Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Centenario.
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Jun | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | AC Goianiense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Botafogo FR | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul | Grêmio FBPA | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Jun | EC Juventude | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Jun | CA Mineiro | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Grêmio FBPA | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #1 |
| 21 | Points | 41 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 5 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 12 / 5 / 1 |
| 20 | Scored | 30 |
| 23 | Conceded | 13 |
| -3 | GD | +17 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 2.28 |
| 28% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Centenario will turn into a battlefield for Grêmio FBPA and SE Palmeiras.
- 2' Cristian Pavon doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 7' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 12' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 22' SE Palmeiras is showing some good football. However, SE Palmeiras are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 27' Vitor Reis is a natural centre-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
- 32' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Marlon Freitas scoring 2 goals.
- 37' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a card on 37.
- 41' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Kaiky Marques will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' Fabinho makes way for Mayke at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Anibal Moreno on 54 minutes.
- 55' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Kaiky Marques is replaced by Vanderlan on 55 minute.
- 59' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 59 minute. Edenilson leaves to be changed by Everton.
- 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mayke is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
- 69' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Marcos Rocha is replaced by Dudu on 69 minute.
- 70' Franco Cristaldo makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
- 71' Rodrigo Ely picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 73' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Rodrigo Caio comes on to replace Rodrigo Ely.
- 74' GOAL! Jose Manuel Lopez scores on 74.
- 74' Gremio FBPA make a change. Gustavo Gomes trudges off to be replaced by Nata on 74 minutes.
- 77' Estevao has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 77 minutes.
- 81' Nathan Ribeiro is replacing Estevao for the Gremio FBPA side.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nata on 82.
- 87' Marcos Rocha, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Grêmio FBPA 2-2 SE Palmeiras.
Lineups
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 5
- 18
- 21
- 15
- 10
- 23
- 1
- 8
- 39
Bench
- 14
- 30
- 26
- 37
- 13
- 36
- 33
- 35
- 32
- 47
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
- 21
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↓ Dudu 69'
- 5
- 42
- 22
-
34
Kaiky Marques ↓ Vanderlan 55'
- 40
- 35
- 41
- 44
Bench
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
53%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
74%
Grêmio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

