Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
FC Cincinnati
1 – 0
Full Time
New York Red Bulls
Sun 23 Feb 2025 · 00:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 59' Alexander Hack
Obinna Nwobodo 64' Y
Corey Baird 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 14 33
2 Internacional CF Miami 15 31
3 Chicago Fire FC 14 26
4 New England Revolution 14 25
5 New York Red Bulls 15 22
6 Charlotte FC 15 21
7 FC Cincinnati 15 20
8 New York City FC 15 19
9 D.C. United SC 15 18
10 Columbus Crew SC 15 16
11 Toronto FC 14 14
12 Montreal Impact FC 14 14
13 Orlando City SC 15 14
14 Atlanta United FC 14 11
15 Philadelphia Union 15 7
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14 32
17 San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
18 Real Salt Lake 14 26
19 FC Dallas 15 25
20 Los Angeles FC 15 24
21 Seattle Sounders FC 13 24
22 Houston Dynamo 14 22
23 Minnesota United FC 15 22
24 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
25 San Diego FC 15 17
26 Colorado Rapids SC 15 16
27 St. Louis City 14 16
28 Portland Timbers 14 14
29 Austin FC 15 14
30 Sporting Kansas City 14 11

Head-to-Head

7
3
8
FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb New York Red Bulls H 1–0 W
19 Oct Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
05 Oct Orlando City SC H 1–3 L
02 Oct New York City FC A 2–3 L
28 Sep Los Angeles FC H 1–2 L
22 Sep Nashville SC A 2–2 D
New York Red Bulls
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb FC Cincinnati A 0–1 L
19 Oct Columbus Crew SC H 2–3 L
05 Oct Atlanta United FC A 1–2 L
02 Oct Toronto FC A 4–1 W
28 Sep New York City FC H 1–5 L
21 Sep Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati New York Red Bulls
#7 Position #5
20 Points 22
15 Played 15
5 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 5
36 Scored 25
37 Conceded 32
-1 GD -7
1.33 PPG 1.47
33% Win % 40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, New York Red Bulls does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Felipe Carballo, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Stefan Chirila has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' DeAndre Yedlin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 50' Over 50 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 55' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' New York Red Bulls player sees a card in front of him.
  • 64' Poor challenge from Obinna Nwobodo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 70' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kevin Denkey makes it 1-0.
  • 72' Brian Anunga is ready to make an impact after coming on for Evander at the 72 minute mark.
  • 77' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Emil Forsberg scoring 1 goals.
  • 79' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Peter Stroud exits the field as Felipe Carballo enters on 79.
  • 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Peter Stroud made 283 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Daniel Edelman has done his job and it is now time for Wikelmann Carmona to step up.
  • 88' Corey Baird picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Pavel Bucha by Stefan Chirila on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kevin Denkey 4
Lewis Morgan 3
Florian Valot 2
Yuya Kubo 2
Frankie Amaya 2
Kaku 2
Omir Fernandez 2
Luciano Acosta 2

Head to Head

2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-19 New York Red Bulls 2–3 Columbus Crew SC L 2024-10-05 Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC L 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.4 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati49% Draw22% New York Red Bulls29%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
70%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
51%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati37% Draw36% New York Red Bulls27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 14% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 18% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 15% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15% ✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.