Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
09 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
23 Oct Tōkyō Verdy H 0–2 L
18 Oct Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
05 Oct Kashima Antlers H 0–4 L
27 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Albirex Niigata A 1–0 W
09 Nov Júbilo Iwata A 4–3 W
23 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 3–2 W
18 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 1–1 D
05 Oct Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–1 W
02 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium!
  • 5' Neta Lavi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 36 appearances.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dani Poyatos will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Ryoya Yamashita is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
  • 18' Brilliant from the ! Kota Yamada makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 18.
  • 22' Controversy at the stadium! Michael Fitzgerald argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jun Ichimori, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 32' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Ryosuke Kojima has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 42' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Gamba Osaka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 47' Yota Komi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
  • 52' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
  • 56' The referee has no hesitation. Kento Hashimoto is booked for Albirex Niigata — card on 56.
  • 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 62' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Welton has done his job and it is now time for Juan Alano to step up.
  • 66' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Danilo exits the field as Shusuke Ota enters on 66.
  • 71' Gamba Osaka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 74' Fresh legs for Albirex Niigata! Motoki Nagakura comes on to replace Yuji Ono.
  • 79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
  • 84' Neta Lavi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dawhan at the 84 minute mark.
  • 88' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Kento Hashimoto has done his job and it is now time for Yuto Horigome to step up.
  • 89' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Rin Mito comes on to replace Kota Yamada.
  • 90' Ryoya Yamashita makes way for Takeru Kishimoto at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Gamba Osaka to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata25% Draw28% Gamba Osaka47%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
53%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
75%
Albirex Niigata or Gamba Osaka
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata18% Draw50% Gamba Osaka32%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 15% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 23% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.