Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Holstein Kiel
0 – 2
Full Time
VfL Wolfsburg
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 13:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 27' Maximilian Arnold
0–2 30' Sebastiaan Bornauw
Y 19' Mattias Svanberg
Y 35' Patrick Wimmer
Y 41' Ridle Baku
Y 42' Kilian Fischer
Alexander Bernhardsson 48' Y
Y 51' Tiago Tomas
Magnus Knudsen 59' Y
Y 77' Cedric Zesiger
Y 89' Maximilian Arnold
Jann-Fiete Arp 90' Y
Marcel Rapp 90' R
R 90' Pascal Formann
Max Geschwill 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
  • Assistant 2 Nikolai Kimmeyer
17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals VfL Wolfsburg
Last 5 meetings
2024-08-31 Holstein Kiel 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 0–2 L
24 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–3 L
17 Aug Alemannia Aachen A 3–2 W
19 May Hannover 96 A 2–1 W
11 May TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 1–1 D
05 May SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 1–0 W
VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
25 Aug FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
19 Aug TuS Koblenz A 1–0 W
18 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
12 May FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
04 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Holstein Kiel and VfL Wolfsburg is underway.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Timon Weiner, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maximilian Arnold suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mattias Svanberg on 19.
  • 24' VfL Wolfsburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
  • 27' What a strike from Maximilian Arnold! The score is 0-1.
  • 30' Goal! Sebastiaan Bornauw scores his 15 goal in 390 matches.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Patrick Wimmer.
  • 40' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 41' Ridle Baku was booked on 41.
  • 42' The referee calls foul for Kilian Fischer. He receives a card.
  • 45' Salih Ozcan is replacing Lovro Majer for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 46' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Marco Komenda by Max Geschwill on 46 minute.
  • 48' Alexander Bernhardsson is having his name booked by the referee on 48.
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Tiago Tomas. He receives a card.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 471 games and scored 479 goals.
  • 59' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Magnus Knudsen gets a card.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Alexander Bernhardsson is replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp on 64 minute.
  • 69' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 74' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 75' Jonas Wind is replacing Mattias Svanberg for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 77' The referee calls foul for Cedric Zesiger. He receives a card.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Yannick Gerhardt. He replaces Tiago Tomas on 80 minute.
  • 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 86' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Lewis Holtby departs to be replaced by Lasse Rosenboom.
  • 89' Maximilian Arnold is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • 90' Jann-Fiete Arp is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Holstein Kiel.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Steven Skrzybski 1
David Zec 1
Maximilian Arnold 1
Sebastiaan Bornauw 1
Jonas Wind 1
Patrick Wimmer 1

Head to Head

2024-08-31 Holstein Kiel 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg

Holstein Kiel Form

2024-08-31 Holstein Kiel 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2024-08-24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 Holstein Kiel L 2024-08-17 Alemannia Aachen 2–3 Holstein Kiel W 2024-05-19 Hannover 96 1–2 Holstein Kiel W 2024-05-11 Holstein Kiel 1–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf D 2024-05-05 SV Wehen Wiesbaden 0–1 Holstein Kiel W

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2024-08-31 Holstein Kiel 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-08-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München L 2024-08-19 TuS Koblenz 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-05-12 FC Bayern München 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2024-05-04 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 SV Darmstadt 98 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.78 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel25% Draw30% VfL Wolfsburg45%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
56%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
75%
Holstein Kiel or VfL Wolfsburg
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel15% Draw52% VfL Wolfsburg33%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.8%
0 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
3.3%
0 – 4
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 25% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
46% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.