Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
14 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 5–1 W
20 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 0–0 D
13 Dec Hamburger SV H 4–1 W
07 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
29 Nov FC Augsburg H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–1 L
10 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 1–4 L
20 Dec RB Leipzig A 3–1 W
13 Dec 1. FC Koln H 2–0 W
10 Dec Newcastle United FC H 2–2 D
06 Dec FC Augsburg A 0–2 L

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#5 Position #6
61 Points 59
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
65 Scored 68
52 Conceded 47
+13 GD +21
1.79 PPG 1.74
53% Win % 50%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.87 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim48% Draw24% Bayer 04 Leverkusen28%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
72%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
52%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim34% Draw41% Bayer 04 Leverkusen25%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
22%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.