Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 30 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Centenario 8,549 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gustavo Gomes 61' 1–0
Geromel 36' Y
Y 39' German Cano
Y 52' Jan Lucumi
Dodi 55' Y
YR 87' Jan Lucumi

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Centenario.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
26 Jun AC Goianiense A 1–1 D
22 Jun SC Internacional H 0–1 L
19 Jun Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
16 Jun Botafogo FR H 1–2 L
13 Jun CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Grêmio FBPA A 0–1 L
27 Jun EC Vitoria H 0–1 L
23 Jun CR Flamengo H 0–1 L
20 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
16 Jun AC Goianiense H 1–2 L
11 Jun Botafogo FR A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA Fluminense FC
#16 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 4 / 5
20 Scored 28
23 Conceded 23
-3 GD +5
1.17 PPG 1.72
28% Win % 50%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Grêmio FBPA kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcao might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. John Kennedy made 386 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 33' The crowd applauds Marcelo as he leaves the pitch. Diogo Barbosa steps in for Fluminense FC.
  • 36' Geromel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 36.
  • 39' That is a card for Fluminense FC. German Cano will be fuming at that decision.
  • 44' Gabriel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. David Terans departs to be replaced by Jan Lucumi.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 52' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Jan Lucumi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dodi.
  • 60' Joao Pedro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 61' Against the run of play, Gustavo Gomes has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 66' Fluminense FC have won 415 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 69' Felipe Carballo gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Edenilson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! John Kennedy comes on to replace German Cano.
  • 75' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 80' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 80 minutes.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Marlon is replaced by Elias Kaua on 82 minute.
  • 84' Du Queiroz gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Franco Cristaldo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jan Lucumi on 87 minutes.
  • 90' The whistle greets Dodi as he departs to be replaced by Nata.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Grêmio FBPA players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA49% Draw28% Fluminense FC23%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
77%
Draw or Fluminense FC
51%
Grêmio FBPA or Fluminense FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA28% Draw52% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
39%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.