Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Takuto Okabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | Júbilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 28 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 61 | Scored | 46 |
| 53 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
68%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 5 G | 3 A |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 2 G | |
| Welton | 2 G | |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
- 5' The deadlock is broken! Chang-rae Ha gets on the scoresheet on 5 minutes.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Shinnosuke Nakatani, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Gamba Osaka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 21' Against the run of play, Isa Sakamoto has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 25' Haruki Yoshida is replacing Yuki Nogami for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 28' Isa Sakamoto adds to his 1 season tally! Gamba Osaka lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 33' It’s high time Dani Poyatos made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 38' Japan international Ryuji Izumi has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 100% of all matches.
- 46' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Yuya Yamagishi on 46 minute.
- 51' Nagoya Grampus have won 412 goals from 451 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' The Japan midfielder Haruki Yoshida breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 2-2!
- 60' Takashi Usami is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryotaro Meshino at the 60 minute mark.
- 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tsukasa Morishima suffering a number of foals already.
- 69' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Kensuke Nagai has done his job and it is now time for Kasper Junker to step up.
- 74' Yuya Fukuda is replacing Kota Yamada for the Gamba Osaka side.
- 78' The deadlock is broken! Yuya Fukuda gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
- 79' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ken Masui is hanging Tsukasa Morishima on the field on 79 minute.
- 84' Supporters expect more eagerness from Taichi Kikuchi, as he is very good at scoring at Suita City Football Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 88' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Ryoya Yamashita departs to be replaced by Takeru Kishimoto.
- The points are shared — Gamba Osaka 3-2 Nagoya Grampus. Honours even.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Kota Yamada ↓ Yuya Fukuda 74'
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↓ Takashi Usami 60'
- 20
- 4
- 22
- 17
- 2
- 3
-
27
Rin Mito ↓ Tokuma Suzuki 60'
-
23
Dawhan ↓ Shu Kurata 88'
- 13
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 60'
- 1
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 88'
-
14
Yuya Fukuda ↑ 74'
- 24
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 88'
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↑ 60'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Kasper Junker 69'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Haruki Yoshida 25'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ken Masui 79'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 46'
- 33
- 55
- 3
Bench
- 66
- 10
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 79'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 69'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 46'
-
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 25'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 2 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 4.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
75%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
44%
Gamba Osaka or Nagoya Grampus
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
5.3%
4 – 2
4.5%
3 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 1
3.9%
1 – 2
3.8%
4 – 3
3.3%
5 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 15% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 17% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 12% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.