CA Mineiro vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 28 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Dec | RB Bragantino | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Fluminense FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Nov | AC Goianiense | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #3 |
| 40 | Points | 49 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 14 / 7 / 7 |
| 36 | Scored | 43 |
| 32 | Conceded | 32 |
| +4 | GD | +11 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 41% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
39%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds ARENA MRV will turn into a battlefield for CA Mineiro and CA Paranaense.
- 5' CA Paranaense come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Christian suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' The 24-year-old Lucas Esquivel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' CA Paranaense are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 24' A meaty challenge results in booking for Agustin Canobbio on 24.
- 29' CA Mineiro are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
- 39' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past CA Paranaense's compact 4-3-2-1.
- 44' CA Mineiro looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Gustavo Scarpa scoring 1 goals.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Brahian Palacios on 45 minutes.
- 50' Hulk has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
- 55' It’s a booking for CA Paranaense player. Fernandinho gets a card.
- 60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and CA Paranaense are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 62' CA Paranaense manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emersonn is hanging Filipinho on the field on 62 minute.
- 66' Poor challenge from Thiago Heleno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 71' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Mineiro is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 73' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rubens makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Lyanco. He replaces Fausto Vera on 75 minute.
- 78' Another substitution for CA Paranaense to replace Erick by Christian on 78 minute.
- 79' The CA Paranaense manager makes a substitution. Lucas Esquivel departs to be replaced by Fernando.
- 82' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Rubens exits the field as Igor Gomes enters on 82.
- 87' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Renzo Saravia by Eduardo Vargas on 87 minute.
- 90' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Deyverson ↓ Alisson Santana 75'
- 6
- 8
- 13
- 21
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↓ Eduardo Vargas 87'
-
18
Fausto Vera ↓ Lyanco 75'
- 23
-
7
Hulk ↓ Igor Rabello 87'
-
44
Rubens ↓ Igor Gomes 82'
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 82'
-
16
Igor Rabello ↑ 87'
- 5
-
2
Lyanco ↑ 75'
- 25
- 3
-
11
Eduardo Vargas ↑ 87'
- 31
- 14
- 27
-
45
Alisson Santana ↑ 75'
- 30
Coach
Gabriel Milito
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-3-2-1Starting XI
- 44
- 92
-
5
Fernandinho ↓ Joao Victor 87'
- 28
-
29
Leonardo Godoy ↓ Nikao 62'
- 26
-
37
Lucas Esquivel ↓ Fernando 79'
- 45
- 14
- 41
- 23
Bench
- 3
-
11
Nikao ↑ 62'
- 4
- 10
-
88
Christian ↑ 78'
- 8
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 62'
- 24
-
6
Fernando ↑ 79'
- 61
- 15
-
57
Joao Victor ↑ 87'
Coach
Luis Gonzalez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vitor Roque | 4 |
| Hulk | 3 |
| Federico Zaracho | 2 |
| Igor Rabello | 2 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 2 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 1 |
| Elias | 1 |
| Neto | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro or CA Paranaense 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
68%
Draw or CA Paranaense
61%
CA Mineiro or CA Paranaense
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 20% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

