Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Grêmio FBPA
2 – 1
Full Time
CA Mineiro
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 21:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Wagner Leonardo 39' Y
Jemerson 45' Y
Cristian Pavon 90' Y
Cristian Olivera 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

10
1
6
Grêmio FBPA 17 games · Avg 3.3 goals CA Mineiro
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-09-01 Grêmio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-07-23 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
08 Dec SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–3 L
04 Dec EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
01 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
28 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
20 Nov EC Juventude H 2–2 D
CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Grêmio FBPA A 1–2 L
08 Dec CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
04 Dec CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
30 Nov Botafogo FR H 1–3 L
27 Nov EC Juventude H 2–3 L
24 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA CA Mineiro
#16 Position #9
21 Points 24
18 Played 18
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 8
20 Scored 22
23 Conceded 23
-3 GD -1
1.17 PPG 1.33
28% Win % 39%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: CA Mineiro gets underway.
  • 5' Rony has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Grêmio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 473 games and scored 472 goals.
  • 25' CA Mineiro seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' Matias Arezo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 33 minutes.
  • 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 39' It’s gonna be a card for Wagner Leonardo.
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' GOAL! Edenilson fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 45' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Joao Lucas. He replaces Igor on 46 minute.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' Everson, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Lucas Esteves departs to be replaced by Viery.
  • 66' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 66 minute. Gabriel Menino leaves to be changed by Junior Santos.
  • 71' CA Mineiro is showing some good football. However, CA Mineiro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 73' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Marcelo is hanging Hulk on the field on 73 minute.
  • 75' A stunning finish from Rony — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 77' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Cristian Pavon on, Francis Amuzu off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gustavo Quinteros might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 85' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Natanael is withdrawn and Bernard gets his opportunity.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Cristian Pavon on 90 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • Grêmio FBPA celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gustavo Quinteros

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Cuca

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Eduardo Vargas 4
Keno 3
Hyoran 2
Hulk 2
Jaminton Campaz 2
Alexander Aravena 2
Diego Souza 2
Gustavo Scarpa 2

Head to Head

2025-03-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-09-01 Grêmio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-07-23 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 CA Mineiro

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-03-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro W 2024-12-08 Grêmio FBPA 0–3 SC Corinthians Paulista L 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2024-12-01 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2024-11-20 Grêmio FBPA 2–2 EC Juventude D

CA Mineiro Form

2025-03-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro L 2024-12-08 CA Mineiro 1–0 CA Paranaense W 2024-12-04 CR Vasco da Gama 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2024-11-30 CA Mineiro 1–3 Botafogo FR L 2024-11-27 CA Mineiro 2–3 EC Juventude L 2024-11-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Grêmio FBPA or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA42% Draw27% CA Mineiro31%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
69%
Draw or CA Mineiro
58%
Grêmio FBPA or CA Mineiro
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA28% Draw47% CA Mineiro25%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.