Thursday , 2 July 2026

KKS Lech Poznan vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Champions League Qualification · 2025
KKS Lech Poznan
1 – 3
Full Time
FK Crvena Zvezda
Wed 6 Aug 2025 · 18:30 UTC Stadion Poznan HT 45' · FT 45'
Filip Jagiello 19' Y
Y 21' Rade Krunic

Overview

Match Preview

KKS Lech Poznan vs FK Crvena Zvezda — Champions League Q at Stadion Poznan.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
KKS Lech Poznan 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-06 KKS Lech Poznan 1–3 FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

KKS Lech Poznan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
FK Crvena Zvezda
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznan A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W
29 Jan BSC Young Boys A 1–0 W
21 Jan PSV H 2–3 L
11 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznan this season
17% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

KKS Lech Poznan
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stadion Poznan that hosts another battle between KKS Lech Poznan and FK Crvena Zvezda.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Crvena Zvezda winning 50% of all matches.
  • 9' GOAL! Rade Krunic scores on 9.
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bruno Duarte suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' KKS Lech Poznan receives a card for a hard tackle on 19.
  • 21' FK Crvena Zvezda player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 34' Goal! Mikael Ishak scores his 24 goal in 105 matches.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' FK Crvena Zvezda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 46' Another substitution for FK Crvena Zvezda to replace Milson by Shavy Warren Babicka on 46 minute.
  • 51' Goal! Rade Krunic scores his 13 goal in 380 matches.
  • 56' Filip Jagiello needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Yellow cards this season.
  • 61' FK Crvena Zvezda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 64' The KKS Lech Poznan manager makes a substitution. Leo Bengtsson departs to be replaced by Pablo Rodriguez Delgado.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. KKS Lech Poznan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 71' It is a substitution in KKS Lech Poznan team. Antoni Kozubal is replaced by Gisli THordarson on 71 minute.
  • 73' Goal! Bruno Duarte scores his 39 goal in 394 matches.
  • 76' Time for substitution for FK Crvena Zvezda. Mirko Ivanic is replaced by Peter Olayinka.
  • 79' Another change for FK Crvena Zvezda made on 79 minute. Bruno Duarte leaves to be changed by Aleksandar Katai.
  • 82' The whistle greets Joel Pereira as he departs to be replaced by Robert Gumny.
  • 87' FK Crvena Zvezda looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Rade Krunic scoring 2 goals.
  • The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

KKS Lech Poznan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dominik Kubiak

FK Crvena Zvezda Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vladan Milojevic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rade Krunic 2
Mikael Ishak 2
Bruno Duarte 1
Cherif Ndiaye 1

Head to Head

2025-08-06 KKS Lech Poznan 1–3 FK Crvena Zvezda

KKS Lech Poznan Form

2025-08-06 KKS Lech Poznan 1–3 FK Crvena Zvezda L 2025-07-30 Breidablik UBK 0–1 KKS Lech Poznan W 2025-07-22 KKS Lech Poznan 7–1 Breidablik UBK W 2022-07-12 Qarabag Agdam FK 5–1 KKS Lech Poznan L 2022-07-05 KKS Lech Poznan 1–0 Qarabag Agdam FK W 2020-12-10 KKS Lech Poznan 0–2 Rangers FC L

FK Crvena Zvezda Form

2025-08-06 KKS Lech Poznan 1–3 FK Crvena Zvezda W 2025-07-29 FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC W 2025-07-22 Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–1 FK Crvena Zvezda W 2025-01-29 BSC Young Boys 0–1 FK Crvena Zvezda W 2025-01-21 FK Crvena Zvezda 2–3 PSV L 2024-12-11 AC Milan 2–1 FK Crvena Zvezda L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 KKS Lech Poznan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: KKS Lech Poznan or FK Crvena Zvezda 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznan31% Draw27% FK Crvena Zvezda42%
Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznan or Draw
58%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
69%
KKS Lech Poznan or FK Crvena Zvezda
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznan24% Draw44% FK Crvena Zvezda32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznan

Handicap KKS Lech Poznan covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.