TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

3 – 2

Full Time

Holstein Kiel

Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 18,503 HT 45' · FT 45'

Andrej Kramaric pen 6' 1–0

Andrej Kramaric 37' 2–0

2–1 63' Alexander Bernhardsson

Andrej Kramaric 87' 3–1

3–2 89' Shuto Machino

Y 5' Timon Weiner

Adam Hlozek 14' Y

Y 81' Andu Yobel Kelati

YR 82' Andu Yobel Kelati

Max Moerstedt 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Stieler
Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
Assistant 2 Mark Borsch

24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Holstein Kiel

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2021-10-26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Aug	Holstein Kiel	H	3–2	W
16 Aug	FC Wurzburger Kickers	A	5–3	W
18 May	FC Bayern München	H	4–2	W
12 May	SV Darmstadt 98	A	6–0	W
03 May	RB Leipzig	H	1–1	D
26 Apr	VfL Bochum 1848	A	2–3	L

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Aug	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	2–3	L
17 Aug	Alemannia Aachen	A	3–2	W
19 May	Hannover 96	A	2–1	W
11 May	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	H	1–1	D
05 May	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	A	1–0	W
27 Apr	1. FC Kaiserslautern	H	1–3	L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have kicked off against Holstein Kiel. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Timon Weiner on 5 minutes.
6' Andrej Kramaric has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
11' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
14' It’s a booking for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player. Adam Hlozek gets a card.
19' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
24' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
34' Germany international Lewis Holtby has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
37' Brilliant from the ! Andrej Kramaric makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 37.
42' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Holstein Kiel backline.
46' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Marco Komenda departs to be replaced by Finn Porath.
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
54' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Benedikt Pichler is withdrawn and Jann-Fiete Arp gets his opportunity.
59' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim make a change. Adam Hlozek trudges off to be replaced by Mergim Berisha on 59 minutes.
63' Alexander Bernhardsson has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
68' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
69' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Jacob Bruun Larsen comes on to replace Marius Bulter.
74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
79' Nicolai Remberg is ready to make an impact after coming on for Magnus Knudsen at the 79 minute mark.
81' The referee has no hesitation. Andu Yobel Kelati is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 81.
82' Andu Yobel Kelati was booked on 82.
82' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Lewis Holtby is replaced by Marvin Schulz on 82 minute.
87' Andrej Kramaric makes a hat-trick on 87.
89' The Japan Shuto Machino breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 3-2!
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Max Moerstedt.
90' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Max Moerstedt comes on to replace Andrej Kramaric.
It finishes all square. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Holstein Kiel share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

25
Kevin Akpoguma
1
Oliver Baumann
3
Pavel Kaderabek
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Max Moerstedt 90'
11
Florian Grillitsch ↓ Dennis Geiger 69'
6
Grischa Promel
21
Marius Bulter ↓ Jacob Bruun Larsen 69'
23
Adam Hlozek ↓ Mergim Berisha 59'
16
Anton Stach
22
Alexander Prass ↓ Stanley N'Soki 90'
4
Tim Drexler

Bench

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Marvin Schulz 82'
4
Patrick Erras
18
Shuto Machino
1
Timon Weiner
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Nicolai Remberg 79'
9
Benedikt Pichler ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 54'
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↓ Andu Yobel Kelati 46'
17
Timo Becker
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Finn Porath 46'
6
Marko Ivezic
11
Alexander Bernhardsson

Bench

20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 54'
15
Marvin Schulz ↑ 82'
8
Finn Porath ↑ 46'
21
Thomas Dahne
37
Armin Gigovic
14
Max Geschwill
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 79'
23
Lasse Rosenboom
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 46'

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	4
Adam Hlozek	2
Phil Neumann	2
Shuto Machino	1
Alexander Bernhardsson	1
Andu Yobel Kelati	1
Johannes van den Bergh	1
Hauke Finn Wahl	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.18 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 Holstein Kiel xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim54% Draw22% Holstein Kiel24%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.63

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

77%

Draw or Holstein Kiel

46%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Holstein Kiel

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim40% Draw39% Holstein Kiel21%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.2%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 2

5.9%

1 – 0

5.3%

3 – 2

Actual

3 – 0

4.5%

0 – 0

4 – 1

3.5%

0 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	20%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	13%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

Holstein Kiel Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Clean Sheet