New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York Red Bulls

3 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 20 Jul 2024 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Dylan Nealis 80' Y

Y 88' DeAndre Yedlin

Y 90' Ian Murphy

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	3–1	W
17 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–2	D
14 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	A	1–1	D
06 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–0	D
29 Jun	D.C. United SC	H	2–2	D
22 Jun	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	1–3	L
17 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
13 Jul	Charlotte FC	H	1–3	L
06 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	6–1	W
03 Jul	D.C. United SC	A	3–2	W
30 Jun	FC Dallas	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#8	Position	#6
25	Points	26
18	Played	18
7 / 4 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
29	Scored	45
39	Conceded	44
-10	GD	+1
1.39	PPG	1.44
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' New York Red Bulls have kicked off against FC Cincinnati. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
7' Brilliant from the ! Lewis Morgan makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 7.
12' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
17' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. DeAndre Yedlin made 339 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
22' New York Red Bulls seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
27' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 27 minute. Cameron Harper leaves to be changed by Dennis Gjengaar.
32' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Yuya Kubo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
37' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
42' Wikelmann Carmona needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
46' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Bret Halsey has done his job and it is now time for Luca Orellano to step up.
51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
52' GOAL! Kyle Duncan scores on 52.
57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
59' A goal from the Scotland international Lewis Morgan! He fires home on 59 to make it 3-0!
60' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kevin Kelsy departs to be replaced by Corey Baird.
65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
67' Goal! Corey Baird scores his 38 goal in 283 matches.
72' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
74' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Elias Manoel by Dante Vanzeir on 74 minute.
79' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
80' The referee calls foul for Dylan Nealis. He receives a card.
85' FC Cincinnati make a change. Obinna Nwobodo trudges off to be replaced by Yamil Asad on 85 minutes.
88' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. DeAndre Yedlin will be fuming at that decision.
90' Ian Murphy catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
90' Cory Burke is replacing Lewis Morgan for the New York Red Bulls side.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from New York Red Bulls to claim maximum points.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

91
DeAndre Yedlin
7
Yuya Kubo
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Yamil Asad 85'
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Aaron Boupendza 60'
15
Bret Halsey ↓ Luca Orellano 46'
32
Ian Murphy
18
Roman Celentano
14
Kipp Keller
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Corey Baird 60'
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Luciano Acosta 46'

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 60'
11
Corey Baird ↑ 60'
36
Evan Louro
10
Luciano Acosta ↑ 46'
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 85'
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 46'
26
Malik Pinto
33
Isaiah Foster
34
London Aghedo

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati W 2024-07-17 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Montreal Impact FC D 2024-07-14 Colorado Rapids SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2024-06-29 New York Red Bulls 2–2 D.C. United SC D 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati L 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2024-07-13 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Charlotte FC L 2024-07-06 FC Cincinnati 6–1 Internacional CF Miami W 2024-07-03 D.C. United SC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2024-06-30 FC Dallas 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.5 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.35 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls47% Draw20% FC Cincinnati33%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes82% 0% No18%

Avg goals/match: 4.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	85%	15%
± 3.5	70%	30%
± 4.5	52%	48%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

67%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

53%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls35% Draw34% FC Cincinnati31%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.5%

2 – 1

5.7%

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 2

5.4%

1 – 1

5.3%

2 – 3

5.1%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 3

4.2%

1 – 3

4.2%

4 – 2

3.4%

2 – 4

4 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	12%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	17%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	16%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	11%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.