Tuesday , 25 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern MunchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
6 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals FC Bayern Munchen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan FC Bayern Munchen H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D
10 Jan SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
20 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
13 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan Hamburger SV A 2–2 D
28 Jan PSV A 2–1 W
24 Jan FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
21 Jan Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 2–0 W
17 Jan RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
14 Jan 1. FC Koln A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV FC Bayern Munchen
#16 Position #4
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hamburger SV are 16th (0 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 4th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.59 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV21% Draw31% FC Bayern Munchen48%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
79%
Hamburger SV or FC Bayern Munchen
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV11% Draw54% FC Bayern Munchen35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
18.4%
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
12.3%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 3
3.4%
2 – 1
3.3%
2 – 0
2.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 4
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 11% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 27% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 16% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
28%
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
56%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.