Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 30 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Nov | Santos FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Coritiba FBC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Fluminense FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #18 |
| 51 | Points | 31 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 14 / 9 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 10 / 13 |
| 48 | Scored | 32 |
| 37 | Conceded | 40 |
| +11 | GD | -8 |
| 1.70 | PPG | 1.03 |
| 47% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (51 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 5 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 6 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 5 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Fluminense FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Reinaldo, a Brazil , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Maracana. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' Ferreira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
- 32' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Rodrigo Ely on 32 minutes.
- 34' Jhon Arias is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 36' A moment of madness from Andre on 36 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
- 37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Reinaldo.
- 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
- 43' What a strike from Luis Suarez! The score is 1-1.
- 45' Everton doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 45' Walter Kannemann was booked on 45.
- 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Felipe Melo is replaced by John Kennedy.
- 51' Fluminense FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's shape.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Felipe Carballo suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luis Suarez makes no mistake. 1-3!
- 69' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 70' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Felipe Carballo is replaced by Franco Cristaldo on 70 minute.
- 72' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a Yellow card on 72.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Lima. He replaces Ganso on 75 minute.
- 76' Fluminense FC make a change. Marcelo trudges off to be replaced by Diogo Barbosa on 76 minutes.
- 78' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Ferreira exits the field as Cuiabano enters on 78.
- 81' John Kennedy has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 81 minutes.
- 86' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 87' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Luis Suarez by Joao Pedro Galvao on 87 minute.
- With this win, Grêmio FBPA is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
30
Felipe Melo ↓ John Kennedy 46'
-
23
Guga ↓ Yony Gonzalez 75'
- 10
-
12
Marcelo ↓ Diogo Barbosa 76'
- 11
-
33
Nino ↓ Thiago Santos 46'
- 14
- 7
- 21
- 8
Bench
- 44
- 2
-
40
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 76'
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 46'
- 4
-
38
Yony Gonzalez ↑ 75'
- 19
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 46'
- 22
-
45
Lima ↑ 75'
- 20
- 5
Coach
Fernando Diniz
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 31
- 6
- 5
-
9
Luis Suarez ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 87'
- 18
-
23
Joao Pedro Pepe ↓ Ronald 87'
- 10
- 20
-
–
Everton ↓ Nathan Ribeiro 70'
- 8
Bench
- 7
-
11
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 87'
-
19
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 70'
- 22
- –
- 12
- 53
- 77
- –
-
54
Cuiabano ↑ 78'
-
35
Ronald ↑ 87'
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 70'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Cesar Pinares | 2 |
| Luis Suarez | 2 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 2 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 |
| Nene | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
61%
Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

