Thursday , 1 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 4 Jul 2024 · 22:00 UTC Centenario 15,597 HT 45' · FT 45'
Cristian Pavon 2' 1–0
Franco Cristaldo pen 70' 2–0
2–1 74' Jose Manuel Lopez
2–2 77' Estevao
Y 37' Vitor Reis
Rodrigo Ely 71' Y
Nata 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Centenario.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jul SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
30 Jun Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
26 Jun AC Goianiense A 1–1 D
22 Jun SC Internacional H 0–1 L
19 Jun Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
16 Jun Botafogo FR H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jul Gremio FBPA A 2–2 D
01 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
27 Jun Fortaleza EC A 0–3 L
23 Jun EC Juventude H 3–1 W
21 Jun RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
17 Jun CA Mineiro A 4–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA SE Palmeiras
#17 Position #2
29 Points 57
28 Played 28
7 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 3
30 Scored 47
38 Conceded 21
-8 GD +26
1.04 PPG 2.04
25% Win % 57%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — let the football do the talking.
  • 2' Goal! Cristian Pavon scores his 29 goal in 182 matches.
  • 7' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 12' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 17' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Agustin Marchesin made 33 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 22' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 32' The 28-year-old Joao Pedro Pepe has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 37' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a card on 37.
  • 41' SE Palmeiras player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Fabinho exits the field as Mayke enters on 46.
  • 51' The travelling SE Palmeiras supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 54' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a card on 54.
  • 55' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 55 minute. Kaiky Marques leaves to be changed by Vanderlan.
  • 59' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Edenilson by Everton on 59 minute.
  • 64' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Weverton has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' Marcos Rocha makes way for Dudu at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 70' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Franco Cristaldo makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 71' Rodrigo Ely catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
  • 73' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Rodrigo Ely by Rodrigo Caio on 73 minute.
  • 74' Brilliant from the ! Jose Manuel Lopez makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 74.
  • 74' Gustavo Gomes makes way for Nata at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 77' Estevao makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
  • 81' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Estevao has done his job and it is now time for Nathan Ribeiro to step up.
  • 82' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 87' Grêmio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA25% Draw27% SE Palmeiras48%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
53%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
75%
Grêmio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA17% Draw45% SE Palmeiras38%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
5.6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.