Friday , 16 October 2026

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 7 Dec 2023 · 00:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 32' Rodrigo Ely
Andre 36' Y
Y 37' Reinaldo
Nino 45' Y
John Kennedy 72' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Gremio FBPA H 2–3 L
03 Dec SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
29 Nov Santos FC A 3–0 W
26 Nov Coritiba FBC H 2–1 W
23 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
11 Nov CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Fluminense FC A 3–2 W
03 Dec CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
30 Nov Goiás EC H 2–1 W
26 Nov CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
12 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
09 Nov Botafogo FR A 4–3 W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Gremio FBPA
#4 Position #18
51 Points 31
30 Played 30
14 / 9 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
48 Scored 32
37 Conceded 40
+11 GD -8
1.70 PPG 1.03
47% Win % 23%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (51 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 5 A
Jefferson Savarino 6 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 5 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Fluminense FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Reinaldo, a Brazil , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Maracana. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' Ferreira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Rodrigo Ely on 32 minutes.
  • 34' Jhon Arias is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
  • 36' A moment of madness from Andre on 36 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • 37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Reinaldo.
  • 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
  • 43' What a strike from Luis Suarez! The score is 1-1.
  • 45' Everton doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 45' Walter Kannemann was booked on 45.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Felipe Melo is replaced by John Kennedy.
  • 51' Fluminense FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's shape.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Felipe Carballo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luis Suarez makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 69' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Felipe Carballo is replaced by Franco Cristaldo on 70 minute.
  • 72' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a Yellow card on 72.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Lima. He replaces Ganso on 75 minute.
  • 76' Fluminense FC make a change. Marcelo trudges off to be replaced by Diogo Barbosa on 76 minutes.
  • 78' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Ferreira exits the field as Cuiabano enters on 78.
  • 81' John Kennedy has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 81 minutes.
  • 86' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 87' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Luis Suarez by Joao Pedro Galvao on 87 minute.
  • With this win, Grêmio FBPA is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC39% Draw26% Gremio FBPA35%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
61%
Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC32% Draw43% Gremio FBPA25%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.