Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Jubilo Iwata | A | 4–3 | W |
| 23 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | Jubilo Iwata | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 61 | Scored | 41 |
| 53 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Suita City Football Stadium. Gamba Osaka are looking to make home advantage count against Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 5' Shinnosuke Nakatani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 13' Isa Sakamoto has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 13 minutes.
- 18' Gamba Osaka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Makoto Mitsuta made 335 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 28' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
- 33' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 427 goals from 335 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 42' The referee calls foul for Welton. He receives a card.
- 47' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Shunki Higashi scoring 1 goals.
- 52' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
- 57' A quiet spell here at Suita City Football Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 60' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yotaro Nakajima is hanging Hayao Kawabe on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 70' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 73' Yuya Fukuda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryoya Yamashita at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' The whistle greets Tolgay Arslan as he departs to be replaced by Makoto Mitsuta.
- 79' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 79 minute. Kota Yamada leaves to be changed by Rin Mito.
- 81' What a strike from Shinnosuke Nakatani! The score is 2-0.
- 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shuto Nakano, as he is very good at scoring at Suita City Football Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 87' Controversy at the stadium! Juan Alano argues furiously but the card stands.
- 89' Isa Sakamoto makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Gamba Osaka are in front.
- 90' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Isa Sakamoto is replaced by Issam Jebali on 90 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Gamba Osaka to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Kota Yamada ↓ Rin Mito 79'
- 20
- 4
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Yuya Fukuda 73'
- 2
- 16
- 3
- 23
-
13
Isa Sakamoto ↓ Issam Jebali 90'
-
97
Welton ↓ Juan Alano 79'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 90'
- 1
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 79'
-
14
Yuya Fukuda ↑ 73'
- 6
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 90'
-
27
Rin Mito ↑ 79'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Yotaro Nakajima 60'
- 24
- 20
- 33
- 4
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 78'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
- 51
Bench
-
99
Goncalo Paciencia ↑ 60'
- 22
- 6
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 78'
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 78'
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 60'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nassim Ben Khalifa | 4 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 3 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
| Shu Kurata | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-12-08
Gamba Osaka
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-12-01
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-11-10
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-11-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
2024-10-19
Shonan Bellmare
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-10-06
Jubilo Iwata
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.76
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
71%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
49%
Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
1 – 1
4.7%
3 – 3
4.3%
4 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 14% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 17% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 14% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

