Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Takuto Okabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | Jubilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 28 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 61 | Scored | 46 |
| 53 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
- 5' GOAL! Chang-rae Ha fires home to make it 0-1!
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
- 20' Kensuke Nagai has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 21' GOAL! Isa Sakamoto scores on 21.
- 25' Yuki Nogami makes way for Haruki Yoshida at the 25 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 28' Isa Sakamoto puts Gamba Osaka on the lead.
- 33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryoya Yamashita, as he is very good at scoring at Suita City Football Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mitch Langerak suffering a number of foals already.
- 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' Yuya Yamagishi is replacing Ryuji Izumi for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 51' Keisuke Kurokawa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 403 appearances.
- 56' Magnificent from Haruki Yoshida! That is 1 goals in 439 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 60' Gamba Osaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takashi Usami is hanging Ryotaro Meshino on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 65 minutes.
- 69' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kasper Junker is hanging Kensuke Nagai on the field on 69 minute.
- 74' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Kota Yamada by Yuya Fukuda on 74 minute.
- 78' Goal! Yuya Fukuda scores his 7 goal in 403 matches.
- 79' Ken Masui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tsukasa Morishima at the 79 minute mark.
- 84' Yuki Nogami is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
- 88' Takeru Kishimoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryoya Yamashita on 88 minute.
- Nagoya Grampus will have plenty to reflect on. Gamba Osaka were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Kota Yamada ↓ Yuya Fukuda 74'
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↓ Takashi Usami 60'
- 20
- 4
- 22
- 17
- 2
- 3
-
27
Rin Mito ↓ Tokuma Suzuki 60'
-
23
Dawhan ↓ Shu Kurata 88'
- 13
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 60'
- 1
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 88'
-
14
Yuya Fukuda ↑ 74'
- 24
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 88'
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↑ 60'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Kasper Junker 69'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Haruki Yoshida 25'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ken Masui 79'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 46'
- 33
- 55
- 3
Bench
- 66
- 10
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 79'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 69'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 46'
-
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 25'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Ryoya Yamashita | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 4.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
75%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
44%
Gamba Osaka or Nagoya Grampus
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
5.3%
4 – 2
4.5%
3 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 1
3.9%
1 – 2
3.8%
4 – 3
3.3%
5 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 15% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 17% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 12% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.