Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 8 Dec 2024 · 19:00 UTC ARENA MRV HT 45' · FT 45'
Rubens 73' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
04 Dec CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
30 Nov Botafogo FR H 1–3 L
27 Nov EC Juventude H 2–3 L
24 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D
21 Nov Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
05 Dec RB Bragantino H 1–2 L
01 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
24 Nov EC Bahia A 1–1 D
20 Nov AC Goianiense H 2–0 W
16 Nov CA Mineiro H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CA Mineiro CA Paranaense
#7 Position #3
40 Points 49
27 Played 28
11 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 14 / 7 / 7
36 Scored 43
32 Conceded 32
+4 GD +11
1.48 PPG 1.75
41% Win % 50%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
36% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 18 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G 1 A
Leozinho 4 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds ARENA MRV will turn into a battlefield for CA Mineiro and CA Paranaense.
  • 5' CA Paranaense come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Christian suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' The 24-year-old Lucas Esquivel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' CA Paranaense are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 24' A meaty challenge results in booking for Agustin Canobbio on 24.
  • 29' CA Mineiro are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
  • 39' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past CA Paranaense's compact 4-3-2-1.
  • 44' CA Mineiro looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Gustavo Scarpa scoring 1 goals.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Brahian Palacios on 45 minutes.
  • 50' Hulk has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
  • 55' It’s a booking for CA Paranaense player. Fernandinho gets a card.
  • 60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and CA Paranaense are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 62' CA Paranaense manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emersonn is hanging Filipinho on the field on 62 minute.
  • 66' Poor challenge from Thiago Heleno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 71' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Mineiro is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 73' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rubens makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Lyanco. He replaces Fausto Vera on 75 minute.
  • 78' Another substitution for CA Paranaense to replace Erick by Christian on 78 minute.
  • 79' The CA Paranaense manager makes a substitution. Lucas Esquivel departs to be replaced by Fernando.
  • 82' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Rubens exits the field as Igor Gomes enters on 82.
  • 87' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Renzo Saravia by Eduardo Vargas on 87 minute.
  • 90' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for: CA Mineiro or CA Paranaense 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro39% Draw29% CA Paranaense32%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
68%
Draw or CA Paranaense
61%
CA Mineiro or CA Paranaense
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro26% Draw50% CA Paranaense24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push CA Paranaense covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
31% ✗
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.