Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
- Assistant 2 Nikolai Kimmeyer
9 games this season
🟨 5.1/game
⚽ 17.0 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Alemannia Aachen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 May | Hannover 96 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 May | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Bayern München | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Aug | TuS Koblenz | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–3 | L |
| 12 May | FC Bayern München | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 May | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Holstein Kiel get us underway at Holstein-Stadion.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Holstein Kiel currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 19' Mattias Svanberg has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 19.
- 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
- 27' Maximilian Arnold doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 30' Sebastiaan Bornauw makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and VfL Wolfsburg are in front.
- 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Patrick Wimmer on 35 minutes.
- 40' The 27-year-old Timon Weiner has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 41' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 41.
- 42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kilian Fischer on 42 minutes.
- 45' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Lovro Majer has done his job and it is now time for Salih Ozcan to step up.
- 46' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Marco Komenda departs to be replaced by Max Geschwill.
- 48' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alexander Bernhardsson on 48 minutes.
- 51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tiago Tomas.
- 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. Holstein Kiel must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 59' Magnus Knudsen is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
- 64' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Alexander Bernhardsson is replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp on 64 minute.
- 69' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 75' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Mattias Svanberg exits the field as Jonas Wind enters on 75.
- 77' That is a card for VfL Wolfsburg. Cedric Zesiger will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Tiago Tomas is withdrawn and Yannick Gerhardt gets his opportunity.
- 85' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 86' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Lewis Holtby is replaced by Lasse Rosenboom.
- 89' The referee has no hesitation. Maximilian Arnold is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — card on 89.
- 90' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Jann-Fiete Arp gets a card.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Holstein Kiel.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Lasse Rosenboom 86'
- 4
- 18
- 1
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Armin Gigovic 64'
- 9
- 17
-
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Max Geschwill 46'
- 5
- 11
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 64'
- 15
- 27
- 21
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 64'
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 46'
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 75'
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↑ 86'
- 6
Coach
Marcel Rapp
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 27
-
20
Ridle Baku ↓ Bence Dardai 80'
-
32
Mattias Svanberg ↓ Jonas Wind 75'
-
19
Lovro Majer ↓ Salih Ozcan 45'
- 3
- 5
- 16
- 39
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↓ Yannick Gerhardt 80'
- 2
Bench
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 80'
- 29
-
8
Salih Ozcan ↑ 45'
- 17
-
23
Jonas Wind ↑ 75'
- 33
-
24
Bence Dardai ↑ 80'
- 22
- 38
Coach
Ralph Hasenhuttl
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Maximilian Arnold | 1 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 1 |
| Jonas Wind | 1 |
| Patrick Wimmer | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
| David Zec | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.78
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfL Wolfsburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
56%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
75%
Holstein Kiel or VfL Wolfsburg
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.8%
0 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
3.3%
0 – 4
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.