Sunday , 16 August 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 26 Nov 2023 · 16:30 UTC PreZero Arena 22,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 39' Marco Richter
Robert Skov 48' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
11 Nov FC Augsburg A 1–1 D
04 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
01 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
28 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 3–2 W
21 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
11 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–0 D
04 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05
#11 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Aymen Barkok is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim so far.
  • 25' Andrej Kramaric was booked on 25.
  • 29' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for John Brooks.
  • 32' The referee calls foul for Ozan Kabak. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 37' Finn Ole Becker has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' What a strike from Marco Richter! The score is 0-1.
  • 44' Ozan Kabak has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 45' Grischa Promel catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 45.
  • 46' Pavel Kaderabek is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marius Bulter at the 46 minute mark.
  • 48' Magnificent from Robert Skov! That is 19 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ihlas Bebou, as he is very good at scoring at PreZero Arena with 25 goals in the last 19 games.
  • 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 63' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Robert Skov exits the field as Ihlas Bebou enters on 63.
  • 68' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Marco Richter will be fuming at that decision.
  • 69' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Aymen Barkok is withdrawn and Brajan Gruda gets his opportunity.
  • 73' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Jae-sung Lee trudges off to be replaced by Jonathan Burkardt on 73 minutes.
  • 78' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim make a change. Anton Stach trudges off to be replaced by Finn Ole Becker on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 88' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 90' The whistle greets Silvan Widmer as he departs to be replaced by Danny da Costa.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Philipp Mwene is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 90.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.62 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim29% Draw39% 1. FSV Mainz 0532%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
68%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
71%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
61%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim16% Draw65% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.7%
0 – 1
17.1%
1 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
1.6%
0 – 3
1.5%
1 – 3
1.1%
3 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 19% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 22% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
49%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.