Qarabag Agdam FK vs KKS Lech Poznan, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 1
Overview
Match Preview
Qarabag Agdam FK vs KKS Lech Poznan — Champions League at Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium.
- Qarabag Agdam FK 8 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- KKS Lech Poznan 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul | KKS Lech Poznan | H | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | KKS Lech Poznan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Dec | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Nov | Demir Grup Sivasspor | H | 2–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | Demir Grup Sivasspor | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | Villarreal CF | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul | Qarabag Agdam FK | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Jul | Qarabag Agdam FK | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Rangers FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Nov | Royal Standard de Liege | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Nov | Royal Standard de Liege | H | 3–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Qarabag Agdam FK to score. At the same time, KKS Lech Poznan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 1' Against the run of play, Kristoffer Velde has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 6' It looks like no one’s ball. KKS Lech Poznan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 11' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Richard Almeida made 188 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 14' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kady Malinowski makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 19' The referee calls foul for Richard Almeida. He receives a Yellow card.
- 24' Qarabag Agdam FK are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against KKS Lech Poznan's shape.
- 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Qarabag Agdam FK and KKS Lech Poznan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Medina argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Qarabag Agdam FK needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 40' Senegal international Ibrahima Wadji has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 42' Filip Ozobic doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 47' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John van den Brom will be considering his options from the bench.
- 52' It’s high time Gurban Gurbanov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' What an equalizer from Kevin Medina!
- 56' KKS Lech Poznan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
- 66' Ramil Sheydaev gets the nod from Qarabag Agdam FK. He replaces Ibrahima Wadji and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' It looks surprising Qarabag Agdam FK does not make any changes. Jesper Karlstroem has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 72' A tactical swap from KKS Lech Poznan — Filip Szymczak on, Joao Amaral off on 72 minutes.
- 74' What a moment for Kady Malinowski! That strike on 74 puts his side firmly in control.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Tural Bayramov. He replaces Elvin Jafarquliyev on 75 minute.
- 77' What a strike from Abbas Huseynov! The score is 5-1.
- 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. John van den Brom might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 83' Ismayil Ibrahimli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marko Jankovic on 83 minute.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Barry Douglas. He replaces Pedro Rebocho on 85 minute.
- 89' Kady Malinowski is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
- KKS Lech Poznan will have plenty to reflect on. Qarabag Agdam FK were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Qarabag Agdam FK Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 5
- 19
- 29
- 7
- 8
- 25
- 81
- 20
- 44
- 1
Bench
- 11
- 30
- 18
- 27
- 23
- 15
- 77
- 55
- 22
- 13
- 4
- 89
Coach
Gurban Gurbanov
KKS Lech Poznan Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Pedro Rebocho ↓ Barry Douglas 85'
- 9
- 22
- 1
- 16
-
24
Joao Amaral ↓ Filip Szymczak 72'
- 37
- 23
- 2
- 6
- 21
Bench
-
3
Barry Douglas ↑ 85'
- 35
-
30
Nika Kvekveskiri ↑ 85'
- 90
-
23
Filip Szymczak ↑ 72'
- 44
-
14
Giorgi Tsitaishvili ↑ 72'
- 20
Coach
John van den Brom
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kady Malinowski | 2 |
| Kristoffer Velde | 1 |
| Abbas Huseynov | 1 |
| Filip Ozobic | 1 |
| Kevin Medina | 1 |
Head to Head
Qarabag Agdam FK Form
2022-07-12
Qarabag Agdam FK
5–1
KKS Lech Poznan
W
2022-07-05
KKS Lech Poznan
1–0
Qarabag Agdam FK
L
2020-12-03
Qarabag Agdam FK
1–1
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC
D
2020-11-26
Qarabag Agdam FK
2–3
Demir Grup Sivasspor
L
2020-11-05
Demir Grup Sivasspor
2–0
Qarabag Agdam FK
L
2020-10-29
Qarabag Agdam FK
1–3
Villarreal CF
L
KKS Lech Poznan Form
2022-07-12
Qarabag Agdam FK
5–1
KKS Lech Poznan
L
2022-07-05
KKS Lech Poznan
1–0
Qarabag Agdam FK
W
2020-12-10
KKS Lech Poznan
0–2
Rangers FC
L
2020-12-03
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
4–0
KKS Lech Poznan
L
2020-11-26
Royal Standard de Liege
2–1
KKS Lech Poznan
L
2020-11-05
KKS Lech Poznan
3–1
Royal Standard de Liege
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.2
Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
KKS Lech Poznan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Qarabag Agdam FK win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
80%
Draw or KKS Lech Poznan
43%
Qarabag Agdam FK or KKS Lech Poznan
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Qarabag Agdam FK win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK
| Handicap | Qarabag Agdam FK covers | Push | KKS Lech Poznan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 18% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 22% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

