Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Takuto Okabe
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | Jubilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | Albirex Niigata | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 28 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 61 | Scored | 46 |
| 53 | Conceded | 44 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Nagoya Grampus get us underway at Suita City Football Stadium.
- 5' Brilliant from the ! Chang-rae Ha makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 5.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kasper Junker made 61 appearances and scored 42 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' The 29-year-old Keiya Shiihashi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 21' A goal from the Japan international Isa Sakamoto! He fires home on 21 to make it 1-1!
- 25' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Yuki Nogami is withdrawn and Haruki Yoshida gets his opportunity.
- 28' What a strike from Isa Sakamoto! The score is 2-1.
- 33' Gamba Osaka have won 377 goals from 403 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 38' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 43' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 46' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Ryuji Izumi exits the field as Yuya Yamagishi enters on 46.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' Goal! Haruki Yoshida scores his 1 goal in 439 matches.
- 60' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Ryotaro Meshino has done his job and it is now time for Takashi Usami to step up.
- 65' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Sho Inagaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 69' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Kasper Junker comes on to replace Kensuke Nagai.
- 74' The crowd applauds Kota Yamada as he leaves the pitch. Yuya Fukuda steps in for Gamba Osaka.
- 78' What a moment for Yuya Fukuda! That strike on 78 puts his side firmly in control.
- 79' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Tsukasa Morishima has done his job and it is now time for Ken Masui to step up.
- 84' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 88' Takeru Kishimoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryoya Yamashita on 88 minute.
- Another three points for Gamba Osaka.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Kota Yamada ↓ Yuya Fukuda 74'
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↓ Takashi Usami 60'
- 20
- 4
- 22
- 17
- 2
- 3
-
27
Rin Mito ↓ Tokuma Suzuki 60'
-
23
Dawhan ↓ Shu Kurata 88'
- 13
Bench
-
7
Takashi Usami ↑ 60'
- 1
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 88'
-
14
Yuya Fukuda ↑ 74'
- 24
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 88'
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↑ 60'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Kasper Junker 69'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Haruki Yoshida 25'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ken Masui 79'
- 15
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 46'
- 33
- 55
- 3
Bench
- 66
- 10
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 79'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 69'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 46'
-
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 25'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 2 |
| Takashi Usami | 2 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 4.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
75%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
44%
Gamba Osaka or Nagoya Grampus
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gamba Osaka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
5.3%
4 – 2
4.5%
3 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 1
3.9%
1 – 2
3.8%
4 – 3
3.3%
5 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 15% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 17% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 12% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.