Monday , 12 October 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC Tynecastle HT 45' · FT 45'
Laurent Mendy 20' 1–0
Calvin Miller pen 32' 2–0
Calvin Miller pen 50' 3–0
Claudio Braga 54' 4–0
Joshua McPake 80' 5–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Oct St. Mirren FC H 5–0 W
19 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Falkirk FC A 1–2 L
06 Sep Dundee FC H 2–1 W
03 Sep Hibernian FC A 3–1 W
29 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–5 L
19 Sep Dundee United FC H 0–3 L
09 Sep Rangers FC A 0–1 L
05 Sep Celtic FC H 1–2 L
02 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Motherwell FC H 3–3 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC St. Mirren FC
#3 Position #7
16 Points 10
8 Played 8
5 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 4
19 Scored 8
8 Conceded 14
+11 GD -6
2.00 PPG 1.25
63% Win % 38%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (16 pts). St. Mirren FC are 7th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/–
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
Claudio Braga 3 G 2 A
Calvin Miller 3 G 1 A
James Wilson 3 G
Joshua McPake 2 G 1 A
Laurent Mendy 2 G
St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.3 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 79% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC79% Draw13% St. Mirren FC8%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 3.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
92%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
21%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC66% Draw28% St. Mirren FC6%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
10.9%
4 – 0
9.2%
3 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.6%
5 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
6.1%
1 – 1
4.7%
5 – 1
4.1%
6 – 0
3.4%
0 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 48% — 52%
-2 48% 21% 31%
-1.5 69% — 31%
-1 69% 16% 15%
-0.5 85% — 15%
+0.5 96% — 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.