Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 9 Feb 2025 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco 10,448 HT 45' · FT 45'
Francesco Esposito 90+2' 1–2
Giuseppe Aurelio 90+5' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Ghersini
  • Assistant 1 Francesco Luciani (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Giacomo Monaco (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Palermo FC H 2–2 D
01 Feb AS Cittadella A 2–0 W
24 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–1 W
19 Jan Carrarese Calcio A 4–0 W
12 Jan SS Juve Stabia H 1–1 D
29 Dec SSC Bari A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Spezia Calcio A 2–2 D
31 Jan AC Pisa 1909 H 1–2 L
26 Jan AC Reggiana A 1–2 L
19 Jan SS Juve Stabia H 1–0 W
12 Jan Modena FC 2018 H 2–0 W
29 Dec AS Cittadella A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stadio Alberto Picco. Spezia Calcio are looking to make home advantage count against Palermo FC.
  • 1' GOAL! Filippo Ranocchia scores on 1. Assisted by Salim Diakite
  • 6' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 11' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 16' Italy international Francesco Esposito has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 21' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 26' Palermo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 29' Poor challenge from Matteo Brunori Sandri. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 34' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' Alexis Blin picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Stadio Alberto Picco. Palermo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 42' The referee calls foul for Kristoffer Lund. He receives a card.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Duccio Degl'Innocenti. He replaces Salvatore Elia on 46 minute.
  • 51' It looks surprising Palermo FC does not make any changes. Giangiacomo Magnani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Spezia Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' Palermo FC have won 125 goals from 116 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 62' A change in the Palermo FC ranks — Kristoffer Lund exits the field as Niccolo Pierozzi enters on 62.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Spezia Calcio — Rachid Kouda on, Francesco Cassata off on 67 minutes.
  • 70' Alexis Blin makes way for Claudio Gomes at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Palermo FC.
  • 72' A stunning finish from Matteo Brunori Sandri — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 77' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Spezia Calcio and Palermo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 80' Antonio Colak gets the nod from Spezia Calcio. He replaces Arkadiusz Reca and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Palermo FC ring the changes. Rayyan Baniya has done his job and it is now time for Dimitrios Nikolaou to step up.
  • 83' The Palermo FC bench stirs into life. Matteo Brunori Sandri is withdrawn and Federico Di Francesco gets his opportunity.
  • 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Ales Mateju.
  • 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio44% Draw27% Palermo FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
71%
Draw or Palermo FC
56%
Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio30% Draw46% Palermo FC24%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.