Wednesday , 30 September 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 26 Nov 2023 · 16:30 UTC PreZero Arena 22,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 39' Marco Richter
Robert Skov 48' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
11 Nov FC Augsburg A 1–1 D
04 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
01 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
28 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 3–2 W
21 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
11 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–0 D
04 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05
#14 Position #6
3 Points 7
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
7 Scored 10
10 Conceded 6
-3 GD +4
0.75 PPG 1.75
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! TSG 1899 Hoffenheim welcome 1. FSV Mainz 05 for this crunch clash at PreZero Arena.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jan Siewert might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Controversy at the stadium! Andrej Kramaric argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 29' A moment of madness from Anthony Caci on 29 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 30' A moment of madness from John Brooks on 30 minutes earns him a Yellow card. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be frustrated.
  • 32' Controversy at the stadium! Ozan Kabak argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 37' Andrej Kramaric has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 39' What composure from Marco Richter! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 44' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Grischa Promel picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Pavel Kaderabek is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marius Bulter at the 46 minute mark.
  • 48' Robert Skov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
  • 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' A quiet spell here at PreZero Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 63' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Ihlas Bebou on, Robert Skov off on 63 minutes.
  • 68' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 69' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Brajan Gruda comes on to replace Aymen Barkok.
  • 73' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Jae-sung Lee departs to be replaced by Jonathan Burkardt.
  • 78' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Anton Stach has done his job and it is now time for Finn Ole Becker to step up.
  • 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 90' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Danny da Costa on, Silvan Widmer off on 90 minutes.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Philipp Mwene. He receives a Yellow card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim27% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0549%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
51%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0542%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 4
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 12% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 20% 36%
+1.5 64% — 36%
+2 64% 17% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.