Saturday , 14 November 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
09 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
23 Oct Tōkyō Verdy H 0–2 L
18 Oct Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
05 Oct Kashima Antlers H 0–4 L
27 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Albirex Niigata A 1–0 W
09 Nov Júbilo Iwata A 4–3 W
23 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 3–2 W
18 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 1–1 D
05 Oct Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–1 W
02 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Albirex Niigata and Gamba Osaka has kicked off!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 18' Gamba Osaka is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kota Yamada on 18.
  • 22' Michael Fitzgerald was booked on 22.
  • 27' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 32' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hayato Inamura suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 47' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rikizo Matsuhashi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 52' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' That is a card for Albirex Niigata. Kento Hashimoto will be fuming at that decision.
  • 61' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Juan Alano on, Welton off on 62 minutes.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Danilo as he leaves the pitch. Shusuke Ota steps in for Albirex Niigata.
  • 71' Brazil international Welton has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 74' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Yuji Ono has done his job and it is now time for Motoki Nagakura to step up.
  • 79' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dani Poyatos might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Neta Lavi comes on to replace Dawhan.
  • 88' Yuto Horigome has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kento Hashimoto on 88 minute.
  • 89' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 89 minute. Kota Yamada leaves to be changed by Rin Mito.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Takeru Kishimoto comes on to replace Ryoya Yamashita.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata25% Draw28% Gamba Osaka47%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
53%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
75%
Albirex Niigata or Gamba Osaka
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata18% Draw50% Gamba Osaka32%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 15% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 23% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.