Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
- Assistant 2 Nikolai Kimmeyer
5 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 8.8 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Alemannia Aachen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 May | Hannover 96 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 May | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Bayern München | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Aug | TuS Koblenz | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–3 | L |
| 12 May | FC Bayern München | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 May | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: VfL Wolfsburg gets underway.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' The 32-year-old Maximilian Arnold has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 19' The referee calls foul for Mattias Svanberg. He receives a card.
- 24' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Holstein Kiel and VfL Wolfsburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 27' The Germany Maximilian Arnold breaks the deadlock on 27 minutes. 0-1!
- 30' What composure from Sebastiaan Bornauw! The Belgium international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 35' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Patrick Wimmer gets a card.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 41' Poor challenge from Ridle Baku. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kilian Fischer on 42 minutes.
- 45' Lovro Majer makes way for Salih Ozcan at the 45 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
- 46' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Marco Komenda exits the field as Max Geschwill enters on 46.
- 48' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
- 51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tiago Tomas.
- 56' Holstein Kiel have won 180 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 59' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
- 64' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Alexander Bernhardsson departs to be replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp.
- 69' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 74' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 75' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Mattias Svanberg is replaced by Jonas Wind.
- 77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cedric Zesiger on 77 minutes.
- 80' The whistle greets Tiago Tomas as he departs to be replaced by Yannick Gerhardt.
- 85' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 86' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Lasse Rosenboom on, Lewis Holtby off on 86 minutes.
- 89' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Maximilian Arnold gets a card.
- 90' Jann-Fiete Arp picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Another three points for VfL Wolfsburg.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Lasse Rosenboom 86'
- 4
- 18
- 1
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Armin Gigovic 64'
- 9
- 17
-
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Max Geschwill 46'
- 5
- 11
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 64'
- 15
- 27
- 21
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 64'
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 46'
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 75'
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↑ 86'
- 6
Coach
Marcel Rapp
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 27
-
20
Ridle Baku ↓ Bence Dardai 80'
-
32
Mattias Svanberg ↓ Jonas Wind 75'
-
19
Lovro Majer ↓ Salih Ozcan 45'
- 3
- 5
- 16
- 39
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↓ Yannick Gerhardt 80'
- 2
Bench
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 80'
- 29
-
8
Salih Ozcan ↑ 45'
- 17
-
23
Jonas Wind ↑ 75'
- 33
-
24
Bence Dardai ↑ 80'
- 22
- 38
Coach
Ralph Hasenhuttl
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Maximilian Arnold | 1 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 1 |
| Jonas Wind | 1 |
| Patrick Wimmer | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
| David Zec | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.78
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfL Wolfsburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
56%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
75%
Holstein Kiel or VfL Wolfsburg
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.8%
0 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
3.3%
0 – 4
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.