Thursday , 2 July 2026

Mirassol FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Mirassol FC
4 – 1
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Wed 16 Apr 2025 · 22:00 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 15' Martin Braithwaite
Y 18' Tiago Volpi
Y 60' Mathias Villasanti
Negueba 64' Y
Y 67' Edenilson
Daniel Borges 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

2
Mirassol FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Grêmio FBPA H 4–1 W
13 Apr EC Bahia A 1–1 D
06 Apr Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Cruzeiro EC A 1–2 L
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Mirassol FC A 1–4 L
13 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–2 L
05 Apr Ceará SC A 0–2 L
29 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
08 Dec SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–3 L
04 Dec EC Vitoria A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Grêmio FBPA
#19 Position #16
16 Points 21
17 Played 18
4 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
18 Scored 20
24 Conceded 23
-6 GD -3
0.94 PPG 1.17
24% Win % 28%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Mirassol FC are 19th (16 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 3 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA has kicked off!
  • 3' The Brazil Daniel Borges breaks the deadlock on 3 minutes. 1-0!
  • 8' The travelling Grêmio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 13' Both keepers have barely been tested. Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' A meaty challenge results in booking for Martin Braithwaite on 15.
  • 18' A moment of madness from Tiago Volpi on 18 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 21' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Reinaldo makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 26' Grêmio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Mirassol FC ring the changes. Gabriel has done his job and it is now time for Yago Felipe to step up.
  • 35' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' The 35-year-old Tiago Volpi has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' The whistle greets Franco Cristaldo as he departs to be replaced by Dodi.
  • 51' Mirassol FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' Cristian Pavon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 57' Mirassol FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Negueba is hanging Fabricio Daniel on the field on 57 minute.
  • 60' Mathias Villasanti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 64' That is a card for Mirassol FC. Negueba will be fuming at that decision.
  • 65' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Cristian Pavon departs to be replaced by Alysson.
  • 67' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 67.
  • 72' Supporters expect more eagerness from Edenilson, as he is very good at scoring at Campos Maia with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 77' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matias Arezo is hanging Mathias Villasanti on the field on 77 minute.
  • 78' The Brazil Reinaldo breaks the deadlock on 78 minutes. 3-0!
  • 80' Iury makes way for Clayson at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Mirassol FC.
  • 82' Martin Braithwaite adds to his 0 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Andre on, Francis Amuzu off on 84 minutes.
  • 85' A stunning finish from Daniel Borges — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Daniel Borges. He receives a card.
  • Another three points for Mirassol FC.

Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ivan Baitello

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gustavo Quinteros

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.25 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Mirassol FC to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC62% Draw21% Grêmio FBPA17%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
38%
Mirassol FC or Grêmio FBPA
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC46% Draw40% Grêmio FBPA14%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.