Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 05:00 UTC Yanmar Stadium Nagai HT 45' · FT 45'
Leo Ceara 8' 1–0
Y 41' Neta Lavi
Y 90' Dawhan

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
21 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
30 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L
23 Sep Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
16 Sep Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
02 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
01 Oct FC Tōkyō A 0–3 L
24 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–3 L
17 Sep Albirex Niigata H 1–1 D
02 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Cerezo Osaka FC Gamba Osaka
#2 Position #5
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
11 / 0 / 7 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
48 Scored 61
38 Conceded 53
+10 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.56
61% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
32% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Yanmar Stadium Nagai that hosts another battle between Cerezo Osaka FC and Gamba Osaka.
  • 5' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 8' Leo Ceara doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 13' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 18' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cerezo Osaka FC and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 41' Gamba Osaka receives a card for a hard tackle on 41.
  • 46' Gamba Osaka make a change. Hideki Ishige trudges off to be replaced by Dai Tsukamoto on 46 minutes.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cerezo Osaka FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' The 34-year-old Issam Jebali has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 66' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Gamba Osaka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 71' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroaki Okuno is hanging Masaya Shibayama on the field on 71 minute.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Capixaba as he leaves the pitch. Ryosuke Shindo steps in for Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • 80' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 82' Shinya Nakano gets the nod from Gamba Osaka. He replaces Riku Handa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Satoki Uejo by Haruki Arai on 84 minute.
  • 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Dawhan.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.98 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC63% Draw18% Gamba Osaka19%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 51%
49%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
37%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Gamba Osaka
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC47% Draw33% Gamba Osaka20%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.2%
4 – 1
4.8%
4 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 17% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 18% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 11% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.