Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Centenario.
- Grêmio FBPA 28 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Jun | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | AC Goianiense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Botafogo FR | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Jun | EC Juventude | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #2 |
| 29 | Points | 57 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 7 / 8 / 13 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 3 |
| 30 | Scored | 47 |
| 38 | Conceded | 21 |
| -8 | GD | +26 |
| 1.04 | PPG | 2.04 |
| 25% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — let the football do the talking.
- 2' Goal! Cristian Pavon scores his 29 goal in 182 matches.
- 7' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 12' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 17' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Agustin Marchesin made 33 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 22' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 32' The 28-year-old Joao Pedro Pepe has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 37' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a card on 37.
- 41' SE Palmeiras player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Fabinho exits the field as Mayke enters on 46.
- 51' The travelling SE Palmeiras supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 54' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a card on 54.
- 55' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 55 minute. Kaiky Marques leaves to be changed by Vanderlan.
- 59' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Edenilson by Everton on 59 minute.
- 64' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Weverton has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 69' Marcos Rocha makes way for Dudu at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 70' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Franco Cristaldo makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 71' Rodrigo Ely catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
- 73' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Rodrigo Ely by Rodrigo Caio on 73 minute.
- 74' Brilliant from the ! Jose Manuel Lopez makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 74.
- 74' Gustavo Gomes makes way for Nata at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 77' Estevao makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
- 81' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Estevao has done his job and it is now time for Nathan Ribeiro to step up.
- 82' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
- 87' Grêmio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 5
- 18
- 21
- 15
- 10
- 23
- 1
- 8
- 39
Bench
- 14
- 30
- 26
- 37
- 13
- 36
- 33
- 35
- 32
- 47
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
- 21
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↓ Dudu 69'
- 5
- 42
- 22
-
34
Kaiky Marques ↓ Vanderlan 55'
- 40
- 35
- 41
- 44
Bench
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
53%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
75%
Grêmio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
5.6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

