Sunday , 23 August 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs KKS Lech Poznan, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 1

Tue 12 Jul 2022 · 16:00 UTC Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Qarabag Agdam FK 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals KKS Lech Poznan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul KKS Lech Poznan H 5–1 W
05 Jul KKS Lech Poznan A 0–1 L
03 Dec Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor H 2–3 L
05 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor A 0–2 L
29 Oct Villarreal CF H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
03 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–4 L
26 Nov Royal Standard de Liege A 1–2 L
05 Nov Royal Standard de Liege H 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
Qarabag Agdam FK this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Qarabag Agdam FK
Camilo Duran 5 G 2 A
Leandro Andrade 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Qarabag Agdam FK welcome KKS Lech Poznan for this crunch clash at Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium.
  • 1' What a moment for Kristoffer Velde! That strike on 1 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 6' It’s high time John van den Brom made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 11' Joao Amaral, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 14' GOAL! Kady Malinowski scores on 14.
  • 19' Richard Almeida is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
  • 24' KKS Lech Poznan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Medina on 30.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John van den Brom will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' Qarabag Agdam FK are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined KKS Lech Poznan backline.
  • 42' Goal! Filip Ozobic scores his 7 goal in 252 matches.
  • 47' Qarabag Agdam FK have won 141 goals from 252 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Qarabag Agdam FK needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' What a moment for Kevin Medina! That strike on 56 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 56' Antonio Milic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 56.
  • 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Qarabag Agdam FK and KKS Lech Poznan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Qarabag Agdam FK team. Ibrahima Wadji is replaced by Ramil Sheydaev on 66 minute.
  • 71' It is a cagey affair so far. Qarabag Agdam FK in their trying to find a way past KKS Lech Poznan's compact .
  • 72' Filip Szymczak has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Amaral on 72 minute.
  • 74' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kady Malinowski makes it 4-1.
  • 75' Elvin Jafarquliyev makes way for Tural Bayramov at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 77' Abbas Huseynov doubles the advantage! 5-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gurban Gurbanov might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 83' Ismayil Ibrahimli is replacing Marko Jankovic for the Qarabag Agdam FK side.
  • 85' Another substitution for KKS Lech Poznan to replace Pedro Rebocho by Barry Douglas on 85 minute.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kady Malinowski on 89 minutes.
  • The final score is 5-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.2 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 KKS Lech Poznan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK57% Draw23% KKS Lech Poznan20%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
80%
Draw or KKS Lech Poznan
43%
Qarabag Agdam FK or KKS Lech Poznan
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK44% Draw40% KKS Lech Poznan16%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push KKS Lech Poznan covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
33%
KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.