Thursday , 2 July 2026

Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco 10,448 HT 45' · FT 45'
Francesco Esposito 90+2' 1–2
Giuseppe Aurelio 90+5' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FCSerie B at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Ghersini
  • Assistant 1 Francesco Luciani (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Giacomo Monaco (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Palermo FC H 2–2 D
01 Feb AS Cittadella A 2–0 W
24 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–1 W
19 Jan Carrarese Calcio A 4–0 W
12 Jan SS Juve Stabia H 1–1 D
29 Dec SSC Bari A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Spezia Calcio A 2–2 D
31 Jan AC Pisa 1909 H 1–2 L
26 Jan AC Reggiana A 1–2 L
19 Jan SS Juve Stabia H 1–0 W
12 Jan Modena FC 2018 H 2–0 W
29 Dec AS Cittadella A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Spezia Calcio Palermo FC
#19 Position #4
35 Points 72
38 Played 38
8 / 11 / 19 W / D / L 20 / 12 / 6
43 Scored 61
59 Conceded 33
-16 GD +28
0.92 PPG 1.89
21% Win % 53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Spezia Calcio this season
45% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Spezia Calcio are 19th (35 pts). Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Spezia Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Spezia Calcio and Palermo FC get this one started.
  • 1' Palermo FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Filippo Ranocchia on 1.
  • 6' Palermo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 11' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Spezia Calcio and Palermo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 21' Palermo FC come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 26' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rayyan Baniya.
  • 29' It’s a booking for Palermo FC player. Matteo Brunori Sandri gets a card.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Spezia Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alexis Blin on 35 minutes.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Spezia Calcio and Palermo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 42' It’s gonna be a card for Kristoffer Lund.
  • 46' Another substitution for Spezia Calcio to replace Salvatore Elia by Duccio Degl'Innocenti on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matteo Brunori Sandri, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Alberto Picco with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Spezia Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 62' Another substitution for Palermo FC to replace Kristoffer Lund by Niccolo Pierozzi on 62 minute.
  • 67' Spezia Calcio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rachid Kouda is hanging Francesco Cassata on the field on 67 minute.
  • 70' Claudio Gomes is replacing Alexis Blin for the Palermo FC side.
  • 72' What a strike from Matteo Brunori Sandri! The score is 0-2.
  • 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 80' Spezia Calcio ring the changes. Arkadiusz Reca has done his job and it is now time for Antonio Colak to step up.
  • 82' Palermo FC ring the changes. Rayyan Baniya has done his job and it is now time for Dimitrios Nikolaou to step up.
  • 83' The whistle greets Matteo Brunori Sandri as he departs to be replaced by Federico Di Francesco.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ales Mateju on 87 minutes.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Spezia Calcio 2-2 Palermo FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio35% Draw26% Palermo FC39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
61%
Draw or Palermo FC
65%
Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio22% Draw44% Palermo FC34%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 21% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
19%
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.