Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Júbilo Iwata | A | 4–3 | W |
| 23 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | Júbilo Iwata | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 61 | Scored | 41 |
| 53 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 5 G | 3 A |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 2 G | |
| Welton | 2 G | |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Suita City Football Stadium as Gamba Osaka face off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 13' Isa Sakamoto makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Gamba Osaka are in front.
- 18' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
- 23' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 28' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 456 goals from 347 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 42' Welton picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 52' Hayato Araki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 57' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 60' Yotaro Nakajima gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Hayao Kawabe and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 73' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Ryoya Yamashita is replaced by Yuya Fukuda on 73 minute.
- 78' The whistle greets Tolgay Arslan as he departs to be replaced by Makoto Mitsuta.
- 79' Rin Mito has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kota Yamada on 79 minute.
- 81' Goal! Shinnosuke Nakatani scores his 21 goal in 452 matches.
- 86' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 87' Juan Alano picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 89' Assisted by Juan Alano with the perfectly-timed delivery and Isa Sakamoto makes no mistake. 3-0!
- 90' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Isa Sakamoto is replaced by Issam Jebali on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Kota Yamada ↓ Rin Mito 79'
- 20
- 4
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Yuya Fukuda 73'
- 2
- 16
- 3
- 23
-
13
Isa Sakamoto ↓ Issam Jebali 90'
-
97
Welton ↓ Juan Alano 79'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 90'
- 1
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 79'
-
14
Yuya Fukuda ↑ 73'
- 6
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 90'
-
27
Rin Mito ↑ 79'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Yotaro Nakajima 60'
- 24
- 20
- 33
- 4
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 78'
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
- 51
Bench
-
99
Goncalo Paciencia ↑ 60'
- 22
- 6
-
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 78'
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 78'
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 60'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nassim Ben Khalifa | 4 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 3 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-12-08
Gamba Osaka
3–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-12-01
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-11-10
Urawa Red Diamonds
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-11-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
2024-10-19
Shonan Bellmare
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-10-06
Júbilo Iwata
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.76
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 83%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
71%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
49%
Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
1 – 1
4.7%
3 – 3
4.3%
4 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 14% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 17% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 14% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

