Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B at Stadio Alberto Picco.
- Spezia Calcio 38 games · 35 pts (2025/26)
- Palermo FC 38 games · 72 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Davide Ghersini
- Assistant 1 Francesco Luciani (Italy)
- Assistant 2 Giacomo Monaco (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia FC | 38 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone Calcio | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | AC Monza | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo FC | 38 | 72 |
| 5 | US Catanzaro | 38 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena FC 2018 | 38 | 55 |
| 7 | SS Juve Stabia | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Avellino SSD | 38 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova 1911 SSD | 38 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova Calcio | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | AC Cesena | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese Calcio | 38 | 44 |
| 13 | UC Sampdoria | 38 | 44 |
| 14 | ACD Virtus Entella | 38 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli FC | 38 | 41 |
| 16 | FC Sudtirol | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | SSC Bari | 38 | 40 |
| 18 | AC Reggiana | 38 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia Calcio | 38 | 35 |
| 20 | Delfino Pescara 1936 | 38 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb | Palermo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | AS Cittadella | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Jan | Carrarese Calcio | A | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | SS Juve Stabia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Dec | SSC Bari | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb | Spezia Calcio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Jan | AC Pisa 1909 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | AC Reggiana | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | SS Juve Stabia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | Modena FC 2018 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | AS Cittadella | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Spezia Calcio | Palermo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #4 |
| 35 | Points | 72 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 8 / 11 / 19 | W / D / L | 20 / 12 / 6 |
| 43 | Scored | 61 |
| 59 | Conceded | 33 |
| -16 | GD | +28 |
| 0.92 | PPG | 1.89 |
| 21% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Spezia Calcio this season
Spezia Calcio this season
45%
Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
Palermo FC this season
Spezia Calcio are 19th (35 pts). Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Spezia Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Spezia Calcio and Palermo FC get this one started.
- 1' Palermo FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Filippo Ranocchia on 1.
- 6' Palermo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 11' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Spezia Calcio and Palermo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 21' Palermo FC come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 26' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rayyan Baniya.
- 29' It’s a booking for Palermo FC player. Matteo Brunori Sandri gets a card.
- 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Spezia Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alexis Blin on 35 minutes.
- 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Spezia Calcio and Palermo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 42' It’s gonna be a card for Kristoffer Lund.
- 46' Another substitution for Spezia Calcio to replace Salvatore Elia by Duccio Degl'Innocenti on 46 minute.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matteo Brunori Sandri, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Alberto Picco with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Spezia Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 62' Another substitution for Palermo FC to replace Kristoffer Lund by Niccolo Pierozzi on 62 minute.
- 67' Spezia Calcio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rachid Kouda is hanging Francesco Cassata on the field on 67 minute.
- 70' Claudio Gomes is replacing Alexis Blin for the Palermo FC side.
- 72' What a strike from Matteo Brunori Sandri! The score is 0-2.
- 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 80' Spezia Calcio ring the changes. Arkadiusz Reca has done his job and it is now time for Antonio Colak to step up.
- 82' Palermo FC ring the changes. Rayyan Baniya has done his job and it is now time for Dimitrios Nikolaou to step up.
- 83' The whistle greets Matteo Brunori Sandri as he departs to be replaced by Federico Di Francesco.
- 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ales Mateju on 87 minutes.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Spezia Calcio 2-2 Palermo FC.
Lineups
Spezia Calcio Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 7
- 23
-
13
Arkadiusz Reca ↓ Antonio Colak 80'
- 55
- 5
- 10
- 37
-
32
Luca Vignali ↓ Giuseppe Aurelio 80'
- 29
- 2
- 9
Bench
- 11
- 66
-
31
Giuseppe Aurelio ↑ 80'
- 4
- 20
- 77
-
17
Antonio Colak ↑ 80'
-
6
Duccio Degl'Innocenti ↑ 46'
- 65
- 36
-
80
Rachid Kouda ↑ 67'
- 82
Palermo FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 10
- 8
-
28
Alexis Blin ↓ Claudio Gomes 70'
- 19
- 12
- 24
- 32
- 3
- 4
- 9
- 23
Bench
- 26
-
6
Claudio Gomes ↑ 70'
- 46
-
17
Federico Di Francesco ↑ 83'
-
43
Dimitrios Nikolaou ↑ 82'
-
21
Jeremy Le Douaron ↑ 70'
- 1
-
27
Niccolo Pierozzi ↑ 62'
- 14
- 25
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Francesco Esposito | 2 |
| Filippo Ranocchia | 1 |
| Matteo Brunori Sandri | 1 |
| Arkadiusz Reca | 1 |
| Leo Stulac | 1 |
| Leonardo Mancuso | 1 |
| Giuseppe Di Serio | 1 |
| Rayyan Baniya | 1 |
Head to Head
Spezia Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29
Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Palermo FC xG
I would bet for:
Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Spezia Calcio or Draw
61%
Draw or Palermo FC
65%
Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Palermo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio
| Handicap | Spezia Calcio covers | Push | Palermo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

