Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

Minnesota United FC

1 – 0

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .

Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Minnesota United FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2024-09-19 Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-05-08 Minnesota United FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2020-10-24 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Minnesota United FC 2020-10-04 Minnesota United FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	FC Cincinnati	H	1–0	W
22 Feb	Austin FC	A	2–2	D
19 Oct	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	1–2	L
05 Oct	Sporting Kansas City	H	3–0	W
28 Sep	Colorado Rapids SC	A	1–1	D
21 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Minnesota United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W
18 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	1–0	W
28 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	1–1	D
21 Sep	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

Minnesota United FC		FC Cincinnati
#23	Position	#7
22	Points	20
15	Played	15
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	5 / 5 / 5
18	Scored	36
22	Conceded	37
-4	GD	-1
1.47	PPG	1.33
40%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Minnesota United FC

0-15

1/4

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Minnesota United FC and FC Cincinnati is underway.
Full Time. Minnesota United FC beats FC Cincinnati

Lineups

Minnesota United FC Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Molino	2
Ike Opara	2
Ethan Finlay	1
Mason Toye	1
Hassani Dotson	1
Emmanuel Ledesma	1
Kei Kamara	1
Aaron Schoenfeld	1

Head to Head

Minnesota United FC Form

2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati W 2026-02-22 Austin FC 2–2 Minnesota United FC D 2025-10-19 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 Minnesota United FC L 2025-10-05 Minnesota United FC 3–0 Sporting Kansas City W 2025-09-28 Colorado Rapids SC 1–1 Minnesota United FC D 2025-09-21 Minnesota United FC 0–3 Chicago Fire FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2026-02-21 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-10-18 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Orlando City SC D 2025-09-21 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–3 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.6 Minnesota United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Minnesota United FC or FC Cincinnati 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Minnesota United FC43% Draw26% FC Cincinnati31%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Minnesota United FC or Draw

69%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

57%

Minnesota United FC or FC Cincinnati

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Minnesota United FC31% Draw44% FC Cincinnati25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

7.5%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

6.7%

2 – 0

6.3%

0 – 1

6.1%

2 – 2

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

1 – 3

3.5%

3 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC

Handicap	Minnesota United FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	20%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	17%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✗

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.