Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun | EC Vitoria | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Jun | CR Flamengo | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Jun | AC Goianiense | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jun | EC Juventude | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 4–2 | W |
| 16 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | EC Juventude | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jun | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #13 |
| 31 | Points | 22 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 9 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 7 |
| 28 | Scored | 21 |
| 23 | Conceded | 25 |
| +5 | GD | -4 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 50% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Fluminense FC welcome EC Vitoria for this crunch clash at Maracana.
- 5' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' EC Vitoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Lucas Arcanjo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Maracana. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past EC Vitoria's compact 4-1-4-1.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Willian Oliveira made 173 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 31' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Gabriel will be fuming at that decision.
- 34' The referee has no hesitation. Caio Vinicius is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 34.
- 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 44' Osvaldo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 46' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Gabriel is replaced by Alexsander Gomes on 46 minute.
- 51' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 56' Ecuador international Erick Castillo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 58' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Matheuzinho by Jean Mota on 58 minute.
- 61' A moment of madness from Samuel Xavier on 61 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 64' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 64.
- 66' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Patric Calmon is withdrawn and Raul Caceres gets his opportunity.
- 71' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Jose Hugo comes on to replace Luan.
- 76' Thiago Santos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 77' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Renato Augusto on, Martinelli off on 77 minutes.
- 78' Ganso makes way for John Kennedy at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 83' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 85' Fluminense FC make a change. Keno trudges off to be replaced by Douglas Costa on 85 minutes.
- 86' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 86 minute. Marcelo leaves to be changed by Diogo Barbosa.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 80
- 25
- 29
-
10
Ganso ↓ John Kennedy 78'
-
12
Marcelo ↓ Diogo Barbosa 86'
-
22
Gabriel ↓ Alexsander Gomes 46'
-
11
Keno ↓ Douglas Costa 85'
- 14
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Renato Augusto 77'
Bench
- –
-
6
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 86'
- 23
-
90
Douglas Costa ↑ 85'
- 4
-
20
Renato Augusto ↑ 77'
- 31
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 78'
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 46'
- –
- 19
- –
Coach
Fernando Diniz
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
9
Alerrandro ↓ Janderson Costa 71'
- 15
- 8
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Erick Castillo 71'
- 29
- 1
- 4
-
14
Patric Calmon ↓ Raul Caceres 66'
-
30
Matheuzinho ↓ Jean Mota 58'
- 5
- 97
Bench
- 40
-
10
Jean Mota ↑ 58'
-
27
Raul Caceres ↑ 66'
-
31
Erick Castillo ↑ 71'
- –
- 22
-
17
Jose Hugo ↑ 71'
- 80
- –
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 71'
- 83
- 62
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| John Kennedy | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Kevin Serna | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Lucas Braga | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC or EC Vitoria 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
69%
Draw or EC Vitoria
60%
Fluminense FC or EC Vitoria
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

