Sunday , 18 October 2026

EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 0
Full Time
Mon 7 Sep 2026 · 23:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Matheuzinho 63' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Barradao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Sep Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
29 Aug CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
23 Aug EC Bahia H 0–2 L
16 Aug Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
09 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
30 Jul SE Palmeiras H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Sep EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
30 Aug Chapecoense AF H 3–1 W
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
16 Aug CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
08 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
26 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Gremio FBPA
#14 Position #18
36 Points 31
30 Played 30
10 / 6 / 14 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
33 Scored 32
44 Conceded 40
-11 GD -8
1.20 PPG 1.03
33% Win % 23%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

EC Vitoria are 14th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
5/2
31-45
3/9
46-60
2/2
61-75
7/6
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 6 G 4 A
Erick 5 G 6 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Vitória is hosting Grêmio FBPA for another epic battle.
  • 5' EC Vitória are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's 4-1-4-1 shape.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitória must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' Grêmio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 25' EC Vitória are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Grêmio FBPA backline.
  • 30' EC Vitória currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 36' Controversy at the stadium! Pedro Gabriel argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 38' Cristian Pavon catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 43' Caique has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 152 appearances.
  • 46' Caio Paulista gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Pedro Gabriel and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 48' Controversy at the stadium! Caio Paulista argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Caique.
  • 59' Erick Noriega was booked on 59.
  • 63' Carlos Rene adds to his 7 season tally! EC Vitoria lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 69' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Cristian Pavon departs to be replaced by Juan Ignacio Nardoni.
  • 72' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Erick is withdrawn and Marinho gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Grêmio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 78' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 78 minute. Carlos Vinicius leaves to be changed by Martin Braithwaite.
  • 79' Gustavo Martins was booked on 79.
  • 81' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabricio is hanging Diego Tarzia on the field on 81 minute.
  • 82' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 82 minute. Caique leaves to be changed by Edenilson.
  • 87' Tete has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Renato Kayzer. He replaces Carlos Rene on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for EC Vitória.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria39% Draw31% Gremio FBPA30%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
70%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
61%
EC Vitoria or Gremio FBPA
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria25% Draw53% Gremio FBPA22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 21% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.