Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
- Assistant 1 Callum Gough (England)
- Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
7 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 11.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #11 |
| 13 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 13 | Scored | 15 |
| 12 | Conceded | 15 |
| +1 | GD | +0 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 50% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC are looking to make home advantage count against Millwall FC.
- 5' A moment of madness from Derek Mazou-Sacko on 5 minutes earns him a card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
- 10' Algeria international Camiel Neghli has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' The referee calls foul for Casper De Norre. He receives a card.
- 20' A goal from the Algeria international Camiel Neghli! He fires home on 20 to make it 0-1!
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Stoke City FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 50' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 55' Against the run of play, Femi Azeez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 59' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sam Gallagher is hanging Million Manhoef on the field on 59 minute.
- 60' Caleb Taylor has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 60 minutes.
- 60' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Lewis Baker is withdrawn and Lamine Cisse gets his opportunity.
- 65' Stoke City FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 69' Josh Coburn is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 74' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Robert Bozenik is withdrawn and Milan Smit gets his opportunity.
- 79' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
- 80' Dan McNamara gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Zak Sturge and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Millwall FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 81.
- 85' Luke Cundle has so much to prove this time. He replaces Femi Azeez on 85 minute.
- 90' With 1 assists to his name this season, Zak Sturge is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
- With this win, Millwall FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Lamine Cisse 60'
-
15
Steven N'Zonzi ↓ Ben Pearson 74'
- 31
-
11
Robert Bozenik ↓ Milan Smit 74'
- 17
- 12
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Sam Gallagher 59'
- 26
- 54
- 50
Bench
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 59'
-
4
Ben Pearson ↑ 74'
-
29
Lamine Cisse ↑ 60'
-
49
Milan Smit ↑ 74'
- 9
- 21
- 25
- 10
- 59
Coach
Mark Robins
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 24
- 13
- 4
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Luke Cundle 85'
- 10
-
19
Josh Coburn ↓ Mihailo Ivanovic 80'
- 6
-
7
Thierno Ballo ↓ Tom Watson 80'
- 49
-
3
Zak Sturge ↓ Dan McNamara 80'
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 85'
- 18
- 67
- 15
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 80'
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 85'
- 29
-
22
Tom Watson ↑ 80'
-
9
Mihailo Ivanovic ↑ 80'
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Charlie Cresswell | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 2 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 2 |
| Romaine Sawyers | 1 |
| George Saville | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
| Saido Berahino | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Millwall FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Millwall FC
67%
Stoke City FC or Millwall FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

