Monday , 12 October 2026

KKS Lech Poznan vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Wed 6 Aug 2025 · 18:30 UTC Stadion Poznan HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KKS Lech Poznan vs FK Crvena Zvezda — Champions League Q at Stadion Poznan.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
4 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
KKS Lech Poznan 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznan A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W
29 Jan BSC Young Boys A 1–0 W
21 Jan PSV H 2–3 L
11 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznan this season
50% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

KKS Lech Poznan
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

KKS Lech Poznan
Patrik Walemark 2 G
FK Crvena Zvezda
Marko Arnautovic 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadion Poznan. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 9' Rade Krunic puts FK Crvena Zvezda on the lead.
  • 14' KKS Lech Poznan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 14.
  • 19' Filip Jagiello is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
  • 21' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rade Krunic on 21 minutes.
  • 26' The home supporters are growing impatient. KKS Lech Poznan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 31' It looks like no one’s ball. KKS Lech Poznan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 34' What a strike from Mikael Ishak! The score is 1-1.
  • 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
  • 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vladan Milojevic will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' It is a substitution in FK Crvena Zvezda team. Milson is replaced by Shavy Warren Babicka on 46 minute.
  • 51' GOAL! Rade Krunic scores on 51.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Leo Bengtsson as he leaves the pitch. Pablo Rodriguez Delgado steps in for KKS Lech Poznan.
  • 69' FK Crvena Zvezda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 71' Gisli THordarson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antoni Kozubal on 71 minute.
  • 73' GOAL! Bruno Duarte fires home to make it 1-3!
  • 76' FK Crvena Zvezda manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Peter Olayinka is hanging Mirko Ivanic on the field on 76 minute.
  • 79' Another change for FK Crvena Zvezda made on 79 minute. Bruno Duarte leaves to be changed by Aleksandar Katai.
  • 82' A change in the KKS Lech Poznan ranks — Joel Pereira exits the field as Robert Gumny enters on 82.
  • 87' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Crvena Zvezda players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 KKS Lech Poznan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: KKS Lech Poznan or FK Crvena Zvezda 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznan31% Draw27% FK Crvena Zvezda42%
Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznan or Draw
58%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
69%
KKS Lech Poznan or FK Crvena Zvezda
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznan24% Draw44% FK Crvena Zvezda32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznan

Handicap KKS Lech Poznan covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.