Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 16 Dec 2023 · 17:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 40,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lukas Klostermann 34' 1–0
1–1 42' Ozan Kabak
Emil Forsberg 70' 2–1
Mohamed Simakan 74' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Assistant 1 Norbert Grudzinski
  • Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel
6 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
13 Dec BSC Young Boys H 2–1 W
09 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
02 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
28 Nov Manchester City FC A 2–3 L
25 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
08 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–1 W
02 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–2 L
26 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
11 Nov FC Augsburg A 1–1 D
04 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#4 Position #9
18 Points 12
9 Played 9
6 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 5
27 Scored 16
13 Conceded 17
+14 GD -1
2.00 PPG 1.33
67% Win % 44%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Bambase Conte 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G 1 A
Tim Lemperle 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.13 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + RB Leipzig to win 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig72% Draw16% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim12%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 4.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
88%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
28%
RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
84%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig57% Draw31% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
7.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
4 – 1
6.2%
1 – 1
5.7%
4 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
5 – 1
3.9%
4 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 37% — 63%
-2 37% 20% 44%
-1.5 56% — 44%
-1 56% 18% 25%
-0.5 75% — 25%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.