Thursday , 1 October 2026

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Arminia Bielefeld

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Arminia Bielefeld H 0–2 L
02 Aug SC Paderborn 07 A 1–2 L
17 May Borussia Dortmund A 0–3 L
10 May SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
04 May FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
26 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
02 Aug TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 5–1 W
24 May VfB Stuttgart H 2–4 L
01 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–1 W
25 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W
03 Dec SC Freiburg H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Holstein Kiel Arminia Bielefeld
#16 Position #13
4 Points 5
6 Played 6
0 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 3
7 Scored 10
10 Conceded 12
-3 GD -2
0.67 PPG 0.83
0% Win % 17%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
17% Clean Sheets
Arminia Bielefeld this season

Holstein Kiel are 16th (4 pts). Arminia Bielefeld are 13th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arminia Bielefeld
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 4 G 2 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G
Jonas Therkelsen 1 G
Arminia Bielefeld
Joel Grodowski 5 G
Marius Worl 2 G
Marvin Mehlem 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Arminia Bielefeld Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 Arminia Bielefeld xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel23% Draw26% Arminia Bielefeld51%
Actual: Arminia Bielefeld win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
48%
Draw or Arminia Bielefeld
77%
Holstein Kiel or Arminia Bielefeld
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel16% Draw44% Arminia Bielefeld40%
Actual: Arminia Bielefeld win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
0 – 1
9.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 3
6%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.1%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push Arminia Bielefeld covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 23% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 18% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Arminia Bielefeld keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.