Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York Red BullsMLS .

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Penso
5 games this season 🟨 2.2/game 10.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
08 Mar FC Cincinnati A 1–0 W
01 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–3 L
22 Feb FC Dallas A 2–3 L
18 Oct Orlando City SC H 4–2 W
09 Oct Los Angeles FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Toronto FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 0–3 L
28 Feb New England Revolution H 1–0 W
22 Feb Orlando City SC A 2–1 W
18 Oct Columbus Crew SC A 1–3 L
04 Oct FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC New York Red Bulls
#11 Position #5
14 Points 22
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 5
22 Scored 25
29 Conceded 32
-7 GD -7
1.00 PPG 1.47
21% Win % 40%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: New York Red Bulls gets underway.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.9 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls 75% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC39% Draw25% New York Red Bulls36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
64%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
61%
Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC31% Draw39% New York Red Bulls30%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16%
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.