Wednesday , 7 October 2026

FC Sudtirol vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Fri 28 Feb 2025 · 18:30 UTC Stadio M. Druso 3,232 HT 45' · FT 45'
Raphael Odogwu 26' 1–0
1–1 29' Ales Mateju

Overview

Match Preview

FC Sudtirol vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B at Stadio M. Druso.

Match Details

  • Referee Giovanni Ayroldi
  • Assistant 1 Federico Votta (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Tiziana Trasciatti (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 6.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Spezia Calcio H 1–1 D
23 Feb Brescia Calcio A 0–0 D
15 Feb UC Sampdoria H 2–1 W
09 Feb US Cremonese A 1–3 L
02 Feb AC Reggiana H 2–0 W
25 Jan Frosinone Calcio A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb FC Sudtirol A 1–1 D
23 Feb US Catanzaro H 0–1 L
15 Feb Modena FC 2018 A 1–1 D
09 Feb Palermo FC H 2–2 D
01 Feb AS Cittadella A 2–0 W
24 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–1 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
FC Sudtirol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Sudtirol
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/–
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Sudtirol
Kenny Mixtur 2 G
Rares Burnete 1 G
Simone Davi 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadio M. Druso. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It’s high time Luca D'Angelo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Stadio M. Druso. FC Südtirol seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Rachid Kouda has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 228 appearances.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fabrizio Castori might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Controversy at the stadium! Leandro Chichizola argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 26' Against the run of play, Raphael Odogwu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 29' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ales Mateju makes it 0-2.
  • 34' Spezia Calcio seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Südtirol in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Spezia Calcio's compact 3-5-2.
  • 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 49' FC Südtirol started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 49.
  • 54' Salvatore Molina is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Südtirol tonight.
  • 56' The referee shows FC Sudtirol player a card on 56.
  • 61' Another substitution for FC Sudtirol to replace Antonio Barreca by Hamza El Kaouakibi on 61 minute.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Rachid Kouda. He replaces Luca Vignali on 65 minute.
  • 66' Giuseppe Di Serio is replacing Antonio Colak for the Spezia Calcio side.
  • 71' Controversy at the stadium! Petko Hristov argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Spezia Calcio! Giuseppe Aurelio comes on to replace Arkadiusz Reca.
  • 78' Supporters expect more eagerness from Petko Hristov, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio M. Druso with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 79' The referee has no hesitation. Francesco Cassata is booked for Spezia Calcio — card on 79.
  • 83' Matteo Rover gets the nod from FC Sudtirol. He replaces Silvio Merkaj and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' The Spezia Calcio bench stirs into life. Ales Mateju is withdrawn and Salvatore Elia gets his opportunity.
  • 89' FC Südtirol are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Spezia Calcio backline.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 FC Sudtirol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: FC Sudtirol or Spezia Calcio 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Sudtirol37% Draw29% Spezia Calcio34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FC Sudtirol or Draw
66%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
63%
FC Sudtirol or Spezia Calcio
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Sudtirol25% Draw48% Spezia Calcio27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Sudtirol

Handicap FC Sudtirol covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

FC Sudtirol keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.