Thursday , 1 October 2026

Ceará SC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
2 – 0
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 16' Francis Amuzu
Y 41' Matias Arezo
Y 54' Igor
Matheus Bahia 73' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

3
2
6
Ceará SC 11 games · Avg 2.7 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA 2021-09-12 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Ceará SC 2021-05-30 Ceará SC 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2020-11-14 Gremio FBPA 4–2 Ceará SC 2020-08-13 Ceará SC 1–1 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
31 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
13 Nov EC Juventude H 4–1 W
09 Nov Avaí FC A 0–2 L
05 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
31 Oct Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Ceará SC A 0–2 L
29 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
08 Dec SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–3 L
04 Dec EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
01 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
28 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Ceará SC launch into their encounter with Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Ceará SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Edenilson made 340 appearances and scored 44 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 16' The referee calls foul for Francis Amuzu. He receives a card.
  • 21' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 26' Pedro Raul does the damage! The net is bulging and Ceara SC surge ahead!
  • 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Ceará SC and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Matias Arezo is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 41.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Franco Cristaldo comes on to replace Camilo.
  • 51' Lucas Esteves is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Igor. He receives a card.
  • 58' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Fernandinho by Silvio Martinez on 58 minute.
  • 63' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Cristian Pavon by Joao Pedro on 63 minute.
  • 64' Alexander Aravena has so much to prove this time. He replaces Igor on 64 minute.
  • 67' A change in the Ceara SC ranks — Lucas Mugni exits the field as Matheus Araujo enters on 67.
  • 72' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 73' Matheus Bahia is having his name booked by the referee on 73.
  • 78' With 0 assists to his name this season, Andre is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Ceará SC.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Edenilson is replaced by Miguel Monsalve on 81 minute.
  • 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Ceará SC that had 238 games and scored 233 goals.
  • 87' Andre is ready to make an impact after coming on for Francis Amuzu at the 87 minute mark.
  • 90' Ceara SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aylon is hanging Antonio Galeano on the field on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Ceará SC 2-0 Grêmio FBPA.

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gustavo Quinteros

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Diego Souza 2
Thonny Anderson 2
Thonny Anderson 2
Geromel 2
Arthur Cabral 1
Diego Churin 1
Michel 1
Tiago Pagnussat 1

Head to Head

2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA 2021-09-12 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Ceará SC 2021-05-30 Ceará SC 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2020-11-14 Gremio FBPA 4–2 Ceará SC 2020-08-13 Ceará SC 1–1 Gremio FBPA

Ceará SC Form

2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2025-03-31 RB Bragantino 2–2 Ceará SC D 2022-11-13 Ceará SC 4–1 EC Juventude W 2022-11-09 Avaí FC 2–0 Ceará SC L 2022-11-05 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–0 Ceará SC L 2022-10-31 Ceará SC 0–1 Fluminense FC L

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-04-05 Ceará SC 2–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro L 2024-12-08 Gremio FBPA 0–3 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC48% Draw27% Grêmio FBPA25%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
75%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
52%
Ceará SC or Grêmio FBPA
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC34% Draw47% Grêmio FBPA19%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.