FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Oct | New York City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | New York City FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #11 |
| 46 | Points | 42 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 16 |
| 67 | Scored | 48 |
| 75 | Conceded | 62 |
| -8 | GD | -14 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 35% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
24%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/7
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/7
46-60
7/10
61-75
4/6
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 13 G | 3 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 8 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are looking to make home advantage count against New York Red Bulls.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' New York Red Bulls are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past New York Red Bulls's compact .
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 50% of all matches.
- 50' Stefan Chirila is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
- 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 59' New York Red Bulls receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
- 64' Controversy at the stadium! Obinna Nwobodo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lukas Engel suffering a number of foals already.
- 70' Kevin Denkey adds to his 13 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 72' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Brian Anunga comes on to replace Evander.
- 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Felipe Carballo, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 79' Felipe Carballo is replacing Peter Stroud for the New York Red Bulls side.
- 84' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 85' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Daniel Edelman is replaced by Wikelmann Carmona.
- 88' Controversy at the stadium! Corey Baird argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' The crowd applauds Pavel Bucha as he leaves the pitch. Stefan Chirila steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Brian Anunga 72'
- 91
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Corey Baird 72'
- 12
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Stefan Chirila 90'
- 5
- 9
- 16
- 18
- 29
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↓ Alvas Powell 85'
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 72'
- 36
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 85'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 72'
- 15
- 37
-
19
Stefan Chirila ↑ 90'
- 32
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
-
42
Alexander Hack ↓ Julian Hall 79'
- 10
- 9
- 15
- 3
- 17
- 31
- 75
-
8
Peter Stroud ↓ Felipe Carballo 79'
- 5
Bench
- 26
- 44
- 12
- 1
-
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↑ 85'
-
20
Felipe Carballo ↑ 79'
-
16
Julian Hall ↑ 79'
- 22
- 37
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2025-02-23
FC Cincinnati
1–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2024-10-19
New York Red Bulls
2–3
Columbus Crew SC
L
2024-10-05
Atlanta United FC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2024-10-02
Toronto FC
1–4
New York Red Bulls
W
2024-09-28
New York Red Bulls
1–5
New York City FC
L
2024-09-21
New York Red Bulls
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.88
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls 76% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
69%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
55%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

