CA Mineiro vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | America FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 4–3 | W |
| 04 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | America FC | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #16 |
| 24 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 22 | Scored | 20 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| -1 | GD | -3 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 39% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at ARENA MRV. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Against the run of play, Guilherme Arana has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 36' Edenilson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 36.
- 37' CA Mineiro receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 37.
- 42' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' Mauricio Lemos has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
- 46' Bruno Uvini makes way for Ferreira at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 50' Matias Zaracho adds to his 3 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 50' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Luis Suarez.
- 55' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Igor Gomes departs to be replaced by Rubens.
- 58' Hulk is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
- 63' Reinaldo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 65' Nathan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Everton on 65 minute.
- 67' Alan Franco gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Edenilson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 76' Andre is replacing Felipe Carballo for the Gremio FBPA side.
- 81' CA Mineiro make a change. Paulinho trudges off to be replaced by Patrick on 81 minutes.
- 84' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Fabio on 84 minutes.
- 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Chapeco, as he is very good at scoring at ARENA MRV with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from CA Mineiro to claim maximum points.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Rubens 55'
- 34
-
5
Otavio ↓ Alan Franco 67'
- 10
- 13
- 28
- 26
- 15
-
8
Edenilson ↓ Cristian Pavon 81'
- 7
Bench
- 4
- 38
- 20
- 25
-
9
Cristian Pavon ↑ 81'
-
49
Patrick ↑ 81'
-
23
Alan Franco ↑ 67'
- 31
-
44
Rubens ↑ 55'
- 14
- 45
- 46
Coach
Luiz Felipe Scolari
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 2
- 9
- 19
-
–
Bruno Uvini ↓ Ferreira 46'
- 12
- 53
- –
-
8
Felipe Carballo ↓ Andre 76'
- 35
Bench
- 7
- 31
-
14
Nathan ↑ 65'
- 5
- 11
- 21
-
10
Ferreira ↑ 46'
- 22
-
77
Andre ↑ 76'
- –
- 54
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 46'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Keno | 3 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 2 |
| Dodo | 2 |
| Edenilson | 2 |
| Hyoran | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
76%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
48%
CA Mineiro or Grêmio FBPA
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Mineiro win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

