RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

RB Leipzig

3 – 1

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sat 16 Dec 2023 · 17:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 40,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Lukas Klostermann 34' 1–0

1–1 42' Ozan Kabak

Emil Forsberg 70' 2–1

Mohamed Simakan 74' 3–1

Amadou Haidara 40' Y

Y 62' Ozan Kabak

Xavi Simons 62' Y

Lukas Klostermann 80' Y

Y 90' Florian Grillitsch

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Robert Schroder
Assistant 1 Norbert Grudzinski
Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel

13 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-04-29 RB Leipzig 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-02-01 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2022-11-05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 RB Leipzig 2022-04-10 RB Leipzig 3–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	3–1	W
13 Dec	BSC Young Boys	H	2–1	W
09 Dec	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–2	W
02 Dec	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W
28 Nov	Manchester City FC	A	2–3	L
25 Nov	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–2	L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Dec	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L
08 Dec	VfL Bochum 1848	H	3–1	W
02 Dec	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	1–2	L
26 Nov	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
11 Nov	FC Augsburg	A	1–1	D
04 Nov	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#3	Position	#5
65	Points	61
34	Played	34
20 / 5 / 9	W / D / L	18 / 7 / 9
66	Scored	65
47	Conceded	52
+19	GD	+13
1.91	PPG	1.79
59%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and RB Leipzig launch into their encounter with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
10' Mohamed Simakan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 363 appearances.
15' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 513 games and scored 719 goals.
34' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lukas Klostermann makes it 1-0.
39' Kevin Vogt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
40' That is a Yellow card for RB Leipzig. Amadou Haidara will be fuming at that decision.
42' Ozan Kabak has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
46' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim make a change. Robert Skov trudges off to be replaced by Florian Grillitsch on 46 minutes.
51' Robert Skov is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for RB Leipzig tonight.
56' named a 4-2-2-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
58' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Amadou Haidara is replaced by Kevin Kampl on 58 minute.
62' The referee shows TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player a Yellow card on 62.
66' Emil Forsberg is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christoph Baumgartner at the 66 minute mark.
69' Another substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to replace Ihlas Bebou by Maximilian Beier on 69 minute.
70' The Sweden Emil Forsberg breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 2-1!
74' GOAL! Mohamed Simakan fires home to make it 3-1!
75' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Ozan Kabak exits the field as Kevin Akpoguma enters on 75.
80' That is a Yellow card for RB Leipzig. Lukas Klostermann will be fuming at that decision.
83' The crowd applauds Lois Openda as he leaves the pitch. Benjamin Sesko steps in for RB Leipzig.
88' With 0 assists to his name this season, Amadou Haidara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
90' Stanley N'Soki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pavel Kaderabek on 90 minute.
90' The referee calls foul for Florian Grillitsch. He receives a Red card.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — RB Leipzig 3-1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

17
Lois Openda ↓ Benjamin Sesko 83'
21
Janis Blaswich
39
Benjamin Henrichs
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↓ Emil Forsberg 66'
9
Yussuf Poulsen
16
Lukas Klostermann
22
David Raum
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 58'
24
Xaver Schlager
2
Mohamed Simakan ↓ Castello Lukeba 83'
20
Xavi Simons ↓ Fabio Carvalho 83'

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	8
Christopher Nkunku	5
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Dani Olmo	4
Andrej Kramaric	3
Benjamin Sesko	2
Adam Hlozek	2
Yussuf Poulsen	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-12-13 RB Leipzig 2–1 BSC Young Boys W 2023-12-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig W 2023-12-02 RB Leipzig 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2023-11-28 Manchester City FC 3–2 RB Leipzig L 2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-12-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2023-12-02 Borussia Monchengladbach 2–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-11-26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2023-11-11 FC Augsburg 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2023-11-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.31 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.22 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig62% Draw20% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim18%

Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

83%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

38%

RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig45% Draw39% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

7.8%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

6.3%

3 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 2

4.9%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 0

4.2%

4 – 1

4.1%

4 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	21%	—	79%
-2	21%	18%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	21%	40%
-0.5	60%	—	40%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	11%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.