Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 25 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Nov | Santos FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Coritiba FBC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Fluminense FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #15 |
| 42 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 11 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 39 | Scored | 27 |
| 32 | Conceded | 32 |
| +7 | GD | -5 |
| 1.68 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 44% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (42 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 5 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fluminense FC is hosting Gremio FBPA for another epic battle.
- 5' Gremio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Hulk scoring 1 goals.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Felipe Melo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fluminense FC.
- 25' The travelling Gremio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' Jhon Arias has been relatively quiet despite scoring 30 goals in his last 389 appearances.
- 32' Gremio FBPA receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 32.
- 34' Jhon Arias makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Fluminense FC are in front.
- 36' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Andre.
- 37' Poor challenge from Reinaldo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 42' Gremio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 43' GOAL! Luis Suarez scores on 43. Assisted by Mathias Villasanti
- 45' Everton adds to his 0 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 45' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a Yellow card on 45.
- 46' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. John Kennedy is hanging Felipe Melo on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fluminense FC and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 64' GOAL! Luis Suarez fires home to make it 1-3!
- 69' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 70' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Franco Cristaldo is hanging Felipe Carballo on the field on 70 minute.
- 72' The referee calls foul for John Kennedy. He receives a Yellow card.
- 75' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Ganso exits the field as Lima enters on 75.
- 76' Diogo Barbosa gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Marcelo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Ferreira is withdrawn and Cuiabano gets his opportunity.
- 81' The Brazil John Kennedy breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 2-3!
- 86' Fluminense FC have won 417 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 87' Joao Pedro Galvao gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Luis Suarez and will look to change the dynamic.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fluminense FC.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
30
Felipe Melo ↓ John Kennedy 46'
-
23
Guga ↓ Yony Gonzalez 75'
- 10
-
12
Marcelo ↓ Diogo Barbosa 76'
- 11
-
33
Nino ↓ Thiago Santos 46'
- 14
- 7
- 21
- 8
Bench
- 44
- 2
-
40
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 76'
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 46'
- 4
-
38
Yony Gonzalez ↑ 75'
- 19
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 46'
- 22
-
45
Lima ↑ 75'
- 20
- 5
Coach
Fernando Diniz
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 31
- 6
- 5
-
9
Luis Suarez ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 87'
- 18
-
23
Joao Pedro Pepe ↓ Ronald 87'
- 10
- 20
-
–
Everton ↓ Nathan Ribeiro 70'
- 8
Bench
- 7
-
11
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 87'
-
19
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 70'
- 22
- –
- 12
- 53
- 77
- –
-
54
Cuiabano ↑ 78'
-
35
Ronald ↑ 87'
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 70'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cesar Pinares | 2 |
| Luis Suarez | 2 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 2 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Pepe | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA 74% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
62%
Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

