Wednesday , 7 October 2026

FC Bayern Munchen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 12 Jan 2024 · 19:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jamal Musiala 18' 1–0
Jamal Musiala 70' 2–0
Harry Kane 90' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern Munchen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 24.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–0 W
20 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
17 Dec VfB Stuttgart H 3–0 W
12 Dec Manchester United FC A 1–0 W
09 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–5 L
29 Nov FC København H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan FC Bayern Munchen A 0–3 L
19 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–3 D
16 Dec RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
08 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–1 W
02 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–2 L
26 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern Munchen TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#2 Position #14
10 Points 3
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
14 Scored 7
2 Conceded 10
+12 GD -3
2.50 PPG 0.75
75% Win % 25%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.91 FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.39 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern Munchen to win 85% + Over 2.5 goals 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen85% Draw10% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim5%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 4.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
94%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
15%
FC Bayern Munchen or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
90%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen76% Draw21% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
Actual
4 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
11.4%
5 – 0
10.3%
6 – 0
6.8%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.3%
4 – 1
5.2%
2 – 1
4.1%
5 – 1
4.1%
7 – 0
3.9%
6 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen

Handicap FC Bayern Munchen covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 64% — 36%
-2 64% 18% 18%
-1.5 82% — 18%
-1 82% 11% 7%
-0.5 93% — 7%
+0.5 99% — 1%
+1 99% 1% 0%
+1.5 100% — 0%
+2 100% — 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
68% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.