Thursday , 2 July 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs KKS Lech Poznan, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 1

Tue 12 Jul 2022 · 16:00 UTC Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Qarabag Agdam FK 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals KKS Lech Poznan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul KKS Lech Poznan H 5–1 W
05 Jul KKS Lech Poznan A 0–1 L
03 Dec Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor H 2–3 L
05 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor A 0–2 L
29 Oct Villarreal CF H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
03 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–4 L
26 Nov Royal Standard de Liege A 1–2 L
05 Nov Royal Standard de Liege H 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
Qarabag Agdam FK this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Tofiq Bakhramov Stadium that hosts another battle between Qarabag Agdam FK and KKS Lech Poznan.
  • 1' Kristoffer Velde puts KKS Lech Poznan on the lead.
  • 6' KKS Lech Poznan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 6.
  • 11' It looks surprising KKS Lech Poznan does not make any changes. Pedro Rebocho has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 14' What a strike from Kady Malinowski! The score is 1-1.
  • 19' Richard Almeida is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
  • 24' It’s high time Gurban Gurbanov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jesper Karlstroem suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' The referee calls foul for Kevin Medina. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' What a strike from Filip Ozobic! The score is 2-1.
  • 47' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 52' The travelling KKS Lech Poznan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' Goal! Kevin Medina scores his 3 goal in 144 matches.
  • 56' KKS Lech Poznan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 56.
  • 61' Qarabag Agdam FK seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 66' Another substitution for Qarabag Agdam FK to replace Ibrahima Wadji by Ramil Sheydaev on 66 minute.
  • 71' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 72' KKS Lech Poznan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Filip Szymczak is hanging Joao Amaral on the field on 72 minute.
  • 74' Goal! Kady Malinowski scores his 8 goal in 252 matches.
  • 75' Another substitution for Qarabag Agdam FK to replace Elvin Jafarquliyev by Tural Bayramov on 75 minute.
  • 77' What a strike from Abbas Huseynov! The score is 5-1.
  • 82' It looks like no one’s ball. Qarabag Agdam FK is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 83' Another change for Qarabag Agdam FK made on 83 minute. Marko Jankovic leaves to be changed by Ismayil Ibrahimli.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Barry Douglas. He replaces Pedro Rebocho on 85 minute.
  • 89' The referee shows Qarabag Agdam FK player a Yellow card on 89.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Qarabag Agdam FK players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.2 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 KKS Lech Poznan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK57% Draw23% KKS Lech Poznan20%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
80%
Draw or KKS Lech Poznan
43%
Qarabag Agdam FK or KKS Lech Poznan
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK44% Draw40% KKS Lech Poznan16%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push KKS Lech Poznan covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
33%
KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.