Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 1 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC Arena do Gremio 9,961 HT 45' · FT 45'
Martin Braithwaite 32' 1–0
Franco Cristaldo 41' 2–0
2–1 73' Gustavo Scarpa pen
2–2 90+4' Brahian Palacios pen
2–3 90+6' Eduardo Vargas

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs CA MineiroSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–3 L
25 Aug Criciúma EC A 1–0 W
20 Aug Fluminense FC A 3–6 L
17 Aug EC Bahia H 0–2 L
13 Aug Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
10 Aug Cuiaba EC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep Grêmio FBPA A 3–2 W
25 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–2 L
21 Aug CA San Lorenzo de Almagro H 1–0 W
17 Aug Cuiaba EC H 1–1 D
14 Aug CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 1–1 D
11 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA CA Mineiro
#16 Position #9
21 Points 24
18 Played 18
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 8
20 Scored 22
23 Conceded 23
-3 GD -1
1.17 PPG 1.33
28% Win % 39%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/
31-45
2/3
46-60
/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Grêmio FBPA kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' CA Mineiro fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gabriel Milito might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' Gustavo Martins is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
  • 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Walter Kannemann is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Mineiro.
  • 29' It’s gonna be a card for Bernard.
  • 32' What a strike from Martin Braithwaite! The score is 0-1.
  • 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and CA Mineiro are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Deyverson.
  • 41' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Franco Cristaldo makes it 0-2.
  • 46' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Fausto Vera by Eduardo Vargas on 46 minute.
  • 51' Dodi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' Bernard is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
  • 59' Nata is replacing Martin Braithwaite for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 67' A tactical swap from CA MineiroCadu on, Deyverson off on 67 minutes.
  • 71' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 71.
  • 73' Goal! Gustavo Scarpa scores his 29 goal in 386 matches.
  • 74' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Franco Cristaldo by Nathan Ribeiro on 74 minute.
  • 78' It’s a booking for CA Mineiro player. Brahian Palacios gets a card.
  • 83' Agustin Marchesin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 28 appearances.
  • 88' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Gustavo Scarpa departs to be replaced by Alan Kardec.
  • 90' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 90 minute. Nathan Ribeiro leaves to be changed by Geromel.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Grêmio FBPA or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA32% Draw27% CA Mineiro41%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
60%
Draw or CA Mineiro
68%
Grêmio FBPA or CA Mineiro
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA24% Draw44% CA Mineiro32%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
20%
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.