Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun | EC Vitoria | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Jun | CR Flamengo | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Jun | AC Goianiense | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jun | EC Juventude | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 4–2 | W |
| 16 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | EC Juventude | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jun | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #13 |
| 48 | Points | 33 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 13 |
| 44 | Scored | 28 |
| 36 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | -14 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 46% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Fluminense FC get us underway at Maracana.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' With 1 assists to his name this season, Gabriel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fluminense FC.
- 15' EC Vitoria looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Renato Kayzer scoring 1 goals.
- 20' The 32-year-old Patric Calmon has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' EC Vitoria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 31' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Gabriel will be fuming at that decision.
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Caio Vinicius on 34.
- 39' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 44' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' The whistle greets Gabriel as he departs to be replaced by Alexsander Gomes.
- 51' Janderson Costa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 348 appearances.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 58' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Matheuzinho departs to be replaced by Jean Mota.
- 61' A moment of madness from Samuel Xavier on 61 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 64' The referee calls foul for Alexsander Gomes. He receives a card.
- 66' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Patric Calmon has done his job and it is now time for Raul Caceres to step up.
- 71' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Luan is replaced by Jose Hugo on 71 minute.
- 76' EC Vitoria fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 77' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Martinelli has done his job and it is now time for Renato Augusto to step up.
- 78' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Ganso departs to be replaced by John Kennedy.
- 83' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fluminense FC and EC Vitoria are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 85' Fluminense FC make a change. Keno trudges off to be replaced by Douglas Costa on 85 minutes.
- 86' Marcelo makes way for Diogo Barbosa at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from EC Vitoria to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 80
- 25
- 29
-
10
Ganso ↓ John Kennedy 78'
-
12
Marcelo ↓ Diogo Barbosa 86'
-
22
Gabriel ↓ Alexsander Gomes 46'
-
11
Keno ↓ Douglas Costa 85'
- 14
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Renato Augusto 77'
Bench
- –
-
6
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 86'
- 23
-
90
Douglas Costa ↑ 85'
- 4
-
20
Renato Augusto ↑ 77'
- 31
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 78'
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 46'
- –
- 19
- –
Coach
Fernando Diniz
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
9
Alerrandro ↓ Janderson Costa 71'
- 15
- 8
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Erick Castillo 71'
- 29
- 1
- 4
-
14
Patric Calmon ↓ Raul Caceres 66'
-
30
Matheuzinho ↓ Jean Mota 58'
- 5
- 97
Bench
- 40
-
10
Jean Mota ↑ 58'
-
27
Raul Caceres ↑ 66'
-
31
Erick Castillo ↑ 71'
- –
- 22
-
17
Jose Hugo ↑ 71'
- 80
- –
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 71'
- 83
- 62
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Kevin Serna | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Lucas Braga | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| German Cano | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Hercules | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
71%
Draw or EC Vitoria
58%
Fluminense FC or EC Vitoria
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

