New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York Red Bulls

3 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 20 Jul 2024 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Dylan Nealis 80' Y

Y 88' DeAndre Yedlin

Y 90' Ian Murphy

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	3–1	W
17 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–2	D
14 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	A	1–1	D
06 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–0	D
29 Jun	D.C. United SC	H	2–2	D
22 Jun	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	1–3	L
17 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
13 Jul	Charlotte FC	H	1–3	L
06 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	6–1	W
03 Jul	D.C. United SC	A	3–2	W
30 Jun	FC Dallas	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#5	Position	#7
22	Points	20
15	Played	15
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	5 / 5 / 5
25	Scored	36
32	Conceded	37
-7	GD	-1
1.47	PPG	1.33
40%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: New York Red Bulls gets underway.
5' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
7' Lewis Morgan does the damage! The net is bulging and New York Red Bulls surge ahead!
12' DeAndre Yedlin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
17' Yuya Kubo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
22' Ronald Donkor is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
27' Cameron Harper makes way for Dennis Gjengaar at the 27 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
32' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York Red Bulls must find a spark to ignite this game.
37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
42' Brazil international Elias Manoel has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
46' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Luca Orellano comes on to replace Bret Halsey.
51' New York Red Bulls are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
52' Goal! Kyle Duncan scores his 9 goal in 283 matches.
57' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 57 minutes.
59' Goal! Lewis Morgan scores his 43 goal in 410 matches.
60' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Corey Baird comes on to replace Kevin Kelsy.
65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
67' A goal from the USA international Corey Baird! He fires home on 67 to make it 3-1!
72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
74' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Elias Manoel is withdrawn and Dante Vanzeir gets his opportunity.
79' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
80' That looks like a foul for a card for Dylan Nealis.
85' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Obinna Nwobodo is replaced by Yamil Asad.
88' A moment of madness from DeAndre Yedlin on 88 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
90' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 90.
90' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 90 minute. Lewis Morgan leaves to be changed by Cory Burke.
New York Red Bulls celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

91
DeAndre Yedlin
7
Yuya Kubo
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Yamil Asad 85'
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Aaron Boupendza 60'
15
Bret Halsey ↓ Luca Orellano 46'
32
Ian Murphy
18
Roman Celentano
14
Kipp Keller
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Corey Baird 60'
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Luciano Acosta 46'

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 60'
11
Corey Baird ↑ 60'
36
Evan Louro
10
Luciano Acosta ↑ 46'
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 85'
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 46'
26
Malik Pinto
33
Isaiah Foster
34
London Aghedo

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati W 2024-07-17 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Montreal Impact FC D 2024-07-14 Colorado Rapids SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2024-06-29 New York Red Bulls 2–2 D.C. United SC D 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati L 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2024-07-13 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Charlotte FC L 2024-07-06 FC Cincinnati 6–1 Internacional CF Miami W 2024-07-03 D.C. United SC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2024-06-30 FC Dallas 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.52 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.23 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls49% Draw20% FC Cincinnati31%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes81% 0% No19%

Avg goals/match: 4.75

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	84%	16%
± 3.5	68%	32%
± 4.5	50%	50%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

69%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

51%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls36% Draw34% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 1

5.6%

3 – 2

5.5%

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 3

4.8%

3 – 3

4.1%

1 – 3

4 – 2

3.5%

4 – 1

3.2%

2 – 0

2.9%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	13%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	17%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	15%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	10%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.