GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

GD Estoril Praia

4 – 3

Full Time

FC Arouca

Fri 7 Nov 2025 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga .

GD Estoril Praia 2 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
FC Arouca 1 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	2	6
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	4
3	CD Santa Clara	2	4
4	CS Marítimo	1	3
5	FC Arouca	1	3
6	Gil Vicente FC	1	3
7	CF Estrela da Amadora	2	2
8	CD Nacional	2	2
9	GD Estoril Praia	2	2
10	Moreirense FC	1	1
11	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	1	1
12	Sporting Clube de Braga	1	1
13	Académico de Viseu FC	2	1
14	FC Famalicão	1	1
15	FC Alverca	2	1
16	Casa Pia AC	1	0
17	Vitória SC	2	0
18	Rio Ave FC	2	0

Head-to-Head

GD Estoril Praia 10 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Arouca

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-07 GD Estoril Praia 4–3 FC Arouca 2025-03-16 FC Arouca 1–1 GD Estoril Praia 2024-10-26 GD Estoril Praia 4–1 FC Arouca 2024-01-20 GD Estoril Praia 1–2 FC Arouca 2023-08-13 FC Arouca 4–3 GD Estoril Praia

Recent Form

GD Estoril Praia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Nov	FC Arouca	H	4–3	W
01 Nov	Rio Ave FC	A	4–0	W
26 Oct	CD Nacional	H	1–1	D
03 Oct	Casa Pia AC	A	2–2	D
27 Sep	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	0–1	L
21 Sep	Gil Vicente FC	A	0–2	L

FC Arouca

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Nov	GD Estoril Praia	A	3–4	L
02 Nov	Moreirense FC	H	0–2	L
25 Oct	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	0–5	L
05 Oct	FC Famalicão	H	1–1	D
29 Sep	FC Porto	H	0–4	L
20 Sep	CD Nacional	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

GD Estoril Praia		FC Arouca
#9	Position	#5
2	Points	3
2	Played	1
0 / 2 / 0	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 0
1	Scored	1
1	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+1
1.00	PPG	3.00
0%	Win %	100%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

GD Estoril Praia are 9th (2 pts). FC Arouca are 5th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

GD Estoril Praia

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Arouca

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca — let the football do the talking.
FC Arouca will have plenty to reflect on. GD Estoril Praia were simply the better side today.

Lineups

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Alejandro Marques	3
Oday Dabbagh	2
Jordan Holsgrove	2
Rafa Mujica	2
Andre Silva	2
Pedro Alvaro	1
Joao Carvalho	1
Wagner Pina	1

Head to Head

GD Estoril Praia Form

2025-11-07 GD Estoril Praia 4–3 FC Arouca W 2025-11-01 Rio Ave FC 0–4 GD Estoril Praia W 2025-10-26 GD Estoril Praia 1–1 CD Nacional D 2025-10-03 Casa Pia AC 2–2 GD Estoril Praia D 2025-09-27 GD Estoril Praia 0–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2025-09-21 Gil Vicente FC 2–0 GD Estoril Praia L

FC Arouca Form

2025-11-07 GD Estoril Praia 4–3 FC Arouca L 2025-11-02 FC Arouca 0–2 Moreirense FC L 2025-10-25 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 5–0 FC Arouca L 2025-10-05 FC Arouca 1–1 FC Famalicão D 2025-09-29 FC Arouca 0–4 FC Porto L 2025-09-20 CD Nacional 1–2 FC Arouca W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.44 GD Estoril Praia xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.22 FC Arouca xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

GD Estoril Praia46% Draw27% FC Arouca27%

Actual: GD Estoril Praia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.66

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

GD Estoril Praia or Draw

72%

Draw or FC Arouca

54%

GD Estoril Praia or FC Arouca

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

GD Estoril Praia30% Draw47% FC Arouca23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

9.1%

0 – 0

2 – 1

8.5%

0 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 0

7.1%

2 – 2

5.2%

0 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

4.1%

3 – 0

3.4%

1 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — GD Estoril Praia

Handicap	GD Estoril Praia covers	Push	FC Arouca covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	21%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	17%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.