CA Mineiro vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 35 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 34 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | América FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 4–3 | W |
| 04 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | América FC | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #18 |
| 51 | Points | 37 |
| 35 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 9 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 15 |
| 44 | Scored | 38 |
| 40 | Conceded | 47 |
| +4 | GD | -9 |
| 1.46 | PPG | 1.09 |
| 40% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (51 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 11 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. CA Mineiro kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Grêmio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 25' GOAL! Guilherme Arana fires home to make it 1-0!
- 30' The 23-year-old Ronald has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 36' The referee calls foul for Edenilson. He receives a Yellow card.
- 37' The referee shows CA Mineiro player a Yellow card on 37.
- 42' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' Mauricio Lemos has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
- 46' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Bruno Uvini is replaced by Ferreira.
- 50' Matias Zaracho doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 50' Gremio FBPA player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 55' The whistle greets Igor Gomes as he departs to be replaced by Rubens.
- 58' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hulk makes it 3-0.
- 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 65' Nathan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Everton at the 65 minute mark.
- 67' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Edenilson has done his job and it is now time for Alan Franco to step up.
- 72' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 76' The whistle greets Felipe Carballo as he departs to be replaced by Andre.
- 81' Patrick is ready to make an impact after coming on for Paulinho at the 81 minute mark.
- 84' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Fabio on 84 minutes.
- 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Franco Cristaldo made 41 appearances and scored 35 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 3-0 the final result. Grêmio FBPA will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Rubens 55'
- 34
-
5
Otavio ↓ Alan Franco 67'
- 10
- 13
- 28
- 26
- 15
-
8
Edenilson ↓ Cristian Pavon 81'
- 7
Bench
- 4
- 38
- 20
- 25
-
9
Cristian Pavon ↑ 81'
-
49
Patrick ↑ 81'
-
23
Alan Franco ↑ 67'
- 31
-
44
Rubens ↑ 55'
- 14
- 45
- 46
Coach
Luiz Felipe Scolari
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 2
- 9
- 19
-
–
Bruno Uvini ↓ Ferreira 46'
- 12
- 53
- –
-
8
Felipe Carballo ↓ Andre 76'
- 35
Bench
- 7
- 31
-
14
Nathan ↑ 65'
- 5
- 11
- 21
-
10
Ferreira ↑ 46'
- 22
-
77
Andre ↑ 76'
- –
- 54
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 46'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Keno | 3 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 2 |
| Dodo | 2 |
| Tomas Cuello | 2 |
| Edenilson | 2 |
| Hyoran | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.93
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
78%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
46%
CA Mineiro or Grêmio FBPA
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Mineiro win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.4%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

