Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 05:00 UTC Yanmar Stadium Nagai HT 45' · FT 45'
Leo Ceara 8' 1–0
Y 41' Neta Lavi
Y 90' Dawhan

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
21 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
30 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L
23 Sep Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
16 Sep Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
02 Sep Kawasaki Frontale H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
01 Oct FC Tokyo A 0–3 L
24 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–3 L
17 Sep Albirex Niigata H 1–1 D
02 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Cerezo Osaka FC Gamba Osaka
#2 Position #5
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
11 / 0 / 7 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
48 Scored 61
38 Conceded 53
+10 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.56
61% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
32% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Yanmar Stadium Nagai. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 8' Magnificent from Leo Ceara! That is 88 goals in 175 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 13' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 33' The 24-year-old Riku Handa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Gamba Osaka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Neta Lavi on 41 minutes.
  • 46' The whistle greets Hideki Ishige as he departs to be replaced by Dai Tsukamoto.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Cerezo Osaka FC in their 4-1-2-3 trying to find a way past Gamba Osaka's compact 4-1-2-3.
  • 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cerezo Osaka FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Shu Kurata is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gamba Osaka.
  • 66' Issam Jebali has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 71' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Masaya Shibayama exits the field as Hiroaki Okuno enters on 71.
  • 75' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Capixaba by Ryosuke Shindo on 75 minute.
  • 80' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 80 minutes.
  • 82' Gamba Osaka make a change. Riku Handa trudges off to be replaced by Shinya Nakano on 82 minutes.
  • 84' Haruki Arai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Satoki Uejo at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 90' That is a card for Gamba Osaka. Dawhan will be fuming at that decision.
  • Gamba Osaka will have plenty to reflect on. Cerezo Osaka FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.98 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC63% Draw18% Gamba Osaka19%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 51%
49%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
37%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Gamba Osaka
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC47% Draw33% Gamba Osaka20%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.2%
4 – 1
4.8%
4 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 17% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 18% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 11% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.