Monday , 21 September 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 14 Jan 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Clancy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
11 Jan Dundee FC A 1–0 W
03 Jan Livingston FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Hibernian FC A 2–3 L
21 Dec Rangers FC H 2–1 W
13 Dec Falkirk FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
10 Jan Falkirk FC H 0–2 L
03 Jan Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
30 Dec Rangers FC A 1–2 L
27 Dec Kilmarnock FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec Livingston FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC St. Mirren FC
#3 Position #5
13 Points 10
7 Played 7
4 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
14 Scored 8
8 Conceded 9
+6 GD -1
1.86 PPG 1.43
57% Win % 43%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G
St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.23 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC68% Draw20% St. Mirren FC12%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
88%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
32%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC50% Draw40% St. Mirren FC10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.7%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
4 – 0
4.9%
4 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 1
3.2%
1 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 21% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 23% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
47%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.