Sunday , 15 November 2026

Spezia Calcio vs US Catanzaro, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 23 Feb 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco 9,512 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 75' Filippo Pittarello

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs US Catanzaro — Serie B at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Paolo Laudato (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Francesco Cortese (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb US Catanzaro H 0–1 L
15 Feb Modena FC 2018 A 1–1 D
09 Feb Palermo FC H 2–2 D
01 Feb AS Cittadella A 2–0 W
24 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–1 W
19 Jan Carrarese Calcio A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Spezia Calcio A 1–0 W
14 Feb AS Cittadella H 1–0 W
08 Feb Frosinone Calcio A 1–1 D
01 Feb AC Cesena H 4–2 W
26 Jan Brescia Calcio A 3–2 W
19 Jan AC Pisa 1909 H 0–0 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
US Catanzaro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Catanzaro
0-15
1/–
16-30
4/3
31-45
–/7
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.06 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 US Catanzaro xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or US Catanzaro 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio32% Draw31% US Catanzaro37%
Actual: US Catanzaro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
63%
Draw or US Catanzaro
68%
Spezia Calcio or US Catanzaro
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio22% Draw51% US Catanzaro27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push US Catanzaro covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.