Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Gamba Osaka

3 – 1

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 8 Dec 2024 · 05:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Welton 42' Y

Juan Alano 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hiroki Kasahara

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 21 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-08 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-03-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka 2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-08-20 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–2 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Dec	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	3–1	W
30 Nov	Albirex Niigata	A	1–0	W
09 Nov	Júbilo Iwata	A	4–3	W
23 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–2	W
18 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–1	D
05 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	2–1	W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Dec	Gamba Osaka	A	1–3	L
01 Dec	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	5–1	W
10 Nov	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–3	L
03 Nov	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	0–1	L
19 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
06 Oct	Júbilo Iwata	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#5	Position	#4
28	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
61	Scored	41
53	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+8
1.56	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	2 G	1 A
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G
Asahi Uenaka	1 G
Welton	1 G

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Gamba Osaka is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Taishi Matsumoto, as he is very good at scoring at Suita City Football Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keisuke Osako suffering a number of foals already.
13' Isa Sakamoto is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
18' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 0% of all matches.
23' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
28' Sota Koshimichi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
33' Tokuma Suzuki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 37 appearances.
38' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
42' Welton picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
47' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
52' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gamba Osaka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
60' Yotaro Nakajima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hayao Kawabe on 60 minute.
65' It is a cagey affair so far. Gamba Osaka in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
70' The 26-year-old Shunki Higashi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
73' The supporters are chanting for Yuya Fukuda. He replaces Ryoya Yamashita on 73 minute.
78' Makoto Mitsuta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tolgay Arslan at the 78 minute mark.
79' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Kota Yamada is replaced by Rin Mito on 79 minute.
81' What a strike from Shinnosuke Nakatani! The score is 2-0.
86' Gamba Osaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
87' Gamba Osaka player sees a card in front of him.
89' Assisted by Juan Alano with the perfectly-timed delivery and Isa Sakamoto makes no mistake. 3-0!
90' Gamba Osaka make a change. Isa Sakamoto trudges off to be replaced by Issam Jebali on 90 minutes.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Issam Jebali ↑ 90'
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
47
Juan Alano ↑ 79'
14
Yuya Fukuda ↑ 73'
6
Neta Lavi
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 90'
27
Rin Mito ↑ 79'

Coach Dani Poyatos

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Yotaro Nakajima 60'
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 78'
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↓ Goncalo Paciencia 60'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 78'
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
51
Mutsuki Kato

Bench

99
Goncalo Paciencia ↑ 60'
22
Goro Kawanami
6
Toshihiro Aoyama
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 78'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 78'
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 60'

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nassim Ben Khalifa	4
Makoto Mitsuta	3
Patric	2
Patric	2
Mutsuki Kato	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Hayao Kawabe	2
Leandro Pereira	2

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2024-12-08 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-11-30 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2024-11-09 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Gamba Osaka W 2024-10-23 Gamba Osaka 3–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-10-18 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2024-10-05 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-12-08 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-12-01 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-11-10 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-11-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Kyōto Sanga FC L 2024-10-19 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.76 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka51% Draw20% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes83% 0% No17%

Avg goals/match: 5.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	87%	13%
± 3.5	73%	27%
± 4.5	56%	44%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

71%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

49%

Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Gamba Osaka38% Draw33% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.2%

3 – 2

5.6%

2 – 1

5.6%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 3

4.7%

1 – 2

4.7%

1 – 1

4.7%

3 – 3

4.3%

4 – 2

3.9%

1 – 3

3.5%

4 – 1

3.4%

4 – 3

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	14%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	17%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	14%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	10%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.