Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
7 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 7.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Jubilo Iwata | A | 4–3 | W |
| 23 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | Jubilo Iwata | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 61 | Scored | 41 |
| 53 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Gamba Osaka to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Pieros Sotiriou has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 13' Isa Sakamoto doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 18' Shota Fukuoka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
- 23' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 23 minutes.
- 28' Gamba Osaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 33' A quiet spell here at Suita City Football Stadium. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' Shunki Higashi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 42' It’s a booking for Gamba Osaka player. Welton gets a card.
- 47' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 57' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 60' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Hayao Kawabe is replaced by Yotaro Nakajima on 60 minute.
- 65' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Shunki Higashi scoring 1 goals.
- 70' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 73' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 73 minute. Ryoya Yamashita leaves to be changed by Yuya Fukuda.
- 78' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Tolgay Arslan trudges off to be replaced by Makoto Mitsuta on 78 minutes.
- 79' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Rin Mito on, Kota Yamada off on 79 minutes.
- 81' Brilliant from the ! Shinnosuke Nakatani makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 81.
- 86' Japan international Tsukasa Shiotani has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 87' Gamba Osaka receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
- 89' Against the run of play, Isa Sakamoto has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 90' Gamba Osaka make a change. Isa Sakamoto trudges off to be replaced by Issam Jebali on 90 minutes.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Gamba Osaka players.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Kota Yamada ↓ Rin Mito 79'
- 20
- 4
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Yuya Fukuda 73'
- 2
- 16
- 3
- 23
-
13
Isa Sakamoto ↓ Issam Jebali 90'
-
97
Welton ↓ Juan Alano 79'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 90'
- 1
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 79'
-
14
Yuya Fukuda ↑ 73'
- 6
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 90'
-
27
Rin Mito ↑ 79'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Yotaro Nakajima 60'
- 24
- 20
- 33
- 4
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 78'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
- 51
Bench
-
99
Goncalo Paciencia ↑ 60'
- 22
- 6
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 78'
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 78'
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 60'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nassim Ben Khalifa | 4 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 3 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
| Shu Kurata | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-12-08
Gamba Osaka
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-12-01
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-11-10
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-11-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
2024-10-19
Shonan Bellmare
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-10-06
Jubilo Iwata
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.76
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
71%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
49%
Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
1 – 1
4.7%
3 – 3
4.3%
4 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 14% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 17% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 14% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

