Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 25 May 2025 · 06:00 UTC National Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at National Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–3 L
17 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–3 L
10 May Vissel Kobe H 1–0 W
03 May Albirex Niigata A 3–2 W
29 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–2 L
25 Apr Gamba Osaka H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May FC Tōkyō A 3–0 W
17 May Tokyo Verdy H 2–1 W
11 May Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W
07 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
03 May Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
29 Apr Albirex Niigata H 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Tōkyō Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#12 Position #4
37 Points 30
18 Played 18
13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
55 Scored 41
42 Conceded 33
+13 GD +8
2.06 PPG 1.67
72% Win % 56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
71% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
Motoki Nagakura 5 G 2 A
Marcelo Ryan 3 G 2 A
Soma Anzai 3 G
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Tokyo is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
  • 5' FC Tokyo is showing some good football. However, FC Tokyo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at National Stadium. FC Tokyo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tsukasa Shiotani on 23.
  • 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sho Sasaki suffering a number of foals already.
  • 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
  • 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Naoki Maeda by Sota Nakamura on 46 minute.
  • 49' Hayato Araki adds to his 1 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' Valere Germain has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 59' GOAL! Ryo Germain fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 62' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Takahiro Ko has done his job and it is now time for Keigo Higashi to step up.
  • 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tokyo in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
  • 73' Teruhito Nakagawa is replacing Kein Sato for the FC Tokyo side.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Marcelo Ryan as he leaves the pitch. Teppei Oka steps in for FC Tokyo.
  • 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kei Koizumi on 85 minutes.
  • 88' What composure from Hayao Kawabe! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Mutsuki Kato has done his job and it is now time for Valere Germain to step up.
  • FC Tokyo will have plenty to reflect on. Sanfrecce Hiroshima were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo33% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima43%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
57%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
67%
FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo28% Draw38% Sanfrecce Hiroshima34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–3 not predicted
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 16% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 18% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.