Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Bet365 Stadium 20,961 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Camiel Neghli
0–2 55' Femi Azeez
Caleb Taylor og 60' 1–2
1–3 69' Josh Coburn

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
  • Assistant 1 Callum Gough (England)
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
7 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Millwall FC H 1–3 L
18 Apr Wrexham AFC A 0–2 L
11 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
03 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
20 Mar Preston North End FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
10 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Norwich City FC H 1–2 L
03 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 2–1 W
21 Mar Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Millwall FC
#7 Position #11
13 Points 11
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 3
13 Scored 15
12 Conceded 15
+1 GD +0
1.63 PPG 1.38
50% Win % 38%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G
Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC are looking to make home advantage count against Millwall FC.
  • 5' A moment of madness from Derek Mazou-Sacko on 5 minutes earns him a card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
  • 10' Algeria international Camiel Neghli has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' The referee calls foul for Casper De Norre. He receives a card.
  • 20' A goal from the Algeria international Camiel Neghli! He fires home on 20 to make it 0-1!
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stoke City FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 50' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 55' Against the run of play, Femi Azeez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 59' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sam Gallagher is hanging Million Manhoef on the field on 59 minute.
  • 60' Caleb Taylor has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 60 minutes.
  • 60' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Lewis Baker is withdrawn and Lamine Cisse gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Stoke City FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 69' Josh Coburn is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 74' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Robert Bozenik is withdrawn and Milan Smit gets his opportunity.
  • 79' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 80' Dan McNamara gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Zak Sturge and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Millwall FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 81.
  • 85' Luke Cundle has so much to prove this time. He replaces Femi Azeez on 85 minute.
  • 90' With 1 assists to his name this season, Zak Sturge is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
  • With this win, Millwall FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Millwall FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC33% Draw25% Millwall FC42%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Millwall FC
67%
Stoke City FC or Millwall FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC27% Draw42% Millwall FC31%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 17% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 19% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.