Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 08 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Jubilo Iwata | A | 4–3 | W |
| 23 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–2 | W |
| 08 Dec | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Jubilo Iwata | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #2 |
| 28 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 61 | Scored | 48 |
| 53 | Conceded | 38 |
| +8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Suita City Football Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 7' Goal! Sota Kitano scores his 8 goal in 369 matches.
- 12' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 17' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 22' It is a cagey affair so far. Gamba Osaka in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 27' Both keepers have barely been tested. Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 31' Neta Lavi adds to his 0 season tally! Gamba Osaka lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' Magnificent from Sota Kitano! That is 8 goals in 369 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dani Poyatos will be considering his options from the bench.
- 52' GOAL! Shinji Kagawa fires home to make it 1-3!
- 54' The deadlock is broken! Keisuke Kurokawa gets on the scoresheet on 54 minutes.
- 59' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
- 63' What composure from Shunta Tanaka! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-4.
- 66' The whistle greets Gaku Nawata as he departs to be replaced by Shu Kurata.
- 71' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Thiago Andrade. He replaces Hayato Okuda on 73 minute.
- 74' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Ryoya Yamashita exits the field as Rin Mito enters on 74.
- 79' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 82' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Rafael Ratao is replaced by Motohiko Nakajima.
- 87' Shoji Toyama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kanji Okunuki at the 87 minute mark.
- 90' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Sota Kitano exits the field as Ryuya Nishio enters on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Gamba Osaka 2-5 Cerezo Osaka FC.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 20
- 4
-
6
Neta Lavi ↓ Issam Jebali 74'
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Rin Mito 74'
- 2
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Harumi Minamino 87'
- 3
-
44
Kanji Okunuki ↓ Shoji Toyama 87'
-
38
Gaku Nawata ↓ Shu Kurata 66'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 74'
- 1
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 66'
- 67
-
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 87'
- 33
- 15
-
27
Rin Mito ↑ 74'
-
42
Harumi Minamino ↑ 87'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Hinata Kida 90'
- 3
- 44
- 9
- 14
- 10
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↓ Takumi Nakamura 73'
-
38
Sota Kitano ↓ Ryuya Nishio 90'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Thiago Andrade 73'
Bench
-
2
Takumi Nakamura ↑ 73'
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 82'
-
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 90'
-
33
Ryuya Nishio ↑ 90'
- 55
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↑ 73'
- 7
- 48
- 1
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroaki Okuno | 3 |
| Hiroto Yamami | 3 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Ademilson | 2 |
| Neta Lavi | 2 |
| Dawhan | 1 |
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 1 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.81
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.92
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 88%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 2.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 3.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 4.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
60%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
61%
Gamba Osaka or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–5 not predicted2 – 5Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5%
3 – 3
4.8%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
2 – 4
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 4
3.5%
4 – 2
3.5%
4 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 11% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 15% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 16% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 12% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

