Sunday , 23 August 2026

KKS Lech Poznan vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Wed 6 Aug 2025 · 18:30 UTC Stadion Poznan HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KKS Lech Poznan vs FK Crvena ZvezdaChampions League Q at Stadion Poznan.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
KKS Lech Poznan 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznan A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W
29 Jan BSC Young Boys A 1–0 W
21 Jan PSV H 2–3 L
11 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznan this season
50% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

KKS Lech Poznan
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/2
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
2/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. KKS Lech Poznań is hosting FK Crvena Zvezda for another epic battle.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 9' Rade Krunic doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 14' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Antonio Milic made 392 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 19' A moment of madness from Filip Jagiello on 19 minutes earns him a card. KKS Lech Poznan will be frustrated.
  • 21' That is a card for FK Crvena Zvezda. Rade Krunic will be fuming at that decision.
  • 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 34' Mikael Ishak doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 39' Filip Jagiello has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' A change in the FK Crvena Zvezda ranks — Milson exits the field as Shavy Warren Babicka enters on 46.
  • 51' Rade Krunic with the second goal in the match!
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' The 30-year-old Bruno Duarte has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' KKS Lech Poznan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pablo Rodriguez Delgado is hanging Leo Bengtsson on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' It looks surprising KKS Lech Poznań does not make any changes. Luis Palma has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 71' Gisli THordarson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antoni Kozubal on 71 minute.
  • 73' Bruno Duarte adds to his 0 season tally! FK Crvena Zvezda lead 0-4 — and this changes everything.
  • 76' It is a substitution in FK Crvena Zvezda team. Mirko Ivanic is replaced by Peter Olayinka on 76 minute.
  • 79' The FK Crvena Zvezda bench stirs into life. Bruno Duarte is withdrawn and Aleksandar Katai gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Robert Gumny has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joel Pereira on 82 minute.
  • 87' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His KKS Lech Poznań side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 KKS Lech Poznan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: KKS Lech Poznan or FK Crvena Zvezda 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznan31% Draw27% FK Crvena Zvezda42%
Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznan or Draw
58%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
69%
KKS Lech Poznan or FK Crvena Zvezda
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznan24% Draw44% FK Crvena Zvezda32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznan

Handicap KKS Lech Poznan covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
20%
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.