FC Bayern Munchen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

FC Bayern Munchen

5 – 1

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sun 8 Feb 2026 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern Munchen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga .

FC Bayern Munchen 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 5 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Stieler

4 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	5	13
2	Borussia Dortmund	5	13
3	FC Bayern Munchen	5	11
4	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	5	10
5	RB Leipzig	5	9
6	FC Augsburg	5	8
7	SV Werder Bremen	5	8
8	1. FSV Mainz 05	5	7
9	SV 07 Elversberg	5	7
10	1. FC Koln	5	7
11	VfB Stuttgart	5	6
12	Hamburger SV	5	6
13	FC Schalke 04	5	5
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	5
15	SC Paderborn 07	5	4
16	1. FC Union Berlin	5	4
17	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	5	3
18	Borussia Monchengladbach	5	0

Head-to-Head

FC Bayern Munchen 18 games · Avg 4.1 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-08 FC Bayern Munchen 5–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2025-09-20 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–4 FC Bayern Munchen 2025-05-17 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–4 FC Bayern Munchen 2025-01-15 FC Bayern Munchen 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-05-18 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–2 FC Bayern Munchen

Recent Form

FC Bayern Munchen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	5–1	W
31 Jan	Hamburger SV	A	2–2	D
28 Jan	PSV	A	2–1	W
24 Jan	FC Augsburg	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	H	2–0	W
17 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	5–1	W

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Feb	FC Bayern Munchen	A	1–5	L
31 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–1	W
27 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	A	2–0	W
24 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W
17 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–0	W
14 Jan	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	5–1	W

Season Stats

FC Bayern Munchen		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#3	Position	#17
11	Points	3
5	Played	5
3 / 2 / 0	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 4
16	Scored	9
4	Conceded	13
+12	GD	-4
2.20	PPG	0.60
60%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

FC Bayern Munchen are 3rd (11 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 17th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

3/1

61-75

3/2

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/4

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen

Michael Olise	4 G	1 A
Harry Kane	3 G	2 A
Ismael Saibari	2 G	3 A
Aleksandar Pavlovic	1 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	1 G

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G
Tim Lemperle	1 G
Leon Avdullahu	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FC Bayern Munchen welcome TSG 1899 Hoffenheim for this crunch clash at .
Full Time. FC Bayern Munchen beats TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Lineups

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	7
Serge Gnabry	6
Robert Lewandowski	6
Leon Goretzka	3
Jamal Musiala	3
Joshua Kimmich	3
Harry Kane	3
Sargis Adamyan	2

Head to Head

FC Bayern Munchen Form

2026-02-08 FC Bayern Munchen 5–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern Munchen D 2026-01-28 PSV 1–2 FC Bayern Munchen W 2026-01-24 FC Bayern Munchen 1–2 FC Augsburg L 2026-01-21 FC Bayern Munchen 2–0 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise W 2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern Munchen W

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2026-02-08 FC Bayern Munchen 5–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2026-01-31 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-01-27 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-01-24 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-01-17 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2026-01-14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 Borussia Monchengladbach W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

4.18 FC Bayern Munchen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + FC Bayern Munchen to win 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern Munchen78% Draw13% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim9%

Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 5.24

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	87%	13%
± 3.5	73%	27%
± 4.5	56%	44%

Double Chance

FC Bayern Munchen or Draw

90%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

22%

FC Bayern Munchen or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern Munchen70% Draw23% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim7%

Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

4 – 1

7.3%

3 – 1

7.1%

4 – 0

3 – 0

5 – 1

Actual

5 – 0

5.8%

2 – 1

5.3%

2 – 0

5.3%

6 – 1

4.3%

6 – 0

4 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen

Handicap	FC Bayern Munchen covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	55%	—	45%
-2	55%	18%	27%
-1.5	73%	—	27%
-1	73%	13%	14%
-0.5	86%	—	14%
+0.5	95%	—	5%
+1	95%	3%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	1%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

2% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.