Sunday , 16 August 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
14 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 5–1 W
20 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 0–0 D
13 Dec Hamburger SV H 4–1 W
07 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
29 Nov FC Augsburg H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–1 L
10 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 1–4 L
20 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–1 W
13 Dec 1. FC Köln H 2–0 W
10 Dec Newcastle United FC H 2–2 D
06 Dec FC Augsburg A 0–2 L

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#11 Position #12
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim44% Draw34% Bayer 04 Leverkusen22%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
78%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
56%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim24% Draw61% Bayer 04 Leverkusen15%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
11.7%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2%
3 – 1
1.9%
1 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 24% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 16% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
53%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.