TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

3 – 2

Full Time

Holstein Kiel

Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 18,503 HT 45' · FT 45'

Andrej Kramaric pen 6' 1–0

Andrej Kramaric 37' 2–0

2–1 63' Alexander Bernhardsson

Andrej Kramaric 87' 3–1

3–2 89' Shuto Machino

Y 5' Timon Weiner

Adam Hlozek 14' Y

Y 81' Andu Yobel Kelati

YR 82' Andu Yobel Kelati

Max Moerstedt 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Stieler
Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
Assistant 2 Mark Borsch

3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Holstein Kiel

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2021-10-26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Aug	Holstein Kiel	H	3–2	W
16 Aug	FC Wurzburger Kickers	A	5–3	W
18 May	FC Bayern München	H	4–2	W
12 May	SV Darmstadt 98	A	6–0	W
03 May	RB Leipzig	H	1–1	D
26 Apr	VfL Bochum 1848	A	2–3	L

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Aug	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	2–3	L
17 Aug	Alemannia Aachen	A	3–2	W
19 May	Hannover 96	A	2–1	W
11 May	TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf	H	1–1	D
05 May	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	A	1–0	W
27 Apr	1. FC Kaiserslautern	H	1–3	L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/4

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G
Tim Lemperle	1 G
Leon Avdullahu	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have kicked off against Holstein Kiel. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Timon Weiner was booked on 5.
6' GOAL! Andrej Kramaric fires home to make it 1-0!
11' Magnus Knudsen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim so far.
14' The referee calls foul for Adam Hlozek. He receives a card.
19' Holstein Kiel have won 176 goals from 281 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
24' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Holstein Kiel backline.
29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
34' Oliver Baumann is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
37' GOAL! Andrej Kramaric scores on 37. Assisted by Marius Bulter
42' Timo Becker has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 408 appearances.
46' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Finn Porath on, Marco Komenda off on 46 minutes.
51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
54' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Jann-Fiete Arp on, Benedikt Pichler off on 54 minutes.
59' Mergim Berisha has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adam Hlozek on 59 minute.
63' What a strike from Alexander Bernhardsson! The score is 2-1.
68' Both keepers have barely been tested. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
69' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Jacob Bruun Larsen on, Marius Bulter off on 69 minutes.
74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
79' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolai Remberg is hanging Magnus Knudsen on the field on 79 minute.
81' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 81.
82' The referee has no hesitation. Andu Yobel Kelati is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 82.
82' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Lewis Holtby by Marvin Schulz on 82 minute.
87' Brilliant from the ! Andrej Kramaric makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 87.
89' GOAL! Shuto Machino scores on 89. Assisted by Nicolai Remberg
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Max Moerstedt.
90' Max Moerstedt gets the nod from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. He replaces Andrej Kramaric and will look to change the dynamic.
With this win, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

25
Kevin Akpoguma
1
Oliver Baumann
3
Pavel Kaderabek
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Max Moerstedt 90'
11
Florian Grillitsch ↓ Dennis Geiger 69'
6
Grischa Promel
21
Marius Bulter ↓ Jacob Bruun Larsen 69'
23
Adam Hlozek ↓ Mergim Berisha 59'
16
Anton Stach
22
Alexander Prass ↓ Stanley N'Soki 90'
4
Tim Drexler

Bench

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Marvin Schulz 82'
4
Patrick Erras
18
Shuto Machino
1
Timon Weiner
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Nicolai Remberg 79'
9
Benedikt Pichler ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 54'
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↓ Andu Yobel Kelati 46'
17
Timo Becker
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Finn Porath 46'
6
Marko Ivezic
11
Alexander Bernhardsson

Bench

20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 54'
15
Marvin Schulz ↑ 82'
8
Finn Porath ↑ 46'
21
Thomas Dahne
37
Armin Gigovic
14
Max Geschwill
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 79'
23
Lasse Rosenboom
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 46'

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	4
Adam Hlozek	2
Phil Neumann	2
Andu Yobel Kelati	1
Johannes van den Bergh	1
Hauke Finn Wahl	1
Jacob Bruun Larsen	1
Munas Dabbur	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.18 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 Holstein Kiel xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim54% Draw22% Holstein Kiel24%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.63

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

77%

Draw or Holstein Kiel

46%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Holstein Kiel

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim40% Draw39% Holstein Kiel21%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.2%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 2

5.9%

1 – 0

5.3%

3 – 2

Actual

3 – 0

4.5%

0 – 0

4 – 1

3.5%

0 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	20%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	13%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

Holstein Kiel Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Clean Sheet