New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York Red Bulls

3 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 20 Jul 2024 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Dylan Nealis 80' Y

Y 88' DeAndre Yedlin

Y 90' Ian Murphy

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	3–1	W
17 Jul	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–2	D
14 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	A	1–1	D
06 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–0	D
29 Jun	D.C. United SC	H	2–2	D
22 Jun	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	1–3	L
17 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
13 Jul	Charlotte FC	H	1–3	L
06 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	6–1	W
03 Jul	D.C. United SC	A	3–2	W
30 Jun	FC Dallas	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#11	Position	#8
42	Points	46
34	Played	34
12 / 6 / 16	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 12
48	Scored	67
62	Conceded	75
-14	GD	-8
1.24	PPG	1.35
35%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' New York Red Bulls have kicked off against FC Cincinnati. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
7' GOAL! Lewis Morgan scores on 7. Assisted by Elias Manoel
12' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
17' Luciano Acosta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
22' Ghana international Ronald Donkor has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 6 assists in the Array this season.
27' The whistle greets Cameron Harper as he departs to be replaced by Dennis Gjengaar.
32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
37' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
42' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
46' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Bret Halsey departs to be replaced by Luca Orellano.
51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
52' Kyle Duncan makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
57' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Yamil Asad has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
59' Lewis Morgan adds to his 3 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
60' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Kevin Kelsy exits the field as Corey Baird enters on 60.
65' Daniel Edelman, a USA , has 25 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
67' Assisted by Aaron Boupendza with the perfectly-timed delivery and Corey Baird makes no mistake. 3-1!
72' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
74' The supporters are chanting for Dante Vanzeir. He replaces Elias Manoel on 74 minute.
79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dylan Nealis.
85' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Obinna Nwobodo exits the field as Yamil Asad enters on 85.
88' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
90' A moment of madness from Ian Murphy on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
90' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Lewis Morgan by Cory Burke on 90 minute.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

91
DeAndre Yedlin
7
Yuya Kubo
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Yamil Asad 85'
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Aaron Boupendza 60'
15
Bret Halsey ↓ Luca Orellano 46'
32
Ian Murphy
18
Roman Celentano
14
Kipp Keller
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Corey Baird 60'
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↓ Luciano Acosta 46'

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 60'
11
Corey Baird ↑ 60'
36
Evan Louro
10
Luciano Acosta ↑ 46'
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 85'
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 46'
26
Malik Pinto
33
Isaiah Foster
34
London Aghedo

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati W 2024-07-17 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Montreal Impact FC D 2024-07-14 Colorado Rapids SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2024-06-29 New York Red Bulls 2–2 D.C. United SC D 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati L 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2024-07-13 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Charlotte FC L 2024-07-06 FC Cincinnati 6–1 Internacional CF Miami W 2024-07-03 D.C. United SC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2024-06-30 FC Dallas 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.19 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.8 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls50% Draw22% FC Cincinnati28%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 3.99

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

71%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

50%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls36% Draw38% FC Cincinnati26%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.1%

2 – 1

7.8%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.4%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 2

2 – 0

4.5%

2 – 3

4.1%

1 – 3

3.8%

1 – 0

3.6%

3 – 0

3.2%

0 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	14%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	19%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	15%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.