TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Bundesliga · 2023-24

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

1 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 26 Nov 2023 · 16:30 UTC PreZero Arena 22,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 39' Marco Richter

Robert Skov 48' 1–1

Andrej Kramaric 25' Y

Y 25' Edimilson Fernandes

Y 29' Anthony Caci

John Brooks 30' Y

Ozan Kabak 32' Y

Grischa Promel 45' Y

Y 68' Marco Richter

Y 90' Philipp Mwene

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Deniz Aytekin
Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 16 games · Avg 2.9 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-03-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2022-09-10 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-02-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2021-09-11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Nov	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
11 Nov	FC Augsburg	A	1–1	D
04 Nov	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–3	L
01 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–1	L
28 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	3–2	W
21 Oct	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–3	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–1	D
11 Nov	SV Darmstadt 98	A	0–0	D
04 Nov	RB Leipzig	H	2–0	W
01 Nov	Hertha BSC	A	0–3	L
27 Oct	VfL Bochum 1848	A	2–2	D
21 Oct	FC Bayern München	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim		1. FSV Mainz 05
#5	Position	#10
61	Points	40
34	Played	34
18 / 7 / 9	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
65	Scored	44
52	Conceded	53
+13	GD	-9
1.79	PPG	1.18
53%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score. At the same time, 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
25' Andrej Kramaric has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 25.
29' Anthony Caci catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 29.
30' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 30.
32' A moment of madness from Ozan Kabak on 32 minutes earns him a Yellow card. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be frustrated.
37' Anthony Caci is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim tonight.
39' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Marco Richter on 39.
44' Anton Stach, a Germany , has 28 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
45' Grischa Promel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
46' Pavel Kaderabek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marius Bulter on 46 minute.
48' What an equalizer from Robert Skov!
53' Danny da Costa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
58' A quiet spell here at PreZero Arena. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
63' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Robert Skov is replaced by Ihlas Bebou on 63 minute.
68' The referee has no hesitation. Marco Richter is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 68.
69' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 69 minute. Aymen Barkok leaves to be changed by Brajan Gruda.
73' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 73 minute. Jae-sung Lee leaves to be changed by Jonathan Burkardt.
78' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim bench stirs into life. Anton Stach is withdrawn and Finn Ole Becker gets his opportunity.
83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Phillip Tietz scoring 2 goals.
90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Silvan Widmer has done his job and it is now time for Danny da Costa to step up.
90' Philipp Mwene picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

10
Wout Weghorst
23
John Brooks
22
Kevin Vogt
1
Oliver Baumann
27
Andrej Kramaric
6
Grischa Promel ↓ Florian Grillitsch 46'
21
Marius Bulter ↓ Pavel Kaderabek 46'
5
Ozan Kabak ↓ Kevin Akpoguma 46'
29
Robert Skov ↓ Ihlas Bebou 63'
14
Maximilian Beier
16
Anton Stach ↓ Finn Ole Becker 78'

Bench

9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 63'
25
Kevin Akpoguma ↑ 46'
3
Pavel Kaderabek ↑ 46'
11
Florian Grillitsch ↑ 46'
20
Finn Ole Becker ↑ 78'
41
Attila Szalai
37
Luca Philipp
39
Tom Bischof
40
Umut Tohumcu

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jan Siewert

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	5
Jonathan Burkardt	4
Jean-Paul Boetius	4
Pavel Kaderabek	3
Ihlas Bebou	3
Pierre Kunde	2
Dominik Kohr	2
Jean-Philippe Mateta	2

Head to Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2023-11-26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2023-11-11 FC Augsburg 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2023-11-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2023-11-01 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-10-28 VfB Stuttgart 2–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-10-21 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2023-11-26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2023-11-11 SV Darmstadt 98 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig W 2023-11-01 Hertha BSC 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-10-27 VfL Bochum 1848 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2023-10-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Bayern München L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.69 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim43% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

70%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

57%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim33% Draw44% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 0

7.6%

2 – 0

1 – 2

0 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 1

5.7%

3 – 1

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

3.9%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	21%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.