Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Mineiro vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 26 Nov 2023 · 19:00 UTC ARENA MRV HT 45' · FT 45'
Edenilson 36' Y
Edenilson 37' Y
Y 50' Luis Suarez
Y 84' Fabio

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at ARENA MRV.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Grêmio FBPA H 3–0 W
12 Nov Goiás EC H 2–1 W
09 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
04 Nov America FC A 1–1 D
02 Nov Fortaleza EC H 3–1 W
29 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
12 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
09 Nov Botafogo FR A 4–3 W
04 Nov EC Bahia H 1–0 W
01 Nov Coritiba FBC A 2–1 W
28 Oct America FC A 4–3 W

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Grêmio FBPA
#9 Position #16
24 Points 21
18 Played 18
7 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
22 Scored 20
23 Conceded 23
-1 GD -3
1.33 PPG 1.17
39% Win % 28%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/
31-45
2/3
46-60
/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at ARENA MRV. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Against the run of play, Guilherme Arana has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 36' Edenilson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 36.
  • 37' CA Mineiro receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 37.
  • 42' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' Mauricio Lemos has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
  • 46' Bruno Uvini makes way for Ferreira at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 50' Matias Zaracho adds to his 3 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Luis Suarez.
  • 55' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Igor Gomes departs to be replaced by Rubens.
  • 58' Hulk is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 63' Reinaldo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 65' Nathan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Everton on 65 minute.
  • 67' Alan Franco gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Edenilson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 76' Andre is replacing Felipe Carballo for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 81' CA Mineiro make a change. Paulinho trudges off to be replaced by Patrick on 81 minutes.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Fabio on 84 minutes.
  • 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Chapeco, as he is very good at scoring at ARENA MRV with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from CA Mineiro to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro52% Draw24% Grêmio FBPA24%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
76%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
48%
CA Mineiro or Grêmio FBPA
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro37% Draw43% Grêmio FBPA20%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
30%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.