New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2026

New England Revolution

6 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .

New England Revolution 14 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Lorenzo Hernandez (USA)

4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 9.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New England Revolution 13 games · Avg 3.1 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-15 New England Revolution 6–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-06-14 New England Revolution 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution 2024-06-22 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New England Revolution 2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	FC Cincinnati	H	6–1	W
28 Feb	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
22 Feb	Nashville SC	A	1–4	L
18 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	H	2–2	D
04 Oct	Internacional CF Miami	A	1–4	L
27 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	New England Revolution	A	1–6	L
08 Mar	Toronto FC	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Minnesota United FC	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W
18 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

New England Revolution		FC Cincinnati
#4	Position	#7
25	Points	20
14	Played	15
8 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	5 / 5 / 5
22	Scored	36
18	Conceded	37
+4	GD	-1
1.79	PPG	1.33
57%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

36% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New England Revolution are 4th (25 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New England Revolution

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

3/–

61-75

1/–

76+

4/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FC Cincinnati gets underway.
Another three points for New England Revolution.

Lineups

New England Revolution Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Buksa	4
Giacomo Vrioni	3
Brandon Vazquez	2
Dom Badji	2
Gustavo Bou	2
Emmanuel Boateng	2
Brenner da Silva	2
Yamil Asad	1

Head to Head

New England Revolution Form

2026-03-15 New England Revolution 6–1 FC Cincinnati W 2026-02-28 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New England Revolution L 2026-02-22 Nashville SC 4–1 New England Revolution L 2025-10-18 New England Revolution 2–2 Chicago Fire FC D 2025-10-04 Internacional CF Miami 4–1 New England Revolution L 2025-09-27 New England Revolution 2–0 Atlanta United FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-03-15 New England Revolution 6–1 FC Cincinnati L 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC L 2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2026-02-21 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-10-18 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-10-04 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.82 New England Revolution xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.42 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New England Revolution60% Draw20% FC Cincinnati20%

Actual: New England Revolution win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 4.24

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

New England Revolution or Draw

80%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

40%

New England Revolution or FC Cincinnati

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New England Revolution50% Draw34% FC Cincinnati16%

Actual: New England Revolution win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted

6 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

3 – 1

7.4%

1 – 1

6.5%

2 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

5.4%

4 – 1

5.2%

3 – 2

5.2%

1 – 2

4.1%

1 – 0

3.9%

4 – 0

3.8%

4 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — New England Revolution

Handicap	New England Revolution covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	28%	—	72%
-2	28%	18%	54%
-1.5	46%	—	54%
-1	46%	19%	35%
-0.5	65%	—	35%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	10%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.