Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld — 2. Bundesliga .
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
- Arminia Bielefeld 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Schlager
20 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Arminia Bielefeld | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Aug | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | SC Freiburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | FC Augsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 4–3 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Aug | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 5–1 | W |
| 24 May | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Apr | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Feb | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Holstein Kiel | Arminia Bielefeld | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #13 |
| 41 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 10 / 9 / 15 |
| 44 | Scored | 53 |
| 48 | Conceded | 51 |
| -4 | GD | +2 |
| 1.21 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Arminia Bielefeld this season
Arminia Bielefeld this season
Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts). Arminia Bielefeld are 13th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arminia Bielefeld
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/1
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Holstein Kiel.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Arminia Bielefeld Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Arminia Bielefeld Form
2025-08-10
Holstein Kiel
0–2
Arminia Bielefeld
W
2025-08-02
Arminia Bielefeld
5–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
2025-05-24
Arminia Bielefeld
2–4
VfB Stuttgart
L
2025-04-01
Arminia Bielefeld
2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-02-25
Arminia Bielefeld
2–1
SV Werder Bremen
W
2024-12-03
Arminia Bielefeld
3–1
SC Freiburg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.95
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
Arminia Bielefeld xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Arminia Bielefeld win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
49%
Draw or Arminia Bielefeld
77%
Holstein Kiel or Arminia Bielefeld
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Arminia Bielefeld win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
2.9%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Arminia Bielefeld covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 23% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Arminia Bielefeld keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

