Monday , 12 October 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs KKS Lech Poznan, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 1

Tue 12 Jul 2022 · 16:00 UTC Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Qarabag Agdam FK 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals KKS Lech Poznan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul KKS Lech Poznan H 5–1 W
05 Jul KKS Lech Poznan A 0–1 L
03 Dec Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor H 2–3 L
05 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor A 0–2 L
29 Oct Villarreal CF H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
03 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–4 L
26 Nov Royal Standard de Liege A 1–2 L
05 Nov Royal Standard de Liege H 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Qarabag Agdam FK to score. At the same time, KKS Lech Poznan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 1' Against the run of play, Kristoffer Velde has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 6' It looks like no one’s ball. KKS Lech Poznan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 11' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Richard Almeida made 188 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 14' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kady Malinowski makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 19' The referee calls foul for Richard Almeida. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 24' Qarabag Agdam FK are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against KKS Lech Poznan's shape.
  • 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Qarabag Agdam FK and KKS Lech Poznan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Medina argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Qarabag Agdam FK needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' Senegal international Ibrahima Wadji has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 42' Filip Ozobic doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 47' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John van den Brom will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 52' It’s high time Gurban Gurbanov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' What an equalizer from Kevin Medina!
  • 56' KKS Lech Poznan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
  • 66' Ramil Sheydaev gets the nod from Qarabag Agdam FK. He replaces Ibrahima Wadji and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' It looks surprising Qarabag Agdam FK does not make any changes. Jesper Karlstroem has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' A tactical swap from KKS Lech Poznan — Filip Szymczak on, Joao Amaral off on 72 minutes.
  • 74' What a moment for Kady Malinowski! That strike on 74 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Tural Bayramov. He replaces Elvin Jafarquliyev on 75 minute.
  • 77' What a strike from Abbas Huseynov! The score is 5-1.
  • 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. John van den Brom might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 83' Ismayil Ibrahimli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marko Jankovic on 83 minute.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Barry Douglas. He replaces Pedro Rebocho on 85 minute.
  • 89' Kady Malinowski is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • KKS Lech Poznan will have plenty to reflect on. Qarabag Agdam FK were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.2 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 KKS Lech Poznan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK57% Draw23% KKS Lech Poznan20%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
80%
Draw or KKS Lech Poznan
43%
Qarabag Agdam FK or KKS Lech Poznan
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK44% Draw40% KKS Lech Poznan16%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push KKS Lech Poznan covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.