Thursday , 2 July 2026

Ceará SC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
2 – 0
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 16' Francis Amuzu
Y 41' Matias Arezo
Y 54' Igor
Matheus Bahia 73' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

3
2
6
Ceará SC 11 games · Avg 2.7 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA 2021-09-12 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 Ceará SC 2021-05-30 Ceará SC 3–2 Grêmio FBPA 2020-11-14 Grêmio FBPA 4–2 Ceará SC 2020-08-13 Ceará SC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
13 Nov EC Juventude H 4–1 W
09 Nov Avai FC A 0–2 L
05 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
31 Oct Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Ceará SC A 0–2 L
29 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
08 Dec SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–3 L
04 Dec EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
01 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
28 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Ceará SC gets underway.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 16' The referee calls foul for Francis Amuzu. He receives a card.
  • 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
  • 26' Ceara SC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Pedro Raul on 26.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matias Arezo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' The travelling Grêmio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Camilo departs to be replaced by Franco Cristaldo.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Igor.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Fernandinho is replaced by Silvio Martinez.
  • 63' Joao Pedro is replacing Cristian Pavon for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 64' Alexander Aravena is replacing Igor for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 67' Matheus Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Mugni on 67 minute.
  • 72' It’s high time Gustavo Quinteros made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 73' Matheus Bahia was booked on 73.
  • 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Ceará SC that had 238 games and scored 233 goals.
  • 81' Miguel Monsalve has so much to prove this time. He replaces Edenilson on 81 minute.
  • 86' Grêmio FBPA started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
  • 87' Andre has so much to prove this time. He replaces Francis Amuzu on 87 minute.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Ceara SC. Antonio Galeano is replaced by Aylon.
  • With this win, Ceará SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gustavo Quinteros

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Souza 2
Thonny Anderson 2
Thonny Anderson 2
Geromel 2
Maicon 1
Ricardinho 1
Luan 1
Fabinho 1

Head to Head

2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA 2021-09-12 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 Ceará SC 2021-05-30 Ceará SC 3–2 Grêmio FBPA 2020-11-14 Grêmio FBPA 4–2 Ceará SC 2020-08-13 Ceará SC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA

Ceará SC Form

2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-03-31 RB Bragantino 2–2 Ceará SC D 2022-11-13 Ceará SC 4–1 EC Juventude W 2022-11-09 Avai FC 2–0 Ceará SC L 2022-11-05 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–0 Ceará SC L 2022-10-31 Ceará SC 0–1 Fluminense FC L

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-03-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro W 2024-12-08 Grêmio FBPA 0–3 SC Corinthians Paulista L 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2024-12-01 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC48% Draw27% Grêmio FBPA25%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
75%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
52%
Ceará SC or Grêmio FBPA
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC34% Draw47% Grêmio FBPA19%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.