São Paulo FC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs Santos FC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Santos FC 27 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | SC Recife | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | São Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Apr | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | Santos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #8 |
| 36 | Points | 38 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 41 |
| 30 | Conceded | 40 |
| +2 | GD | +1 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.41 |
| 37% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
Santos FC this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Santos FC are 8th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
7/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/4
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Santos FC
| Gabriel Barbosa | 11 G | 3 A |
| Neymar | 6 G | 3 A |
| Alvaro Barreal | 5 G | 1 A |
| Benjamin Rollheiser | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Morumbi as São Paulo FC face off against Santos FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Santos FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Ferreira adds to his 4 season tally! Sao Paulo FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' Santos FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 23' Magnificent from Andre Silva! That is 41 goals in 329 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' Benjamin Rollheiser catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 30.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering São Paulo FC that had 378 games and scored 413 goals.
- 40' Brazil international Lucas Ferreira has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Jose Sabino.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Marcos Antonio argues furiously but the card stands.
- 48' Tiquinho Soares adds to his 0 season tally! Santos FC lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
- 48' Poor challenge from Tiquinho Soares. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 53' São Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Santos FC backline.
- 57' Rafael Monteiro catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
- 62' It looks like no one’s ball. Santos FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 63' It’s gonna be a card for Alisson.
- 68' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both São Paulo FC and Santos FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 73' São Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 75' Matheus picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 76' It is a substitution in Santos FC team. Leonardo Godoy is replaced by Joao Pedro Chermont on 76 minute.
- 77' The crowd applauds Alvaro Barreal as he leaves the pitch. Gabriel Veron steps in for Santos FC.
- 82' São Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 87' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joao Schmidt is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Santos FC.
- 88' The whistle greets Joao Schmidt as he departs to be replaced by Thaciano.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Rodrigo Huendra.
- 90' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Cedric exits the field as Igor Vinicius enters on 90.
- Another three points for São Paulo FC.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 6
- 20
- 35
- 13
- 17
- 11
- 22
- 23
- 48
- 47
Bench
- 10
- 93
- 2
- 18
- 28
- 32
- 36
- 15
- 21
- 43
- 49
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Santos FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Joao Schmidt ↓ Thaciano 88'
- 9
- 29
- 31
-
22
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Gabriel Veron 77'
- 11
- 77
- 4
- 32
- 2
-
49
Gabriel Bontempo ↓ Diego Pituca 77'
Bench
-
16
Thaciano ↑ 88'
- 8
- 3
- 1
-
21
Diego Pituca ↑ 77'
-
70
Gabriel Veron ↑ 77'
- 38
- 36
-
44
Joao Pedro Chermont ↑ 76'
- 17
- 25
Coach
Cesar Sampaio
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 4 |
| Alexandre Pato | 3 |
| Carlos Sanchez | 3 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Gabriel | 2 |
| Gabriel Pirani | 2 |
| Marcos Leonardo Almeida | 2 |
| Reinaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Santos FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Santos FC
48%
São Paulo FC or Santos FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | Santos FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

