FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

FC Cincinnati

1 – 0

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sun 23 Feb 2025 · 00:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 59' Alexander Hack

Obinna Nwobodo 64' Y

Corey Baird 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Feb	New York Red Bulls	H	1–0	W
19 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
05 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	1–3	L
02 Oct	New York City FC	A	2–3	L
28 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L
22 Sep	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Feb	FC Cincinnati	A	0–1	L
19 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	2–3	L
05 Oct	Atlanta United FC	A	1–2	L
02 Oct	Toronto FC	A	4–1	W
28 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–5	L
21 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#9	Position	#10
33	Points	33
26	Played	26
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
55	Scored	34
64	Conceded	48
-9	GD	-14
1.27	PPG	1.27
31%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are looking to make home advantage count against New York Red Bulls.
5' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
10' Wikelmann Carmona, a Venezuela , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
20' Daniel Edelman is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
25' Pavel Bucha has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
30' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
45' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
55' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's shape.
59' New York Red Bulls player sees a card in front of him.
64' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
69' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
70' Kevin Denkey adds to his 7 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
72' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Brian Anunga comes on to replace Evander.
77' The 37-year-old Maxim Choupo-Moting has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
79' Peter Stroud makes way for Felipe Carballo at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lewis Morgan made 416 appearances and scored 43 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
85' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Daniel Edelman is replaced by Wikelmann Carmona.
88' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Corey Baird gets a card.
90' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Stefan Chirila is hanging Pavel Bucha on the field on 90 minute.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Cincinnati players.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 72'
36
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 85'
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 72'
15
Bret Halsey
37
Stiven Jimenez
19
Stefan Chirila ↑ 90'
32
Noah Adnan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
42
Alexander Hack ↓ Julian Hall 79'
10
Emil Forsberg
9
Lewis Morgan
15
Sean Nealis
3
Noah Eile
17
Cameron Harper
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman ↓ Wikelmann Carmona 85'
8
Peter Stroud ↓ Felipe Carballo 79'
5
Omar Valencia

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-19 New York Red Bulls 2–3 Columbus Crew SC L 2024-10-05 Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC L 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.01 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati46% Draw23% New York Red Bulls31%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.74

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

69%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

54%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati34% Draw39% New York Red Bulls27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.1%

2 – 1

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

5.3%

2 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.6%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 3

2 – 3

0 – 2

3.7%

0 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	19%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	16%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

19% ✗

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.