Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cruzeiro EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 9 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
05 Nov Gremio FBPA A 1–0 W
01 Nov EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
26 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
19 Oct Fortaleza EC H 1–0 W
16 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
06 Nov Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
02 Nov Ceará SC A 0–2 L
29 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W
25 Oct SC Internacional H 1–0 W
20 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Cruzeiro EC Fluminense FC
#6 Position #4
33 Points 38
22 Played 23
9 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
30 Scored 34
31 Conceded 28
-1 GD +6
1.50 PPG 1.65
41% Win % 43%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
21% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Cruzeiro EC are 6th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/
61-75
4/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Kaio Jorge 6 G
Christian 5 G 3 A
Matheus Pereira 5 G 2 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Cruzeiro EC is hosting Fluminense FC for another epic battle.
  • 4' Fabricio Bruno has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 4.
  • 9' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 11' Facundo Bernal catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 11.
  • 14' Christian catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 14.
  • 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' Matheus Pereira picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thiago Silva, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 389 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 46' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Facundo Bernal exits the field as Nonato enters on 46.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' Cruzeiro EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' Cruzeiro EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 65' The whistle greets Kevin Serna as he departs to be replaced by Yeferson Soteldo.
  • 68' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 68 minute. Keny Arroyo leaves to be changed by Gabriel Barbosa.
  • 72' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Agustin Canobbio is withdrawn and Keno gets his opportunity.
  • 73' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Everaldo is withdrawn and John Kennedy gets his opportunity.
  • 74' That is a card for Cruzeiro EC. Lucas Romero will be fuming at that decision.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Juan Freytes argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 81' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 81 minutes.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Luis Sinisterra. He replaces Christian on 84 minute.
  • 85' Lima is replacing Luciano Acosta for the Fluminense FC side.
  • 90' Walace was booked on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC45% Draw30% Fluminense FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw
75%
Draw or Fluminense FC
55%
Cruzeiro EC or Fluminense FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cruzeiro EC30% Draw52% Fluminense FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap Cruzeiro EC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
41%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.