Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 14 Jan 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Clancy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
11 Jan Dundee FC A 1–0 W
03 Jan Livingston FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Hibernian FC A 2–3 L
21 Dec Rangers FC H 2–1 W
13 Dec Falkirk FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
10 Jan Falkirk FC H 0–2 L
03 Jan Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
30 Dec Rangers FC A 1–2 L
27 Dec Kilmarnock FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec Livingston FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC St. Mirren FC
#4 Position #2
3 Points 6
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 0
5 Scored 3
2 Conceded 0
+3 GD +3
1.50 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
100% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). St. Mirren FC are 2nd (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.07 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC48% Draw31% St. Mirren FC21%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
78%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
52%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC26% Draw57% St. Mirren FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.1%
1 – 0
15.3%
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
3%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 17% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
46%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.