FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

FC Cincinnati

1 – 0

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sun 23 Feb 2025 · 00:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 59' Alexander Hack

Obinna Nwobodo 64' Y

Corey Baird 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-07-20 New York Red Bulls 3–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Feb	New York Red Bulls	H	1–0	W
19 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
05 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	1–3	L
02 Oct	New York City FC	A	2–3	L
28 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L
22 Sep	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Feb	FC Cincinnati	A	0–1	L
19 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	2–3	L
05 Oct	Atlanta United FC	A	1–2	L
02 Oct	Toronto FC	A	4–1	W
28 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–5	L
21 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#6	Position	#8
26	Points	25
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
45	Scored	29
44	Conceded	39
+1	GD	-10
1.44	PPG	1.39
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' FC Cincinnati have kicked off against New York Red Bulls. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
25' FC Cincinnati have won 361 goals from 248 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
30' DeAndre Yedlin is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
35' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
45' Sean Nealis has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lukas Engel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
55' The 37-year-old Maxim Choupo-Moting has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
59' A moment of madness from Alexander Hack on 59 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
64' A moment of madness from Obinna Nwobodo on 64 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
69' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past New York Red Bulls's compact .
70' Kevin Denkey adds to his 7 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
72' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Brian Anunga on, Evander off on 72 minutes.
77' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
79' The whistle greets Peter Stroud as he departs to be replaced by Felipe Carballo.
84' New York Red Bulls are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
85' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Daniel Edelman departs to be replaced by Wikelmann Carmona.
88' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
90' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Stefan Chirila on, Pavel Bucha off on 90 minutes.
It finishes all square. FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 72'
36
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 85'
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 72'
15
Bret Halsey
37
Stiven Jimenez
19
Stefan Chirila ↑ 90'
32
Noah Adnan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
42
Alexander Hack ↓ Julian Hall 79'
10
Emil Forsberg
9
Lewis Morgan
15
Sean Nealis
3
Noah Eile
17
Cameron Harper
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman ↓ Wikelmann Carmona 85'
8
Peter Stroud ↓ Felipe Carballo 79'
5
Omar Valencia

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-19 New York Red Bulls 2–3 Columbus Crew SC L 2024-10-05 Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC L 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.55 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.95 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati51% Draw21% New York Red Bulls28%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 4.5

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	64%	36%
± 4.5	46%	54%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

72%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

49%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati39% Draw35% New York Red Bulls26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 1

6.3%

3 – 1

5.8%

3 – 2

5.5%

1 – 2

5.4%

2 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

3.8%

4 – 1

3.7%

3 – 3

3.6%

4 – 2

3.6%

1 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	15%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	18%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	14%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

15% ✗

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.