Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun | EC Vitoria | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Jun | CR Flamengo | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Jun | AC Goianiense | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jun | EC Juventude | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 4–2 | W |
| 16 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | EC Juventude | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jun | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #13 |
| 38 | Points | 26 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 10 / 8 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 10 |
| 34 | Scored | 22 |
| 28 | Conceded | 33 |
| +6 | GD | -11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 43% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Fluminense FC gets underway.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Argentina international German Cano has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Wagner Leonardo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 31' Gabriel picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 34' Caio Vinicius has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 34.
- 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' Fluminense FC make a change. Gabriel trudges off to be replaced by Alexsander Gomes on 46 minutes.
- 51' Erick Castillo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Vitoria tonight.
- 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
- 58' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Jean Mota on, Matheuzinho off on 58 minutes.
- 61' Controversy at the stadium! Samuel Xavier argues furiously but the card stands.
- 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alexsander Gomes on 64.
- 66' Raul Caceres gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Patric Calmon and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' Luan makes way for Jose Hugo at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Vitoria.
- 76' Patric Calmon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 77' Renato Augusto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Martinelli on 77 minute.
- 78' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Ganso exits the field as John Kennedy enters on 78.
- 83' Over 83 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 85' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Keno departs to be replaced by Douglas Costa.
- 86' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Marcelo has done his job and it is now time for Diogo Barbosa to step up.
- 0-1 the final result. Fluminense FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 80
- 25
- 29
-
10
Ganso ↓ John Kennedy 78'
-
12
Marcelo ↓ Diogo Barbosa 86'
-
22
Gabriel ↓ Alexsander Gomes 46'
-
11
Keno ↓ Douglas Costa 85'
- 14
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Renato Augusto 77'
Bench
- –
-
6
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 86'
- 23
-
90
Douglas Costa ↑ 85'
- 4
-
20
Renato Augusto ↑ 77'
- 31
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 78'
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 46'
- –
- 19
- –
Coach
Fernando Diniz
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
9
Alerrandro ↓ Janderson Costa 71'
- 15
- 8
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Erick Castillo 71'
- 29
- 1
- 4
-
14
Patric Calmon ↓ Raul Caceres 66'
-
30
Matheuzinho ↓ Jean Mota 58'
- 5
- 97
Bench
- 40
-
10
Jean Mota ↑ 58'
-
27
Raul Caceres ↑ 66'
-
31
Erick Castillo ↑ 71'
- –
- 22
-
17
Jose Hugo ↑ 71'
- 80
- –
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 71'
- 83
- 62
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| John Kennedy | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Kevin Serna | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Lucas Braga | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| German Cano | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
71%
Draw or EC Vitoria
58%
Fluminense FC or EC Vitoria
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

