16
- 29
-
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Luca Orellano 81'
- 11
Bench
- 7
- 4
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 80'
- 1
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 81'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 86'
-
26
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 67'
- 15
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2025-10-04
New York Red Bulls
0–1
FC Cincinnati
L
2025-09-27
New York Red Bulls
2–3
New York City FC
L
2025-09-20
Montreal Impact FC
0–2
New York Red Bulls
W
2025-09-14
Portland Timbers
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2025-08-30
New York Red Bulls
0–0
Columbus Crew SC
D
2025-08-24
Charlotte FC
1–0
New York Red Bulls
L
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati 74% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
65%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
4%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 17% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

