Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 27 Jun 2024 · 22:00 UTC Maracana 24,269 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+1' Janderson Costa

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs EC VitoriaSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jun EC Vitoria H 0–1 L
23 Jun CR Flamengo H 0–1 L
20 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
16 Jun AC Goianiense H 1–2 L
11 Jun Botafogo FR A 0–1 L
01 Jun EC Juventude H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jun Fluminense FC A 1–0 W
23 Jun RB Bragantino A 1–2 L
20 Jun CA Mineiro H 4–2 W
16 Jun SC Internacional H 2–1 W
11 Jun EC Juventude A 1–1 D
05 Jun Cuiaba EC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Fluminense FC EC Vitoria
#3 Position #13
31 Points 22
18 Played 17
9 / 4 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 7
28 Scored 21
23 Conceded 25
+5 GD -4
1.72 PPG 1.29
50% Win % 35%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/
16-30
3/
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/
61-75
3/
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 3 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Fluminense FC welcome EC Vitoria for this crunch clash at Maracana.
  • 5' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' EC Vitoria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Lucas Arcanjo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Maracana. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past EC Vitoria's compact 4-1-4-1.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Willian Oliveira made 173 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Gabriel will be fuming at that decision.
  • 34' The referee has no hesitation. Caio Vinicius is booked for EC Vitoria — card on 34.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' Osvaldo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Gabriel is replaced by Alexsander Gomes on 46 minute.
  • 51' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' Ecuador international Erick Castillo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 58' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Matheuzinho by Jean Mota on 58 minute.
  • 61' A moment of madness from Samuel Xavier on 61 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • 64' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 64.
  • 66' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Patric Calmon is withdrawn and Raul Caceres gets his opportunity.
  • 71' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Jose Hugo comes on to replace Luan.
  • 76' Thiago Santos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Renato Augusto on, Martinelli off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Ganso makes way for John Kennedy at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 83' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 85' Fluminense FC make a change. Keno trudges off to be replaced by Douglas Costa on 85 minutes.
  • 86' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 86 minute. Marcelo leaves to be changed by Diogo Barbosa.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Fluminense FC or EC Vitoria 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC40% Draw29% EC Vitoria31%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
69%
Draw or EC Vitoria
60%
Fluminense FC or EC Vitoria
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC30% Draw49% EC Vitoria21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
34%
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.