Saturday , 14 November 2026

Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco 10,448 HT 45' · FT 45'
Francesco Esposito 90+2' 1–2
Giuseppe Aurelio 90+5' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Ghersini
  • Assistant 1 Francesco Luciani (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Giacomo Monaco (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Palermo FC H 2–2 D
01 Feb AS Cittadella A 2–0 W
24 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–1 W
19 Jan Carrarese Calcio A 4–0 W
12 Jan SS Juve Stabia H 1–1 D
29 Dec SSC Bari A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Spezia Calcio A 2–2 D
31 Jan AC Pisa 1909 H 1–2 L
26 Jan AC Reggiana A 1–2 L
19 Jan SS Juve Stabia H 1–0 W
12 Jan Modena FC 2018 H 2–0 W
29 Dec AS Cittadella A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Palermo FC
Dennis Johnsen 7 G 5 A
Dominic Vavassori 6 G 1 A
Joel Pohjanpalo 2 G 3 A
Antonio Palumbo 2 G 1 A
Filippo Ranocchia 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Spezia Calcio kicks off things out of here…
  • 1' The Italy Filippo Ranocchia breaks the deadlock on 1 minutes. 0-1!
  • 6' It looks like no one’s ball. Palermo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 11' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 16' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 26' Rayyan Baniya picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 29' Matteo Brunori Sandri is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Leandro Chichizola is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Palermo FC.
  • 35' Palermo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Spezia Calcio in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Palermo FC's compact 3-5-2.
  • 42' The referee calls foul for Kristoffer Lund. He receives a card.
  • 46' Spezia Calcio ring the changes. Salvatore Elia has done his job and it is now time for Duccio Degl'Innocenti to step up.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Spezia Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' Kristoffer Lund has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Palermo FC — Niccolo Pierozzi on, Kristoffer Lund off on 62 minutes.
  • 67' A change in the Spezia Calcio ranks — Francesco Cassata exits the field as Rachid Kouda enters on 67.
  • 70' Palermo FC ring the changes. Alexis Blin has done his job and it is now time for Claudio Gomes to step up.
  • 72' Matteo Brunori Sandri is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 80' The whistle greets Arkadiusz Reca as he departs to be replaced by Antonio Colak.
  • 82' A change in the Palermo FC ranks — Rayyan Baniya exits the field as Dimitrios Nikolaou enters on 82.
  • 83' Palermo FC make a change. Matteo Brunori Sandri trudges off to be replaced by Federico Di Francesco on 83 minutes.
  • 87' Ales Mateju has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio44% Draw27% Palermo FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
71%
Draw or Palermo FC
56%
Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio30% Draw46% Palermo FC24%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.