Saturday , 22 August 2026

Spezia Calcio vs FC Sudtirol, Serie B 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 13:00 UTC Alberto Picco HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs FC SudtirolSerie B at Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Di Marco (Italy)

Head-to-Head

3
2
1
Spezia Calcio 6 games · Avg 4.0 goals FC Sudtirol

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar FC Sudtirol H 2–1 W
03 Mar SSC Bari A 1–1 D
28 Feb FeralpiSalo H 0–2 L
25 Feb Modena FC 2018 A 0–0 D
17 Feb AS Cittadella H 4–2 W
11 Feb Ternana Calcio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Spezia Calcio A 1–2 L
02 Mar Calcio Lecco 1912 H 1–0 W
27 Feb AC Reggiana A 1–1 D
24 Feb SSC Bari H 1–0 W
17 Feb US Catanzaro A 2–2 D
10 Feb Venezia FC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Spezia Calcio host FC Südtirol — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Petko Hristov made 456 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 8' Daniele Verde makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Spezia Calcio are in front.
  • 13' Nicola Rauti, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
  • 23' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Südtirol needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 28' The 31-year-old Adam Nagy has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 32' Daniele Casiraghi makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and FC Sudtirol are in front.
  • 34' Controversy at the stadium! Petko Hristov argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 39' Spezia Calcio have won 244 goals from 228 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 44' Italy international Lorenzo Lonardi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 46' Francesco Esposito is replacing Nicolo Bertola for the Spezia Calcio side.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 52' Simone Davi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
  • 56' It’s gonna be a card for Daniele Casiraghi.
  • 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fabian Tait.
  • 62' The whistle greets Daniele Casiraghi as he departs to be replaced by Alessandro Mallamo.
  • 67' Spezia Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 68' Spezia Calcio make a change. Adam Nagy trudges off to be replaced by Francesco Cassata on 68 minutes.
  • 73' Daniele Verde has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Luca Vignali. He replaces Daniele Verde on 78 minute.
  • 81' Silvio Merkaj has so much to prove this time. He replaces Andrea Masiello on 81 minute.
  • 82' Nicola Rauti was booked on 82.
  • 85' Riccardo Ciervo gets the nod from FC Sudtirol. He replaces Salvatore Molina and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' FC Sudtirol ring the changes. Jasmin Kurtic has done his job and it is now time for Lorenzo Lonardi to step up.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Diego Falcinelli on 90.
  • Another three points for Spezia Calcio.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.71 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 FC Sudtirol xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio48% Draw25% FC Sudtirol27%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Sudtirol
52%
Spezia Calcio or FC Sudtirol
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio33% Draw43% FC Sudtirol24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push FC Sudtirol covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
26%
FC Sudtirol keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.