EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 30 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 31 | 66 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 31 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | CA Mineiro | 31 | 50 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 31 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 31 | 39 |
| 13 | Mirassol FC | 31 | 36 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 15 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 31 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 30 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Chapecoense AF | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #18 |
| 36 | Points | 31 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 10 / 6 / 14 | W / D / L | 7 / 10 / 13 |
| 33 | Scored | 32 |
| 44 | Conceded | 40 |
| -11 | GD | -8 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.03 |
| 33% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
EC Vitoria are 14th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
5/2
31-45
3/9
46-60
2/2
61-75
7/6
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Vitória is hosting Grêmio FBPA for another epic battle.
- 5' EC Vitória are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's 4-1-4-1 shape.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitória must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' Grêmio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 25' EC Vitória are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Grêmio FBPA backline.
- 30' EC Vitória currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 36' Controversy at the stadium! Pedro Gabriel argues furiously but the card stands.
- 38' Cristian Pavon catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
- 43' Caique has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 152 appearances.
- 46' Caio Paulista gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Pedro Gabriel and will look to change the dynamic.
- 48' Controversy at the stadium! Caio Paulista argues furiously but the card stands.
- 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Caique.
- 59' Erick Noriega was booked on 59.
- 63' Carlos Rene adds to his 7 season tally! EC Vitoria lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 69' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Cristian Pavon departs to be replaced by Juan Ignacio Nardoni.
- 72' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Erick is withdrawn and Marinho gets his opportunity.
- 77' Grêmio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 78' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 78 minute. Carlos Vinicius leaves to be changed by Martin Braithwaite.
- 79' Gustavo Martins was booked on 79.
- 81' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabricio is hanging Diego Tarzia on the field on 81 minute.
- 82' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 82 minute. Caique leaves to be changed by Edenilson.
- 87' Tete has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Renato Kayzer. He replaces Carlos Rene on 90 minute.
- Another three points for EC Vitória.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 33
- 36
- 2
- 83
- 1
- 98
- 10
- 95
- 12
- 88
- 91
Bench
- 7
- 8
- 23
- 79
- 11
- 71
- 70
- 18
- 26
- 41
- 9
Coach
Jair Ventura
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1
- 95
- 7
- 10
- 11
- 20
-
8
Erick Noriega ↓ Danilo Barbosa 69'
- 6
- 27
-
54
Pedro Gabriel ↓ Caio Paulista 46'
- 82
Bench
-
38
Caio Paulista ↑ 46'
- 2
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↑ 78'
- 18
- 30
-
15
Danilo Barbosa ↑ 69'
- 12
- 3
-
5
Juan Ignacio Nardoni ↑ 69'
-
99
Jose Enamorado ↑ 69'
- 65
- 50
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Reinaldo | 1 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 1 |
| Joao Pedro | 1 |
| Jailson | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Pepe | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
70%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
61%
EC Vitoria or Gremio FBPA
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 21% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

