TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Deniz Aytekin
- Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
- Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Nov | FC Augsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Oct | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Nov | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Hertha BSC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #6 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 10 |
| 10 | Conceded | 6 |
| -3 | GD | +4 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 25% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G | |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 G | |
| Leon Avdullahu | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! TSG 1899 Hoffenheim welcome 1. FSV Mainz 05 for this crunch clash at PreZero Arena.
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jan Siewert might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' Controversy at the stadium! Andrej Kramaric argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 29' A moment of madness from Anthony Caci on 29 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- 30' A moment of madness from John Brooks on 30 minutes earns him a Yellow card. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be frustrated.
- 32' Controversy at the stadium! Ozan Kabak argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 37' Andrej Kramaric has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 39' What composure from Marco Richter! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 44' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' Grischa Promel picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' Pavel Kaderabek is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marius Bulter at the 46 minute mark.
- 48' Robert Skov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
- 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 58' A quiet spell here at PreZero Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 63' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Ihlas Bebou on, Robert Skov off on 63 minutes.
- 68' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 69' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Brajan Gruda comes on to replace Aymen Barkok.
- 73' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Jae-sung Lee departs to be replaced by Jonathan Burkardt.
- 78' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Anton Stach has done his job and it is now time for Finn Ole Becker to step up.
- 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 90' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Danny da Costa on, Silvan Widmer off on 90 minutes.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Philipp Mwene. He receives a Yellow card.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 22
- 1
- 27
- 6
-
21
Marius Bulter ↓ Pavel Kaderabek 46'
-
5
Ozan Kabak ↓ Kevin Akpoguma 46'
-
29
Robert Skov ↓ Ihlas Bebou 63'
- 14
-
16
Anton Stach ↓ Finn Ole Becker 78'
Bench
-
9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 63'
-
25
Kevin Akpoguma ↑ 46'
-
3
Pavel Kaderabek ↑ 46'
-
11
Florian Grillitsch ↑ 46'
-
20
Finn Ole Becker ↑ 78'
- 41
- 37
- 39
- 40
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 19
- 10
- 2
- 27
- 8
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↓ Brajan Gruda 69'
- 20
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 90'
- 14
- 7
Bench
- 16
-
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↑ 73'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 90'
- 24
- 1
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↑ 69'
- 45
- 47
- 48
Coach
Jan Siewert
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 4 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 3 |
| Dominik Kohr | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Phillip Tietz | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2023-11-26
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2023-11-11
FC Augsburg
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2023-11-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2023-11-01
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2023-10-28
VfB Stuttgart
2–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-10-21
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
51%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 4
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 6% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 20% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

