Saturday , 14 November 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 26 Nov 2023 · 16:30 UTC PreZero Arena 22,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 39' Marco Richter
Robert Skov 48' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
11 Nov FC Augsburg A 1–1 D
04 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
01 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
28 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 3–2 W
21 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
11 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–0 D
04 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #12
12 Points 10
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
16 Scored 18
17 Conceded 19
-1 GD -1
1.33 PPG 1.11
44% Win % 33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Bambase Conte 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G 1 A
Tim Lemperle 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.87 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim40% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0535%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
65%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
60%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim31% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0529%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 18% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.