Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 4 Jul 2024 · 22:00 UTC Centenario 15,597 HT 45' · FT 45'
Cristian Pavon 2' 1–0
Franco Cristaldo pen 70' 2–0
2–1 74' Jose Manuel Lopez
2–2 77' Estevao
Y 37' Vitor Reis
Rodrigo Ely 71' Y
Nata 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs SE PalmeirasSerie A at Centenario.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jul SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
30 Jun Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
26 Jun AC Goianiense A 1–1 D
22 Jun SC Internacional H 0–1 L
19 Jun Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
16 Jun Botafogo FR H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jul Grêmio FBPA A 2–2 D
01 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
27 Jun Fortaleza EC A 0–3 L
23 Jun EC Juventude H 3–1 W
21 Jun RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
17 Jun CA Mineiro A 4–0 W

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA SE Palmeiras
#16 Position #1
21 Points 41
18 Played 18
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 12 / 5 / 1
20 Scored 30
23 Conceded 13
-3 GD +17
1.17 PPG 2.28
28% Win % 67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Gustavo Gomez 3 G
Jhon Arias 3 G
Vitor Roque 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Centenario will turn into a battlefield for Grêmio FBPA and SE Palmeiras.
  • 2' Cristian Pavon doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 7' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 12' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 22' SE Palmeiras is showing some good football. However, SE Palmeiras are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 27' Vitor Reis is a natural centre-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
  • 32' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Marlon Freitas scoring 2 goals.
  • 37' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a card on 37.
  • 41' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Kaiky Marques will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' Fabinho makes way for Mayke at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Anibal Moreno on 54 minutes.
  • 55' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Kaiky Marques is replaced by Vanderlan on 55 minute.
  • 59' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 59 minute. Edenilson leaves to be changed by Everton.
  • 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mayke is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
  • 69' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Marcos Rocha is replaced by Dudu on 69 minute.
  • 70' Franco Cristaldo makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
  • 71' Rodrigo Ely picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Rodrigo Caio comes on to replace Rodrigo Ely.
  • 74' GOAL! Jose Manuel Lopez scores on 74.
  • 74' Gremio FBPA make a change. Gustavo Gomes trudges off to be replaced by Nata on 74 minutes.
  • 77' Estevao has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 77 minutes.
  • 81' Nathan Ribeiro is replacing Estevao for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nata on 82.
  • 87' Marcos Rocha, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Grêmio FBPA 2-2 SE Palmeiras.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA26% Draw28% SE Palmeiras46%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
53%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
74%
Grêmio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA18% Draw46% SE Palmeiras36%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 23% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
19%
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.