FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at National Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 17 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | FC Tokyo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 17 May | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sanfrecce Hiroshima kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Naoto Arai has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tōkyō side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' FC Tōkyō have won 416 goals from 447 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 23' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
- 28' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 33' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 46' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Naoki Maeda is withdrawn and Sota Nakamura gets his opportunity.
- 49' Against the run of play, Hayato Araki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 54' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 59' GOAL! Ryo Germain scores on 59.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Keigo Higashi. He replaces Takahiro Ko on 62 minute.
- 67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tōkyō that had 447 games and scored 416 goals.
- 72' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 73' Teruhito Nakagawa gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Kein Sato and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Teppei Oka is replacing Marcelo Ryan for the FC Tokyo side.
- 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taishi Nozawa made 447 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Kei Koizumi.
- 88' Hayao Kawabe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 90' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 90 minute. Mutsuki Kato leaves to be changed by Valere Germain.
- The points are shared — FC Tōkyō 0-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Honours even.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 47
- 99
- 22
- 8
- 37
- 41
- 44
- 33
- 32
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 3
- 10
- 39
- 4
- 13
- 30
- 19
- 28
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Hiroya Matsumoto 90'
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 24
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Sota Nakamura 46'
- 33
-
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Taichi Yamasaki 90'
- 13
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Valere Germain 90'
Bench
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 90'
- 18
-
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 90'
-
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
- 20
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
- 40
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 46'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-25
FC Tokyo
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Tokyo Verdy
W
2025-05-11
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
57%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
67%
FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 16% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

