RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

RB Leipzig

3 – 1

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sat 16 Dec 2023 · 17:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 40,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Lukas Klostermann 34' 1–0

1–1 42' Ozan Kabak

Emil Forsberg 70' 2–1

Mohamed Simakan 74' 3–1

Amadou Haidara 40' Y

Y 62' Ozan Kabak

Xavi Simons 62' Y

Lukas Klostermann 80' Y

Y 90' Florian Grillitsch

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robert Schroder
Assistant 1 Norbert Grudzinski
Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel

3 games this season 🟨 7.3/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-04-29 RB Leipzig 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-02-01 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2022-11-05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 RB Leipzig 2022-04-10 RB Leipzig 3–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	3–1	W
13 Dec	BSC Young Boys	H	2–1	W
09 Dec	Borussia Dortmund	A	3–2	W
02 Dec	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W
28 Nov	Manchester City FC	A	2–3	L
25 Nov	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–2	L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Dec	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L
08 Dec	VfL Bochum 1848	H	3–1	W
02 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	1–2	L
26 Nov	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
11 Nov	FC Augsburg	A	1–1	D
04 Nov	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#9	Position	#14
6	Points	3
4	Played	4
2 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 3
9	Scored	7
5	Conceded	10
+4	GD	-3
1.50	PPG	0.75
50%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/4

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig

Antonio Nusa	2 G	2 A
Ridle Baku	2 G
Rocco Reitz	1 G

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G
Tim Lemperle	1 G
Leon Avdullahu	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. RB Leipzig get us underway at Red Bull Arena.
5' David Raum needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 29 Yellow cards this season.
10' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Xavi Simons, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 13 goals in the last 12 games.
20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
30' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
34' Brilliant from the ! Lukas Klostermann makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 34.
39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
40' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Amadou Haidara.
42' GOAL! Ozan Kabak scores on 42. Assisted by Robert Skov
46' Florian Grillitsch gets the nod from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. He replaces Robert Skov and will look to change the dynamic.
51' It’s high time Pellegrino Matarazzo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 516 games and scored 728 goals.
58' Kevin Kampl gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Amadou Haidara and will look to change the dynamic.
62' Ozan Kabak was booked on 62.
66' Emil Forsberg has so much to prove this time. He replaces Christoph Baumgartner on 66 minute.
69' Maximilian Beier is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ihlas Bebou at the 69 minute mark.
70' Magnificent from Emil Forsberg! That is 82 goals in 108 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
74' Mohamed Simakan adds to his 0 season tally! RB Leipzig lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
75' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Ozan Kabak exits the field as Kevin Akpoguma enters on 75.
80' The referee has no hesitation. Lukas Klostermann is booked for RB Leipzig — Yellow card on 80.
83' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Lois Openda is replaced by Benjamin Sesko.
88' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Grischa Promel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
90' Another change for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim made on 90 minute. Pavel Kaderabek leaves to be changed by Stanley N'Soki.
90' Florian Grillitsch has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 90.
The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

17
Lois Openda ↓ Benjamin Sesko 83'
21
Janis Blaswich
39
Benjamin Henrichs
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↓ Emil Forsberg 66'
9
Yussuf Poulsen
16
Lukas Klostermann
22
David Raum
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 58'
24
Xaver Schlager
2
Mohamed Simakan ↓ Castello Lukeba 83'
20
Xavi Simons ↓ Fabio Carvalho 83'

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	8
Christopher Nkunku	5
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Dani Olmo	4
Andrej Kramaric	3
Benjamin Sesko	2
Adam Hlozek	2
Yussuf Poulsen	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-12-13 RB Leipzig 2–1 BSC Young Boys W 2023-12-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig W 2023-12-02 RB Leipzig 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2023-11-28 Manchester City FC 3–2 RB Leipzig L 2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2023-12-16 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-12-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2023-12-02 Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-11-26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2023-11-11 FC Augsburg 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2023-11-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.96 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + RB Leipzig to win 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig73% Draw16% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim11%

Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.95

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

89%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

27%

RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

84%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig57% Draw33% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim10%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

8.6%

2 – 1

8.2%

3 – 0

8.2%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

6.4%

4 – 0

4 – 1

5.9%

1 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

3 – 2

3.9%

5 – 0

3.6%

5 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	36%	—	64%
-2	36%	20%	43%
-1.5	57%	—	43%
-1	57%	19%	24%
-0.5	76%	—	24%
+0.5	91%	—	9%
+1	91%	6%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.