TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Deniz Aytekin
- Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
- Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Nov | FC Augsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Oct | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Nov | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Hertha BSC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #16 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' Aymen Barkok is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim so far.
- 25' Andrej Kramaric was booked on 25.
- 29' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 30' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for John Brooks.
- 32' The referee calls foul for Ozan Kabak. He receives a Yellow card.
- 37' Finn Ole Becker has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 39' What a strike from Marco Richter! The score is 0-1.
- 44' Ozan Kabak has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 45' Grischa Promel catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 45.
- 46' Pavel Kaderabek is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marius Bulter at the 46 minute mark.
- 48' Magnificent from Robert Skov! That is 19 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ihlas Bebou, as he is very good at scoring at PreZero Arena with 25 goals in the last 19 games.
- 58' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 63' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Robert Skov exits the field as Ihlas Bebou enters on 63.
- 68' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Marco Richter will be fuming at that decision.
- 69' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Aymen Barkok is withdrawn and Brajan Gruda gets his opportunity.
- 73' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Jae-sung Lee trudges off to be replaced by Jonathan Burkardt on 73 minutes.
- 78' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim make a change. Anton Stach trudges off to be replaced by Finn Ole Becker on 78 minutes.
- 83' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 88' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 90' The whistle greets Silvan Widmer as he departs to be replaced by Danny da Costa.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Philipp Mwene is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 90.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 22
- 1
- 27
- 6
-
21
Marius Bulter ↓ Pavel Kaderabek 46'
-
5
Ozan Kabak ↓ Kevin Akpoguma 46'
-
29
Robert Skov ↓ Ihlas Bebou 63'
- 14
-
16
Anton Stach ↓ Finn Ole Becker 78'
Bench
-
9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 63'
-
25
Kevin Akpoguma ↑ 46'
-
3
Pavel Kaderabek ↑ 46'
-
11
Florian Grillitsch ↑ 46'
-
20
Finn Ole Becker ↑ 78'
- 41
- 37
- 39
- 40
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 19
- 10
- 2
- 27
- 8
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↓ Brajan Gruda 69'
- 20
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 90'
- 14
- 7
Bench
- 16
-
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↑ 73'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 90'
- 24
- 1
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↑ 69'
- 45
- 47
- 48
Coach
Jan Siewert
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 4 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 3 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Dominik Kohr | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Phillip Tietz | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2023-11-26
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2023-11-11
FC Augsburg
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2023-11-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2023-11-01
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2023-10-28
VfB Stuttgart
2–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-10-21
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.62
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 1.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 2.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 3.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
| ± 4.5 | 2% |
|
98% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
68%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
71%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
61%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.7%
0 – 1
17.1%
1 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
1.6%
0 – 3
1.5%
1 – 3
1.1%
3 – 0
0.9%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 19% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 22% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
49%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
54%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

