Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Santos FC — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
13 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
06 Apr CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
29 Mar SC Recife H 0–0 D
08 Dec Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr São Paulo FC A 1–2 L
17 Apr CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
13 Apr Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
06 Apr EC Bahia H 2–2 D
30 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
07 Dec Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Santos FC
#11 Position #8
36 Points 38
27 Played 27
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 9
32 Scored 41
30 Conceded 40
+2 GD +1
1.33 PPG 1.41
37% Win % 37%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Santos FC are 8th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
7/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/4
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 11 G 3 A
Neymar 6 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Morumbi as São Paulo FC face off against Santos FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Santos FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Ferreira adds to his 4 season tally! Sao Paulo FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' Santos FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 23' Magnificent from Andre Silva! That is 41 goals in 329 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Benjamin Rollheiser catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 30.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering São Paulo FC that had 378 games and scored 413 goals.
  • 40' Brazil international Lucas Ferreira has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Jose Sabino.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Marcos Antonio argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 48' Tiquinho Soares adds to his 0 season tally! Santos FC lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 48' Poor challenge from Tiquinho Soares. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 53' São Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Santos FC backline.
  • 57' Rafael Monteiro catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
  • 62' It looks like no one’s ball. Santos FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Alisson.
  • 68' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both São Paulo FC and Santos FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 73' São Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 75' Matheus picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Santos FC team. Leonardo Godoy is replaced by Joao Pedro Chermont on 76 minute.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Alvaro Barreal as he leaves the pitch. Gabriel Veron steps in for Santos FC.
  • 82' São Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 87' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joao Schmidt is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Santos FC.
  • 88' The whistle greets Joao Schmidt as he departs to be replaced by Thaciano.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Rodrigo Huendra.
  • 90' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Cedric exits the field as Igor Vinicius enters on 90.
  • Another three points for São Paulo FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC52% Draw26% Santos FC22%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Santos FC
48%
São Paulo FC or Santos FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC34% Draw48% Santos FC18%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.