New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York Red Bulls

3 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 20 Jul 2024 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Dylan Nealis 80' Y

Y 88' DeAndre Yedlin

Y 90' Ian Murphy

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	27	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	St. Louis City	27	47
18	FC Dallas	27	47
19	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	3–1	W
17 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–2	D
14 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	A	1–1	D
06 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–0	D
29 Jun	D.C. United SC	H	2–2	D
22 Jun	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	1–3	L
17 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
13 Jul	Charlotte FC	H	1–3	L
06 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	6–1	W
03 Jul	D.C. United SC	A	3–2	W
30 Jun	FC Dallas	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#10	Position	#9
33	Points	33
27	Played	26
9 / 6 / 12	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
34	Scored	55
51	Conceded	64
-17	GD	-9
1.22	PPG	1.27
33%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/5

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati has kicked off!
5' Kipp Keller has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
7' Magnificent from Lewis Morgan! That is 43 goals in 416 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
12' Noah Eile has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 248 appearances.
17' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
22' Ian Murphy has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
27' The crowd applauds Cameron Harper as he leaves the pitch. Dennis Gjengaar steps in for New York Red Bulls.
32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
37' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Carlos Coronel, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
46' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Bret Halsey is withdrawn and Luca Orellano gets his opportunity.
51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
52' Kyle Duncan adds to his 1 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for DeAndre Yedlin suffering a number of foals already.
59' What composure from Lewis Morgan! The Scotland international strokes it home. 3-0.
60' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kevin Kelsy departs to be replaced by Corey Baird.
65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
67' Against the run of play, Corey Baird has scored! This game has turned on its head.
72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
74' Dante Vanzeir is ready to make an impact after coming on for Elias Manoel at the 74 minute mark.
79' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
80' Poor challenge from Dylan Nealis. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
85' Yamil Asad has so much to prove this time. He replaces Obinna Nwobodo on 85 minute.
88' It’s gonna be a card for DeAndre Yedlin.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Ian Murphy.
90' Cory Burke has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lewis Morgan on 90 minute.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

91
DeAndre Yedlin
7
Yuya Kubo
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Yamil Asad 85'
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Aaron Boupendza 60'
15
Bret Halsey ↓ Luca Orellano 46'
32
Ian Murphy
18
Roman Celentano
14
Kipp Keller
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Corey Baird 60'
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Luciano Acosta 46'

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 60'
11
Corey Baird ↑ 60'
36
Evan Louro
10
Luciano Acosta ↑ 46'
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 85'
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 46'
26
Malik Pinto
33
Isaiah Foster
34
London Aghedo

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Luciano Acosta	2
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati W 2024-07-17 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Montreal Impact FC D 2024-07-14 Colorado Rapids SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2024-06-29 New York Red Bulls 2–2 D.C. United SC D 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati L 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2024-07-13 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Charlotte FC L 2024-07-06 FC Cincinnati 6–1 Internacional CF Miami W 2024-07-03 D.C. United SC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2024-06-30 FC Dallas 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.19 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.93 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls48% Draw22% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

70%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

52%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls35% Draw37% FC Cincinnati28%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.6%

2 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 2

2 – 3

4.4%

1 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

3 – 3

3.3%

1 – 0

3.2%

0 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	13%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	18%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	16%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	10%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.